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Yen near 7-month high as BOJ decision looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted above multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a...
Yen near 7-month high as BOJ decision looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted above multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a potential policy shift at the Bank of Japan.

The euro, which reached a nine-month high on Monday at $1.0874, was last loitering around $1.0825.

The yen hit a top of 127.22 per dollar during Asia hours on Monday, before steadying around 128.69 on Tuesday. Options trade shows a market braced for sharp moves when the Bank of Japan (BOJ) concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday, with overnight implied volatility surging to a six-year high.

Speculation is building about a change or end to Japan's yield curve control policy, given that the market has pushed 10-year yields above a ceiling set by the BOJ of 0.5% and the amount of bond buying to defend it is becoming staggering.

A newspaper report last week has also stoked expectation for a change, so traders are on the lookout for a sharp reaction even if the BOJ makes no move. The yen rose 3% against the dollar last week, and one-week implied volatility for dollar/yen is at its highest since March 2020.

"The market has run pretty hard with this story and is looking for a follow up," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at brokerage IG Markets.

He sees three main possibilities: no policy change, a tweak similar to a move in December to widen the 10-year yield target band. and the total abandonment of yield curve control, with the latter likely to drive the most extreme market response.

"The yen would explode higher, Japanese government bond yields would explode higher and global yields would go higher," he said, with the latter driven by an expectation Japanese investors would sell overseas bonds as the yen rises.

Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar index has bounced from a seven-month low of 101.77 made a day ago and held at 102.30. Sterling touched its highest since mid-December at $1.2288 before easing back to $1.2195 in Asia trade.

There was not a great deal of currency market reaction to far stronger-than-expected Chinese growth data.

At 2.9%, fourth-quarter year-on-year growth was way stronger than the 1.8% consensus forecast, helped by retail sales falling a lot less than feared in December. Economists said that bodes well for a recovery, but markets - which have already priced in big rebound - were less sure how to take it.

The yuan last traded about 0.5% weaker at 6.7696 per dollar.

"It's a bit of a rear-view mirror for a market that's already made up its mind that reopening will sustain the recovery," said Bank of Singapore strategist Moh Siong Sim.

The Australian dollar, which hit a five-month high just above $0.70 on Monday and wobbled around $0.6976. The New Zealand dollar held at $0.6402. [AUD/]

Traders are looking ahead to British labour data, U.S. earnings and Canadian inflation figures later in the day.

Bitcoin, which has been on a tear in recent days, steadied above $20,000 and last bought $21,154.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0538 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.0825 $1.0824 +0.01% +0.00% +1.0833 +1.0807

Dollar/Yen

128.6750 128.6000 +0.05% +0.00% +129.1050 +128.3150

Euro/Yen

139.30 139.07 +0.17% +0.00% +139.5700 +138.8500

Dollar/Swiss

0.9253 0.9260 -0.06% +0.00% +0.9275 +0.9252

Sterling/Dollar

1.2189 1.2196 -0.05% +0.00% +1.2212 +1.2173

Dollar/Canadian

1.3408 1.3410 -0.07% +0.00% +1.3421 +1.3395

Aussie/Dollar

0.6959 0.6956 +0.06% +0.00% +0.6978 +0.6951

NZ

Dollar/Dollar 0.6393 0.6382 +0.17% +0.00% +0.6407 +0.6375

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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EUR/USD

1.0903

-0.0007 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0903

-0.0007 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2218

-0.0005 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

128.49

-0.15 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.7071

-0.0005 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3325

+0.0010 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/JPY

140.09

-0.27 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9966

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,931.65

+0.85 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Silver Futures

23.613

-0.002 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Copper Futures

4.1277

+0.0412 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

75.71

-0.17 (-0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Brent Oil Futures

82.03

-0.14 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Natural Gas Futures

2.416

-0.040 (-1.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

178.38

+2.48 (+1.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,241.12

+69.68 (+1.67%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

S&P 500

4,179.76

+60.55 (+1.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

DAX

15,509.19

+328.45 (+2.16%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,820.16

+59.05 (+0.76%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

21,713.50

-244.86 (-1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,001.22

+40.41 (+2.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

9,229.70

+131.60 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

53.840

+1.100 (+2.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

56.80

+0.30 (+0.53%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

221.70

+0.70 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

157.92

+10.34 (+7.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.893

+0.214 (+2.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

143.72

+0.72 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.456

-0.794 (-6.48%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

    EUR/USD 1.0903 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2218 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 128.49 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7071 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3325 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 140.09 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9966 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,931.65 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.613 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1277 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 75.71 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.03 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.416 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 178.38 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,241.12 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,179.76 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,509.19 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,820.16 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,713.50 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,001.22 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,229.70 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 53.840 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.80 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.70 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 157.92 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.893 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 143.72 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.456 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,670/ 6,730
(-40/ -40) # 1,276
SJC HCM6,680/ 6,760
(-20/ -20) # 1,304
SJC Hanoi6,680/ 6,762
(-20/ -20) # 1,306
SJC Danang6,680/ 6,762
(-20/ -20) # 1,306
SJC Nhatrang6,680/ 6,762
(-20/ -20) # 1,306
SJC Cantho6,680/ 6,762
(-20/ -20) # 1,306
Cập nhật 03-02-2023 14:20:55
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,917.08 +1.97 0.10%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $75.96 +0.22 0.29%
Brent $82.02 +0.18 0.22%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.892,6426.286,54
GBP27.897,1229.086,72
JPY177,36187,76
KRW16,5420,16
Cập nhật lúc 14:16:07 03/02/2023
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