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Yen surges on BOJ policy speculation, dollar up from 7-month low

By John McCrank NEW YORK (Reuters) - The yen surged on Friday, adding to earlier gains on speculation the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will revise its ultra-loose monetary policy, while...
Yen surges on BOJ policy speculation, dollar up from 7-month low © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By John McCrank

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The yen surged on Friday, adding to earlier gains on speculation the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will revise its ultra-loose monetary policy, while the dollar edged up against most other major currencies, rising off of a seven-month low.

The yen was up 1.24% against the greenback at 127.695 yen at 10:45 a.m. EST (1545 GMT). The move added to a 2.4% gain on Thursday after the Yomiuri newspaper said BOJ officials would review the side effects of the central bank's yield curve control policy (YCC) at their meeting next week.

The BOJ is an outlier in clinging to stimulus while most central banks globally are deep into rate-hiking campaigns. But signs of stickier inflation and a possible rise in Japan's mostly stagnant wages have convinced some investors that YCC could be revised, or even abandoned, as early as next week, opening the door to a stronger yen.

"Our estimated impact of further BoJ policy adjustment points to potential JPY appreciation of up to 2.7%, but we believe the risk is for a larger reaction – potentially double in size," Barclays (LON:BARC) foreign exchange analysts said in a note to clients.

The yield on Japan's benchmark 10-year government bonds breached the central bank's new ceiling on Friday, adding to pressure for the yield control policy to be scrapped or revised.

The central bank said on Friday it would conduct additional outright bond purchases on Monday, ahead of a planned rate-setting meeting on Jan. 17-18.

Elsewhere, better-than-expected economic data out of Germany and Britain suggested both countries could escape a recession -- at least for now -- but the news failed to provide a lasting boost to either the euro or sterling.

The euro was last down 0.24% against the dollar at $1.0826, easing off a fresh nine-month high earlier in the session. Sterling was down 0.03% at $1.2209.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, including the euro and yen, edged up 0.039% to 102.22 as risk appetite faded, with mixed U.S. company earnings also setting the tone for markets.

The dollar index had hit it lowest level since June 6 earlier in the session, following data on Thursday that showed cooling U.S. inflation, firming up expectations the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its interest rate hikes.

"Hikes of 25 basis points will be appropriate going forward," Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker said in a speech to a local group in Malvern, Pennsylvania, on Thursday.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) strategists said the December inflation data likely sealed the deal on a shift to 25 basis point hikes in February but cautioned it was too early in the process for central banks to feel comfortable declaring victory.

The University of Michigan Surveys on Friday showed that U.S. consumers believe price pressures would ease back to levels seen in the spring of 2021 over the next year.

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04-06-2023 01:06:09 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0708

-0.0054 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0708

-0.0054 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2450

-0.0077 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

139.97

+1.17 (+0.85%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6602

+0.0031 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3428

-0.0021 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

149.89

+0.52 (+0.35%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9733

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Gold Futures

1,964.30

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Silver Futures

23.695

-0.292 (-1.22%)

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3.7310

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71.87

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Sell

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76.40

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180.60

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4,323.52

+65.91 (+1.55%)

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S&P 500

4,282.37

+61.35 (+1.45%)

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DAX

16,051.23

+197.57 (+1.25%)

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,607.28

+117.01 (+1.56%)

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18,949.94

+733.03 (+4.02%)

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1,830.91

+62.97 (+3.56%)

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9,317.30

+149.80 (+1.63%)

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Buy

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46.790

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52.61

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210.15

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Adidas AG

159.52

+8.78 (+5.82%)

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159.28

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9.862

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    EUR/USD 1.0708 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2450 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 139.97 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6602 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3428 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 149.89 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9733 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,964.30 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.695 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7310 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 71.87 Sell  
    Brent Oil 76.40 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.177 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 180.60 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,323.52 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,282.37 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 16,051.23 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,607.28 Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,949.94 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.91 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,317.30 Buy  
    BASF 46.790 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.61 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 210.15 Sell  
    Adidas 159.52 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.303 Buy  
    Siemens AG 159.28 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.862 Sell  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,690
(6,650/ 6,690) # 1,061
SJC HCM6,635/ 6,705
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SJC Hanoi6,635/ 6,707
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Cập nhật 04-06-2023 01:06:11
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$1,948.20 -28.75 -1.45%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V22.79023.240
RON 95-III22.01022.450
E5 RON 92-II20.87021.280
DO 0.05S17.94018.290
DO 0,001S-V18.80019.170
Dầu hỏa 2-K17.77018.120
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WTI $71.91 -8.61 -0.11%
Brent $76.19 -8.44 -0.10%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.280,0023.650,00
EUR24.613,3825.991,59
GBP28.653,4729.875,26
JPY164,43174,07
KRW15,4818,86
Cập nhật lúc 18:50:19 03/06/2023
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