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Morgan Stanley cuts year-end dollar forecast

(Reuters) - Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) cut its 2023 year-end forecast for the dollar index to 98, and expects the greenback's weakness to be more pronounced against the euro this...
Morgan Stanley cuts year-end dollar forecast © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The corporate logo of financial firm Morgan Stanley is pictured on a building in San Diego, California September 24, 2013. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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(Reuters) - Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) cut its 2023 year-end forecast for the dollar index to 98, and expects the greenback's weakness to be more pronounced against the euro this year as worries about the severity of an economic downturn start to ease.

"Global growth is showing signs of buoyancy, macro and inflation uncertainty are waning and the USD is rapidly losing its carry advantage," said currency strategists at Morgan Stanley led by James K Lord, in a note published late on Sunday.

They previously saw the dollar index, which weighs the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, ending 2023 at 104.

The Wall Street bank now sees the euro strengthening to 1.15 by year-end versus a previous forecast of 1.08.

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04-10-2023 18:07:06 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0509 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2132 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 148.93 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6326 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3710 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 156.52 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9649 Neutral  
    Gold 1,839.55 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 21.308 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.6098 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 87.60 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 89.33 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.977 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 147.85 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,109.35 Buy  
    S&P 500 4,229.45 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,122.55 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,469.38 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,186.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,724.80 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,169.45 Buy  
    BASF 42.350 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 44.22 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.02 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 161.34 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.133 Sell  
    Siemens AG 133.95 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.872 ↑ Sell  
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