net_left Phương Thức Thanh Toán

SNB to join 75 basis point hike club on Sept 22, inflation yet to peak - Reuters Poll

17 Tháng Chín 2022
SNB to join 75 basis point hike club on Sept 22, inflation yet to peak - Reuters Poll © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the building of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in Zurich, Switzerland June 23, 2022. Picture taken with a drone. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann
let atwWrapper,atwContainerWidth,atwSliderBox,atwTotalWidth; function initATWSlider() { atwWrapper = $('.relatedInstruments'); atwSliderBox = atwWrapper.find('.slider'); atwContainerWidth = atwWrapper.width(); atwTotalWidth = atwSliderBox.width(); if(window.domainId === '2' || window.domainId === '3'){ atwWrapper.find('.sliderRight').addClass('js-slider-prev'); atwWrapper.find('.sliderLeft').addClass('js-slider-next'); } else { atwWrapper.find('.sliderRight').addClass('js-slider-next'); atwWrapper.find('.sliderLeft').addClass('js-slider-prev'); } if(atwSliderBox.find('.instrumentBox').length > 6){ atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-next').fadeIn(600); } } function atwMoveRight() { atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-prev').fadeIn(150); $(".slider > :visible:first").hide(150) $(".slider > :visible:last").next().show(150); if(!$(".slider > :visible:last").next().find('.name')()){ atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-next').fadeOut(150); return; } } function atwMoveLeft() { atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-next').fadeIn(150); $(".slider > :visible:last").hide(150); $(".slider > :visible:first").prev().show(150); if(!$(".slider > :visible:first").prev().find('.name')()){ atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-prev').fadeOut(150); return; } } initATWSlider(); //update star icon on adding/removing instrument to/from specific watchlist atwWrapper.on('click', 'label.addRow', function() { let parent = $(this).parent(); let checkedPortfolio = false; parent.find('input[type=checkbox]').each(function () { if($(this).is(':checked')){ checkedPortfolio = true; } }); let closestStar = $(this).closest('.addToPortWrapper').find('.star'); if(checkedPortfolio){ closestStar.addClass('added'); }else{ closestStar.removeClass('added'); } }); //update star icon on creating new watchlist atwWrapper.find('.js-create-watchlist-portfolio').find('a.js-create').on('click',function () { let parent = $(this).parent(); let watchlistName = parent.find('input[type=text]').val(); if(!watchlistName){ return; } let star = $(this).closest('.addToPortWrapper').find('.star'); star.addClass('added'); }); //update star icon on adding new position atwWrapper.find('.js-create-holdings-portfolio').find('.js-submit').on('click',function () { let addPositionForm = $(this).closest('.addToPortfolioPop').find('.holdingsContent'); let amount = addPositionForm.find('.js-amount').val(); if(amount < 1){ return; } let star = $(this).closest('.addToPortWrapper').find('.star'); star.addClass('added'); }); window.atwPairTypes = {"243":"Equities"};

By Indradip Ghosh

BENGALURU (Reuters) - The Swiss National Bank will join the 75 basis point rate hike club on Thursday to choke off nearly three-decade-high inflation, according to economists polled by Reuters, who also said price rises were yet to peak despite a strong currency.

Last week, SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan shared similar concerns and stated the inflation outlook was more uncertain than normal, suggesting more aggressive rate hikes were needed.

That expectation for a jumbo rate increase boosted the Swiss franc to its strongest level against the euro since January 2015 on Sept. 15, despite a similar 75 basis point hike from the European Central Bank earlier in the month.

The strong franc, which will "help rather than hurt," according to the SNB, is likely to hold those gains over the coming months as several more rate rises are likely in store.

Fifteen of 23 economists forecast the SNB - currently the only central bank in the world with a negative policy rate, at -0.25% - to hike by 75 basis points on Sept. 22 to 0.50%, in line with market pricing.

One predicted a 100 basis point hike. The rest expected a 50 basis point rise.

"The SNB is benefiting from the room for maneuver created by the ECB's 75 bps increase at its September meeting. High inflation and a barely over-valued Swiss franc are likely to prompt the SNB to use this leeway," said Alessandro Bee, economist at UBS.

"The strong mark-ups in the gas and electricity market in the short term suggest that inflation could be higher than expected. We believe the SNB may follow the ECB's September monetary policy assessment and raise its interest rates from -0.25% to 0.50%."

A strong majority of economists, 14 of 17, who replied to a separate question said the chances were low the SNB would go for a 100 basis point rise like the Bank of Canada recently did. Markets are pricing around a 47% probability of such a hike.

"Investors expect the SNB to tighten substantially at its upcoming meetings, but we think that they have got ahead of themselves," said Jack Allen-Reynolds, senior Europe economist at Capital Economics.

"After all, while headline inflation is historically high, it is low by international standards...The Bank seems comfortable with the strength of the franc, which is stemming imported inflation."

The SNB has recently departed from a campaign it waged for years to rein in the safe-haven currency, whose strength has restrained its export-reliant economy.

Still, 10 of 15 economists said inflation, which has remained above the SNB's target range of 0-2% for seven straight months, had not peaked yet. Most economists said it would peak at some point next quarter.

Price pressures will remain elevated beyond Q4 and is not expected to decline below 2% until 2024.

A majority of economists expected the Bank to hike by 25 basis points in Q4 2022, Q1 2023 and Q2 2023, taking the rate to a peak of 1.25%. However, all but one economist said the risks were skewed toward a higher terminal rate than they expected.

The ECB, for its part, is due to take its key interest rates significantly higher.

"Rate hikes are not the only tool the SNB uses for policy tightening. CHF appreciation...didn't fully prevent a surge in Swiss inflation, but contained it to 3.5% year over year at peak compared with over 9% in the euro area," noted analysts at Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Securities.

"That policy mix...is why we eventually expect a lower terminal rate from the SNB than the 2.50% deposit rate we think the ECB will reach at the same time."

(For other stories from the Reuters global economic poll)

Để lại bình luận
Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
27-09-2022 14:28:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9654

+0.0048 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

0.9654

+0.0048 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.0828

+0.0144 (+1.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

144.13

-0.62 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6504

+0.0050 (+0.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3647

-0.0085 (-0.62%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

139.13

+0.10 (+0.07%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9537

-0.0005 (-0.05%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,647.85

+14.45 (+0.88%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

18.710

+0.230 (+1.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.3465

+0.0532 (+1.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

78.25

+1.54 (+2.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

84.47

+1.61 (+1.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

7.152

+0.125 (+1.78%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

US Coffee C Futures

222.48

+2.03 (+0.92%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,384.95

+42.39 (+1.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

3,655.04

-38.19 (-1.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

DAX

12,388.27

+160.35 (+1.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,054.00

+33.05 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

17,854.00

-1.14 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,664.34

-11.83 (-0.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (3)

IBEX 35

7,579.60

+71.10 (+0.95%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

40.255

+0.445 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

49.29

+0.92 (+1.90%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

167.17

+1.43 (+0.86%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

130.70

+0.60 (+0.46%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.827

+0.101 (+1.76%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Siemens AG Class N

100.32

+2.07 (+2.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.538

+0.047 (+0.55%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

    EUR/USD 0.9654 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.0828 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.13 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6504 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3647 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 139.13 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9537 Buy  
    Gold 1,647.85 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 18.710 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.3465 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 78.25 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 84.47 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.152 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 222.48 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,384.95 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,655.04 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,388.27 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,054.00 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 17,854.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,664.34 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,579.60 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 40.255 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 49.29 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 167.17 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 130.70 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 5.827 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 100.32 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 8.538 Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,520/ 6,600
(-30/ -30) # 1,883
SJC HCM6,510/ 6,590
(-50/ -50) # 1,873
SJC Hanoi6,510/ 6,592
(-50/ -50) # 1,875
SJC Danang6,510/ 6,592
(-50/ -50) # 1,875
SJC Nhatrang6,510/ 6,592
(-50/ -50) # 1,875
SJC Cantho6,510/ 6,592
(-50/ -50) # 1,875
Cập nhật 27-09-2022 14:28:52
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,639.05 +11.09 0.68%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
DO 0,001S-V24.51025.000
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $78.04 -1.54 -2.02%
Brent $84.45 -1.88 -2.27%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.560,0023.870,00
EUR22.265,3423.511,65
GBP24.894,1725.955,20
JPY159,88169,26
KRW14,3517,49
Cập nhật lúc 13:49:13 27/09/2022
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
Phương Thức Thanh Toán