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Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ decision looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted up from multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for...
Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ decision looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted up from multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a potential policy shift at the Bank of Japan.

The euro reached a nine-month high on Monday at $1.0874, but was last loitering around $1.0805.

The yen hit a top of 127.22 per dollar during Asia hours on Monday, before easing a little during a holiday-thinned U.S. session to sit around 128.96.

Speculation is building about a change or end to Japan's yield curve control policy, given that the market pushed 10-year yields above a ceiling set by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) of 0.5% on Friday and Monday and the amount of bond buying to defend it is starting to look unsustainable.

A newspaper report last week has also stoked expectation for a change, so traders are on the lookout for a sharp reaction even if the BOJ makes no move at its two-day meeting ending on Wednesday. The yen rose 3% against the dollar last week, and one-week implied volatility for dollar/yen is at its highest since March 2020.

"The market has run pretty hard with this story and is looking for a follow up," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at brokerage IG Markets.

He sees three main possibilities: no policy change, a tweak similar to a move in December to widen the 10-year yield target band, and the total abandonment of the yield curve control policy, with the latter likely to drive the most extreme market response.

"The yen would explode higher, Japanese government bond yields would explode higher and global yields would go higher," he said.

Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar index bounced from a seven-month low of 101.77 made a day ago and held at 102.50. Sterling touched its highest since mid-December at $1.2288 before easing back to $1.2177 in Asia trade.

There was not a great deal of currency market reaction to stronger-than-expected Chinese growth data.

At 2.9% fourth-quarter year-on-year growth was far stronger than the 1.8% consensus forecast, helped by retail sales falling a lot less than feared in December. Economists said that bodes well for recovery, but markets were less sure about how to take the surprise and sent the yuan a little bit lower.

The Chinese currency last traded about 0.3% weaker at 6.7586 per dollar.

The Australian dollar, which hit a five-month high just above $0.70 on Monday and wobbled around $0.6960. The New Zealand dollar held at $0.6394. [AUD/]

Traders are looking ahead British labour data, U.S. earnings and Canadian inflation figures later in the day.

Bitcoin which has been on a tear in recent days steadied above $20,000 and last bought $21,074.

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04-10-2023 16:08:57 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0495

+0.0030 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0495

+0.0030 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2128

+0.0053 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

148.99

-0.04 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6327

+0.0026 (+0.40%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3695

-0.0013 (-0.09%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

156.36

+0.39 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9630

-0.0010 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

1,839.75

-1.75 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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Silver Futures

21.328

-0.049 (-0.23%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Copper Futures

3.6085

-0.0125 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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88.74

-0.49 (-0.55%)

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Brent Oil Futures

90.50

-0.42 (-0.46%)

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Natural Gas Futures

2.988

+0.039 (+1.32%)

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Sell (4)

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US Coffee C Futures

148.35

-0.45 (-0.30%)

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↑ Buy

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Indicators:

Buy (6)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,096.55

+0.96 (+0.02%)

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S&P 500

4,229.45

-58.94 (-1.37%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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DAX

15,056.25

-28.96 (-0.19%)

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FTSE 100

7,469.23

-0.93 (-0.01%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (6)

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17,186.00

-90.00 (-0.52%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,724.80

-32.02 (-1.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

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Buy (3)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,152.50

-13.00 (-0.14%)

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

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Buy (7)

Sell (1)

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42.100

+0.340 (+0.81%)

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44.02

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220.55

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Adidas AG

159.65

-1.07 (-0.67%)

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Sell

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.098

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133.35

+0.25 (+0.19%)

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9.788

-0.143 (-1.44%)

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Neutral

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Buy (4)

Sell (4)

    EUR/USD 1.0495 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2128 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 148.99 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6327 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3695 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 156.36 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9630 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,839.75 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 21.328 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.6085 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 88.74 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 90.50 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.988 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 148.35 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,096.55 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,229.45 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,056.25 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,469.23 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,186.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,724.80 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,152.50 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 42.100 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 44.02 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 220.55 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 159.65 Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.098 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 133.35 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.788 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,820/ 6,870
(-20/ -20) # 1,470
SJC HCM6,815/ 6,885
(-5/ -5) # 1,486
SJC Hanoi6,815/ 6,887
(-5/ -5) # 1,488
SJC Danang6,815/ 6,887
(-5/ -5) # 1,488
SJC Nhatrang6,815/ 6,887
(-5/ -5) # 1,488
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(-5/ -5) # 1,488
Cập nhật 04-10-2023 16:09:03
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,822.99 -0.69 -0.04%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.37025.870
RON 95-III24.84025.330
E5 RON 92-II23.50023.970
DO 0.05S23.59024.060
DO 0,001S-V24.45024.930
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.81024.280
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $87.55 +5.54 0.07%
Brent $89.87 +4.21 0.05%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.210,0024.580,00
EUR24.873,2126.238,71
GBP28.676,2629.897,08
JPY158,99168,29
KRW15,4918,87
Cập nhật lúc 16:03:02 04/10/2023
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