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Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ decision looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted up from multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for...
Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ decision looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted up from multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a potential policy shift at the Bank of Japan.

The euro reached a nine-month high on Monday at $1.0874, but was last loitering around $1.0805.

The yen hit a top of 127.22 per dollar during Asia hours on Monday, before easing a little during a holiday-thinned U.S. session to sit around 128.96.

Speculation is building about a change or end to Japan's yield curve control policy, given that the market pushed 10-year yields above a ceiling set by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) of 0.5% on Friday and Monday and the amount of bond buying to defend it is starting to look unsustainable.

A newspaper report last week has also stoked expectation for a change, so traders are on the lookout for a sharp reaction even if the BOJ makes no move at its two-day meeting ending on Wednesday. The yen rose 3% against the dollar last week, and one-week implied volatility for dollar/yen is at its highest since March 2020.

"The market has run pretty hard with this story and is looking for a follow up," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at brokerage IG Markets.

He sees three main possibilities: no policy change, a tweak similar to a move in December to widen the 10-year yield target band, and the total abandonment of the yield curve control policy, with the latter likely to drive the most extreme market response.

"The yen would explode higher, Japanese government bond yields would explode higher and global yields would go higher," he said.

Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar index bounced from a seven-month low of 101.77 made a day ago and held at 102.50. Sterling touched its highest since mid-December at $1.2288 before easing back to $1.2177 in Asia trade.

There was not a great deal of currency market reaction to stronger-than-expected Chinese growth data.

At 2.9% fourth-quarter year-on-year growth was far stronger than the 1.8% consensus forecast, helped by retail sales falling a lot less than feared in December. Economists said that bodes well for recovery, but markets were less sure about how to take the surprise and sent the yuan a little bit lower.

The Chinese currency last traded about 0.3% weaker at 6.7586 per dollar.

The Australian dollar, which hit a five-month high just above $0.70 on Monday and wobbled around $0.6960. The New Zealand dollar held at $0.6394. [AUD/]

Traders are looking ahead British labour data, U.S. earnings and Canadian inflation figures later in the day.

Bitcoin which has been on a tear in recent days steadied above $20,000 and last bought $21,074.

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31-03-2024 10:19:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

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EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

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GBP/USD

1.2624

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

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USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

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AUD/USD

0.6522

+0.0007 (+0.11%)

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USD/CAD

1.3543

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163.37

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    EUR/USD 1.0793 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2624 Sell  
    USD/JPY 151.38 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6522 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3543 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.37 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9738 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,254.80 Buy  
    Silver 25.100 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.0115 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 83.11 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 86.99 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 1.752 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 188.53 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 5,082.85 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,254.35 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 18,504.51 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,952.62 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,541.42 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 2,120.15 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 11,074.60 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 52.930 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 28.43 Buy  
    Allianz 277.80 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 207.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.281 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 176.96 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 14.582 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(7,910/ 8,080) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,830/ 8,080
(0/ 0) # 1,364
SJC Hanoi7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Danang7,830/ 8,082
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SJC Nhatrang7,830/ 8,082
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SJC Cantho7,830/ 8,082
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Cập nhật 31-03-2024 10:19:52
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75 -1.61 -0.07%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $82.82 +5.39 0.07%
Brent $86.82 +5.18 0.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:31 31/03/2024
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