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Oil recoups last week’s loss on softer rate hike, stronger demand signals

By Barani Krishnan AiVIF.com -- The softening inflation game in the United States is helping oil bulls out, though rising crude prices on their own might ultimately lead to...
Oil recoups last week’s loss on softer rate hike, stronger demand signals  © Reuters.
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By Barani Krishnan

AiVIF.com -- The softening inflation game in the United States is helping oil bulls out, though rising crude prices on their own might ultimately lead to higher inflation.

New York-traded WTI, or West Texas Intermediate, crude for February delivery was up $1.39, or 1.8%, to $79.78 per barrel by 13:50 ET (18:50 GMT) after a session high at $79.85.  The U.S. crude benchmark was headed for an 8.2% gain on the week, after an 8.4% tumble last week.

London-traded Brent crude for March delivery was up $1.08, or 1.3%, to $85.11, after an intraday peak at $85.18. That put the global crude benchmark on track to an 8.3% rise this week, after last week’s drop of 8.5%.

Inflation, as indicated by the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, rose by 6.5% in the 12 months to December, the Labor Department said Thursday. It was the slowest annual advance for the CPI since October 2021 and indicated smaller rate hikes ahead by the Federal Reserve, which raised rates aggressively last year to curb price pressures.

Adding to the Labor Department data, the University of Michigan's closely-watched survey of consumers said on Friday that year-ahead inflation expectations among Americans has fallen for a fourth straight month in January, dipping to 4.0% from 4.4% in December. It was the lowest reading for price pressures since April 2021, the survey said.

The lower inflation readings are bolstering expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep to smaller rate hikes this year that would greatly assist businesses in the country, after the aggressive increases last year that sent tremors across markets. Those expectations have bolstered risk appetite in most forms this week, including in oil.

The Fed raised interest rates seven times last year, adding 425 basis points to rates which prior to that peaked at just 25 basis points, in the aftermath of the coronavirus pandemic. The central bank shocked markets by executing four back-to-back hikes of 75 basis points from June through November, before resorting to a modest 50-basis point increase in December. 

For its next rate decision on Feb. 1, economists expect the central bank to announce an even smaller hike of 25 basis points. The last time the Fed announced a 25 basis-point increase was in March 2022, at the start of its current rate hike cycle.

This week’s rebound in crude prices, coming after last week’s drop of more than 8% on both WTI and Brent that marked the worst annual debut in years for oil, could continue on the back of improving demand from China as the top energy importer tries to make a vigorous comeback from its own coronavirus crisis, some analysts said. 

Others said recent bids for crude by European buyers could lead to renewed upward price pressure in commodities, with oil being a key driver of inflation.

“Energy traders are starting to price in a little bit more crude demand coming out of Europe and not just China,” said Ed Moya, analyst at online trading platform OANDA. “The oil market is looking like it will remain tight.”

Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
02-02-2023 19:19:58 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0992

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.0992

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.2293

-0.0083 (-0.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

128.71

-0.22 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.7125

-0.0010 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

USD/CAD

1.3287

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

141.48

-0.20 (-0.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/CHF

0.9995

+0.0015 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,969.25

+26.45 (+1.36%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

24.552

+0.943 (+3.99%)

Summary

Buy

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Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Copper Futures

4.1565

+0.0455 (+1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.09

-0.32 (-0.42%)

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↑ Sell

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Brent Oil Futures

82.35

-0.49 (-0.59%)

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Natural Gas Futures

2.492

+0.024 (+0.97%)

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↑ Buy

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Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

177.80

+1.90 (+1.08%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,201.65

+30.21 (+0.72%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (7)

S&P 500

4,119.21

+42.61 (+1.05%)

Summary

Neutral

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Sell (5)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

DAX

15,362.05

+181.31 (+1.19%)

Summary

Sell

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Indicators:

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Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,803.18

+42.07 (+0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Sell (1)

Hang Seng

21,958.36

-113.82 (-0.52%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,960.81

+28.87 (+1.49%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

9,230.73

+132.63 (+1.46%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (8)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

53.055

+0.315 (+0.60%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (8)

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Sell (6)

Bayer AG NA

56.80

+0.30 (+0.53%)

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Buy

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

221.35

+0.35 (+0.16%)

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Sell

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Adidas AG

154.53

+6.95 (+4.71%)

Summary

Buy

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.825

+0.146 (+1.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Siemens AG Class N

143.10

+0.10 (+0.07%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

12.008

-0.242 (-1.98%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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    EUR/USD 1.0992 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2293 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 128.71 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7125 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3287 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.48 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9995 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,969.25 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 24.552 Buy  
    Copper 4.1565 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.09 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.35 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.492 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 177.80 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,201.65 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,119.21 Neutral  
    DAX 15,362.05 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,803.18 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,958.36 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,960.81 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,230.73 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 53.055 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 56.80 Buy  
    Allianz 221.35 Sell  
    Adidas 154.53 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.825 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 143.10 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.008 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,710/ 6,770
(70/ 50) # 1,214
SJC HCM6,700/ 6,780
(40/ 40) # 1,227
SJC Hanoi6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,229
SJC Danang6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,229
SJC Nhatrang6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,229
SJC Cantho6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,229
Cập nhật 02-02-2023 19:20:00
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,954.62 +1.96 0.10%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $76.32 +0.67 0.87%
Brent $82.34 +0.63 0.76%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR25.185,0926.595,37
GBP28.322,0929.529,81
JPY177,65188,07
KRW16,6420,27
Cập nhật lúc 18:53:07 02/02/2023
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