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Asia FX heads for weekly bounce, dollar at 7-mth low on easing inflation

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Most Asian currencies crept higher on Friday and were headed for steep weekly gains on the prospect of an eventual shift in the Federal Reserve’s...
Asia FX heads for weekly bounce, dollar at 7-mth low on easing inflation © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Most Asian currencies crept higher on Friday and were headed for steep weekly gains on the prospect of an eventual shift in the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, which also pushed the dollar to a seven-month low. 

The Japanese yen rose 0.1% to an over seven-month high against the dollar of 129.14, and was among the best performing currencies this week as rising inflation in the country drove up bets that the Bank of Japan will eventually tighten its ultra-loose policy this year. 

Data showing a massive current account surplus in November also indicated that some facets of the Japanese economy remained strong despite broader headwinds. The yen was set to add 2.2% this week.

The Chinese yuan rose 0.2% and hovered just below a six-month high to the dollar, as data showing a mild improvement in consumer price index (CPI) inflation through December indicated that the relaxing of anti-COVID curbs was facilitating some recovery in economic activity. The currency was set to rise 1.6% this week. 

Data on Friday also showed a better-than-expected improvement in China's trade balance. But given that the country is now grappling with its worst yet COVID-19 outbreak, analysts have warned of a potential delay to a bigger economic recovery. 

Broader Asian currencies were also headed for strong weekly gains. The Indonesian rupiah was the best performer in the region with a nearly 3% bounce, while the Indian rupee was set to add 1.4% after data showed CPI inflation remained largely steady through December.

The dollar slumped to a seven-month low against a basket of currencies this week, with the dollar index and dollar index futures headed for a 1.6% decline, their worst performance since early-November. 

Data on Thursday showed that U.S. CPI inflation eased as expected in December, likely heralding a potential tapering in the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rhetoric. 

Investors are now pricing in a nearly 95% chance that the central bank will hike rates by a relatively smaller 25 basis points in February, according to the CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) Fedwatch tool. U.S. interest rates are also expected to peak around 5% before the Fed begins loosening policy.

Still, given that U.S. consumer inflation is trending well above the Fed’s target range, markets remain uncertain over the immediate path of U.S. monetary policy. Slowing economic activity in the country has also ramped up fears of a looming recession, which could severely dent sentiment towards risk-driven markets this year. 

 

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31-03-2024 10:19:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2624

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6522

+0.0007 (+0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3543

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

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Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

163.37

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9738

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

Summary

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (5)

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

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Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

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Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

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DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (10)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

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Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0793 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2624 Sell  
    USD/JPY 151.38 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6522 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3543 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.37 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9738 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,254.80 Buy  
    Silver 25.100 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.0115 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 83.11 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 86.99 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 1.752 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 188.53 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 5,082.85 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,254.35 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 18,504.51 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,952.62 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,541.42 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 2,120.15 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 11,074.60 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 52.930 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 28.43 Buy  
    Allianz 277.80 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 207.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.281 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 176.96 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 14.582 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(7,910/ 8,080) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,830/ 8,080
(0/ 0) # 1,364
SJC Hanoi7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Danang7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Nhatrang7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Cantho7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
Cập nhật 31-03-2024 10:19:52
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75 -1.61 -0.07%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $82.82 +5.39 0.07%
Brent $86.82 +5.18 0.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:31 31/03/2024
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