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Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted off multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a...
Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted off multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a potential policy shift at the Bank of Japan.

The euro reached a nine-month high on Monday at $1.0874, but was last loitering around $1.0830.

The yen hit a top of 127.22 per dollar during Asia hours on Monday, before easing a little during a holiday-thinned U.S. session to sit around 128.40.

Speculation is building about a change or end to Japanese yield curve control, given that the market pushed 10-year yields above a ceiling set by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) of 0.5% on Friday and Monday and that the amount of bond buying to defend it is starting to look unsustainable.

A newspaper report last week has also stoked expectation for a change, so traders are on the lookout for a sharp reaction even if the BOJ makes no move. The yen rose 3% against the dollar last week, and one-week implied volatility for dollar/yen is at its highest since March 2020.

"The market has run pretty hard with this story and is looking for a follow up," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at brokerage IG Markets.

He sees three main possibilities: no policy change, a tweak similar to a move in December to widen the 10-year yield target band, and the total abandonment of yield curve control, with the latter likely to drive the most extreme market response.

"The yen would explode higher, Japanese government bond yields would explode higher and global yields would go higher," he said.

In the meantime, foreign exchange trade may be driven by Chinese economic data due around 0200 GMT, which is expected to be weak, British labour data, U.S. earnings and Canadian inflation figures.

The U.S. dollar index bounced from a seven-month low of 101.77 made a day ago and held at 102.28. Sterling touched its highest since mid-December at $1.2288 and was last at $1.2199.

Annual growth in Chinese gross domestic product for the fourth quarter is expected to be reported as only 1.8%, so any upside surprise could lend support to trade-exposed currencies, such as the Aussie.

The Australian dollar hit a five-month high just above $0.70 on Monday and was last firm at $0.6972. The New Zealand dollar held at $0.6394. [AUD/]

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04-06-2023 01:56:21 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0708

-0.0054 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0708

-0.0054 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2450

-0.0077 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

139.97

+1.17 (+0.85%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6602

+0.0031 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3428

-0.0021 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

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Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

149.89

+0.52 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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EUR/CHF

0.9733

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

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Gold Futures

1,964.30

-31.20 (-1.56%)

Summary

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Silver Futures

23.695

-0.292 (-1.22%)

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Copper Futures

3.7310

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71.87

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Sell

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76.40

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2.177

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US Coffee C Futures

180.60

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,323.52

+65.91 (+1.55%)

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Moving Avg:

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S&P 500

4,282.37

+61.35 (+1.45%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

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DAX

16,051.23

+197.57 (+1.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,607.28

+117.01 (+1.56%)

Summary

Sell

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18,949.94

+733.03 (+4.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

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1,830.91

+62.97 (+3.56%)

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↑ Buy

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9,317.30

+149.80 (+1.63%)

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Buy

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Sell (4)

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46.790

+1.940 (+4.33%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (8)

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Sell (7)

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52.61

+0.71 (+1.37%)

Summary

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

210.15

+5.95 (+2.91%)

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Sell

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Adidas AG

159.52

+8.78 (+5.82%)

Summary

Buy

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.303

+0.146 (+1.59%)

Summary

Buy

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159.28

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Summary

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9.862

+0.284 (+2.97%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0708 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2450 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 139.97 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6602 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3428 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 149.89 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9733 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,964.30 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.695 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7310 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 71.87 Sell  
    Brent Oil 76.40 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.177 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 180.60 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,323.52 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,282.37 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 16,051.23 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,607.28 Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,949.94 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.91 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,317.30 Buy  
    BASF 46.790 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.61 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 210.15 Sell  
    Adidas 159.52 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.303 Buy  
    Siemens AG 159.28 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.862 Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,690
(6,650/ 6,690) # 1,061
SJC HCM6,635/ 6,705
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SJC Hanoi6,635/ 6,707
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SJC Nhatrang6,635/ 6,707
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Cập nhật lúc 18:50:19 03/06/2023
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