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Morgan Stanley cuts year-end dollar forecast

(Reuters) - Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) cut its 2023 year-end forecast for the dollar index to 98, and expects the greenback's weakness to be more pronounced against the euro this...
Morgan Stanley cuts year-end dollar forecast © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The corporate logo of financial firm Morgan Stanley is pictured on a building in San Diego, California September 24, 2013. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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(Reuters) - Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) cut its 2023 year-end forecast for the dollar index to 98, and expects the greenback's weakness to be more pronounced against the euro this year as worries about the severity of an economic downturn start to ease.

"Global growth is showing signs of buoyancy, macro and inflation uncertainty are waning and the USD is rapidly losing its carry advantage," said currency strategists at Morgan Stanley led by James K Lord, in a note published late on Sunday.

They previously saw the dollar index, which weighs the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, ending 2023 at 104.

The Wall Street bank now sees the euro strengthening to 1.15 by year-end versus a previous forecast of 1.08.

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02-02-2023 19:30:02 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0999 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2295 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 128.45 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7130 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3291 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.27 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9994 Sell  
    Gold 1,970.10 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 24.562 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1532 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.08 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.32 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.489 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 178.50 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,200.85 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,119.21 Neutral  
    DAX 15,360.05 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,804.10 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 21,958.36 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,960.81 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,225.44 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 53.025 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 56.72 Sell  
    Allianz 221.15 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 154.88 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 9.830 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 142.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.010 ↑ Sell  
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