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UK inflation falls unexpectedly as fuel prices drop

Wednesday, September 14, 2022
UK inflation falls unexpectedly as fuel prices drop © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A employee arranges produce inside a Sainsbury’s supermarket in Richmond, west London, Britain, June 27, 2022. REUTERS/Henry Nicholls//File Photo
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By David Milliken and Andy Bruce

LONDON (Reuters) -Lower fuel prices caused an unexpected fall in British consumer price inflation in August, official figures showed on Wednesday, offering some relief to households and the Bank of England after the CPI rate hit a 40-year high.

The annual rate of consumer price inflation fell to 9.9% in August from 10.1% in July, below economists' expectations in a Reuters poll for it to rise further to a fresh high of 10.2%.

CPI rose by 0.5% from July to August on a non-seasonally adjusted basis - below economists' forecasts for it to rise by 0.6%, the same pace as the month before.

Prices for vehicle fuels and lubricants dropped by 6.8% in August, their largest monthly fall since April 2020.

Britain is still battling the highest inflation among major advanced economies, and financial markets expect the BoE to raise rates further next week, after postponing this week's rate decision following Queen Elizabeth's death.

Interest rate futures show a 79% chance that the BoE will raise rates by 75 basis points to 2.5% on Sept. 22, which would be its biggest rate rise since 1989, excluding a brief attempt to bolster sterling during a 1992 exchange rate crisis.

Separate factory cost and selling price data brought good news on inflation pressure in the pipeline, being weaker than all forecasts.

Input prices for materials and energy fell 1.2% in monthly terms in August, the first fall in two years and driven by falling crude oil prices. Factory selling prices also fell slightly on the month.

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29-09-2022 05:45:53 (UTC+7)

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    USD/JPY 144.21 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6514 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3619 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.24 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9498 Neutral  
    Gold 1,666.45 Sell  
    Silver 18.863 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3803 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.81 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 87.98 ↑ Buy  
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    US Coffee C 227.80 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,335.30 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,719.04 ↑ Sell  
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    FTSE 100 7,005.39 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,250.88 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,725.13 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,442.20 Neutral  
    BASF 39.415 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 48.19 Neutral  
    Allianz 160.72 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 130.24 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 5.772 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 99.46 ↑ Buy  
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