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US Will Dodge Recession and Markets Will Rally, Ariel’s Rogers Says

(Bloomberg) -- The US will avoid a recession this year as the Federal Reserve controls inflation, giving the stock market a boost, according to John Rogers (NYSE:ROG), chairman and...
US Will Dodge Recession and Markets Will Rally, Ariel’s Rogers Says © Bloomberg. John Rogers
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(Bloomberg) -- The US will avoid a recession this year as the Federal Reserve controls inflation, giving the stock market a boost, according to John Rogers (NYSE:ROG), chairman and co-chief executive officer of Ariel Investments. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average will likely rally 10% in 2023 and the S&P 500 Index more than that, Rogers told business leaders at the Executives’ Club of Chicago’s annual outlook event. Last year he correctly forecast a sharp increase in inflation and that Bitcoin was a bubble that would burst. 

“We are much more optimistic today than a year ago,” Rogers said. “The Fed is doing the right things when it comes to money supply.”

Rogers, a veteran of the fund industry, said cyclical stocks would do well, and said he was “all in” on US stocks. He cautioned against Chinese markets due to a real estate bubble there. 

“Equities in America is the place to be,” he said, adding the nation always finds a way to bounce back from its problems.

Chicago-based Ariel was founded in 1983. The firm sells mutual funds and other investment vehicles, with a focus on value investing. 

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

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05-06-2023 07:17:32 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0693

-0.0017 (-0.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0693

-0.0017 (-0.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2430

-0.0028 (-0.22%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

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Buy (6)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

140.13

+0.14 (+0.10%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6598

-0.0020 (-0.30%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

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Buy (5)

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USD/CAD

1.3430

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

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Sell

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EUR/JPY

149.86

-0.07 (-0.05%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

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EUR/CHF

0.9734

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

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↑ Buy

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Buy (7)

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Gold Futures

1,964.65

-4.95 (-0.25%)

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↑ Buy

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Buy (5)

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Silver Futures

23.683

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US Coffee C Futures

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Hang Seng

18,949.94

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↑ Buy

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+62.97 (+3.56%)

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IBEX 35

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BASF SE NA O.N.

46.790

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Bayer AG NA

52.61

+0.71 (+1.37%)

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Buy (12)

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Buy (8)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

210.15

+5.95 (+2.91%)

Summary

Sell

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Adidas AG

159.52

+8.78 (+5.82%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

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Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.303

+0.146 (+1.59%)

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Buy

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Siemens AG Class N

159.28

+2.60 (+1.66%)

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↑ Buy

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.862

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Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0693 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2430 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 140.13 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6598 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3430 Sell  
    EUR/JPY 149.86 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9734 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,964.65 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.683 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.7155 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 73.25 Buy  
    Brent Oil 77.72 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.201 Sell  
    US Coffee C 180.60 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,323.52 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,282.37 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 16,051.23 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,607.28 Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,949.94 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.91 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,317.30 Buy  
    BASF 46.790 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.61 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 210.15 Sell  
    Adidas 159.52 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.303 Buy  
    Siemens AG 159.28 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.862 Sell  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,690
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