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Oil prices slip as markets await demand forecasts, economic clarity

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Oil prices fell on Monday after a sharp rally last week, as traders turned cautious and locked in some profits ahead of demand forecasts from the...
Oil prices slip as markets await demand forecasts, economic clarity © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Oil prices fell on Monday after a sharp rally last week, as traders turned cautious and locked in some profits ahead of demand forecasts from the OPEC and the IEA, as well as a barrage of economic data due this week. 

Crude prices rallied over 8% last week on the prospect of a rebound in Chinese demand, after the country reopened its borders and essentially confirmed a pivot away from its strict zero-COVID policy. Weakness in the U.S. dollar, amid signs of slowing inflation in the country, also benefited oil prices.

Focus is now squarely on a monthly report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), due on Tuesday. Markets are waiting to see whether the cartel will change its forecasts for global demand in the face of a Chinese economic recovery.

Brent oil futures fell 0.5% to 85.09 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.6% to $79.67 a barrel in early Asian trade. Market volumes are expected to be limited due to a U.S. holiday on Monday.

Traders are also awaiting a report on crude markets from the International Energy Agency (IEA), due on Wednesday, for the body’s outlook on oil prices and demand for the year.

Beyond data from industry bodies, crude markets are also awaiting a slew of economic data and central bank meetings this week. 

The Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting is of key import to markets, after the lender unexpectedly struck a hawkish chord during its December meeting- a move that rattled financial markets. 

Inflation readings from the eurozone and England are also in focus, as is data on U.S. retail sales, factory gate inflation and industrial production.

Markets will be watching for any signs of slowing economic growth, amid increased fears of a recession in 2023. Oil prices had slumped in the first week of the year are the International Monetary Fund warned of a potential recession this year. 

This notion has largely limited any upside in crude markets, with traders fearing that oil demand will be impacted by slowing economic growth across the globe. 

While Chinese demand has shown some signs of recovery, the country is also grappling with its worst-yet COVID-19 outbreak, which markets fear could delay a bigger economic bounceback. 

 

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01-10-2023 20:23:18 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0572

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.0572

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.2201

+0.0004 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

149.38

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

AUD/USD

0.6438

+0.0015 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3575

+0.0089 (+0.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

157.92

+0.17 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/CHF

0.9677

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,864.60

-14.00 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

22.390

-0.351 (-1.54%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.7340

+0.0260 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

90.77

-0.94 (-1.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

92.09

-1.01 (-1.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

Natural Gas Futures

2.930

-0.015 (-0.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

145.23

-1.97 (-1.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,173.35

+11.79 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

4,288.05

-11.65 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

DAX

15,386.58

+63.08 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,608.08

+6.23 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

17,822.00

+471.00 (+2.71%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,785.10

-9.21 (-0.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

9,428.00

+1.20 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.950

+0.305 (+0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

45.45

+0.10 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

225.70

-2.85 (-1.25%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

166.62

+9.76 (+6.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.506

-0.023 (-0.31%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

135.66

+0.08 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (5)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.450

+0.068 (+0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 1.0572 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2201 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 149.38 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6438 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3575 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 157.92 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9677 Neutral  
    Gold 1,864.60 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 22.390 Neutral  
    Copper 3.7340 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 90.77 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 92.09 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.930 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 145.23 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,173.35 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,288.05 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,386.58 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,608.08 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,822.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,785.10 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,428.00 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 42.950 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 45.45 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 225.70 Sell  
    Adidas 166.62 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.506 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 135.66 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.450 ↑ Sell  
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SJC Eximbank6,830/ 6,880
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$1,848.82 -17.92 -0.96%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V26.27026.790
RON 95-III25.74026.250
E5 RON 92-II24.19024.670
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