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UBS Analyst Negative on Evercore and Moelis & Company - Downgrades to Sell

By Sam Boughedda In separate notes Friday, a UBS analyst downgraded shares of Evercore Partners Inc (NYSE:EVR) and Moelis & Company (NYSE:MC) to Sell. The analyst lowered the...
UBS Analyst Negative on Evercore and Moelis & Company - Downgrades to Sell © Reuters. UBS Analyst Negative on Evercore (EVR) and Moelis & Company (MC) - Downgrades to Sell
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By Sam Boughedda

In separate notes Friday, a UBS analyst downgraded shares of Evercore Partners Inc (NYSE:EVR) and Moelis & Company (NYSE:MC) to Sell.

The analyst lowered the price target of Evercore to $85 from $99 and Moelis & Company to $35 from $43.

In the Evercore note, the analyst explained that M&A sluggishness weighs on the company's pipeline while "belt tightening brings unfamiliar terrain."

"We are downgrading EVR from Neutral to Sell as their shrinking deal pipeline increases the risk of inflexibility in their expense. Based on our analysis, consensus is not capturing the impact of fixed comp expense, with consensus comp ratios for EVR in 2H22 of 61% compared to our estimates of 63%. Negative operating leverage is likely to persist given that EVR's public revenue pipeline is down 40% Y/Y, compared to a 29% average decline across the boutiques," the analyst wrote.

He added: "Despite strategic investments in diversifying their business model away from core M&A, EVR's revenue profile is still heavily weighted towards advisory fees (80% of total revenue), and it is hard to have confidence in other revenue streams given limited visibility."

Meanwhile, the analyst stated that Moelis & Company is between a rock and a hard place, with weak earnings potentially limiting capital return and risk dilution.

"We are downgrading MC from Neutral to Sell, as the degree of fixed compensation expense (i.e., deferred comp + salaries) is likely to add considerable upward pressure to the company's adjusted comp ratio (our forecasts call for 2H22 ratio of 65% vs 59% in 1H22)," explained the analyst. "Moreover, MC's revenue picture continues to deteriorate as the public revenue pipeline is down >50% Y/Y, and the pace of replenishment remains sluggish."

Evercore and Moelis shares are down over 6% at the time of writing.

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30-09-2022 11:14:29 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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EUR/USD

0.9803

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AUD/USD

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    EUR/USD 0.9803 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.1093 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 144.70 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6484 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3718 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.85 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9569 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,670.20 Neutral  
    Silver 18.817 Neutral  
    Copper 3.4150 Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.91 Sell  
    Brent Oil 86.82 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.854 Buy  
    US Coffee C 225.55 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,279.04 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,640.47 Neutral  
    DAX 11,975.55 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 6,881.59 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 17,140.00 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,671.71 Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,300.10 Buy  
    BASF 38.850 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 47.72 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 159.62 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 124.02 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.817 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 98.26 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.594 Sell  
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