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Ad-tier and paid sharing helped Netflix outperform since July

By Sam Boughedda  Morgan Stanley analysts raised the firm's price target on Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) to $275 from $250 per share, telling investors in a note that the launch and...
Ad-tier and paid sharing helped Netflix outperform since July Ad-tier and paid sharing helped Netflix (NFLX) outperform since July
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By Sam Boughedda 

Morgan Stanley analysts raised the firm's price target on Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) to $275 from $250 per share, telling investors in a note that the launch and potential of the ad-tier and paid sharing have helped Netflix shares nicely outperform since July.

They maintained an Equal-Weight rating on the stock, which is down over 52% this year.

"We see growing risk market expectations for the ad-tier and paid sharing to pay quick dividends in net adds and ARPU are already priced in," said the analysts. "Consensus expects net adds to grow from less than 6mm in '22 to 15mm/16mm in '23/'24, respectively, while ALSO generating MSD ex-FX ARPU growth."

In addition, the firm believes there is improved content efficiency, with revenue growing faster than content costs, which is a "necessary driver for further outperformance and support a premium multiple."

"At nearly 30x forward earnings and 22x our '23E EBITDA, investors may be playing for the bull case. We see a healthy but maturing top-line growth over the next few years. As a result, to avoid multiple compression we are looking for Netflix to better leverage its content investment to drive strong operating leverage," added the analysts.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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