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Nike Estimates Reduced, but Weakness Priced in - Citi

By Sam Boughedda  Ahead of Nike 's (NYSE:NKE) fiscal first quarter results, to be reported on Thursday, September 29, analysts at Citi and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) provided...
Nike Estimates Reduced, but Weakness Priced in - Citi © Reuters. Nike (NKE) Estimates Reduced, But Weakness Priced in - Citi
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By Sam Boughedda 

Ahead of Nike 's (NYSE:NKE) fiscal first quarter results, to be reported on Thursday, September 29, analysts at Citi and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) provided previews, with both expecting macro pressures.

A Deutsche Bank analyst told investors in a note that the firm is lowering estimates ahead of the print.

Deutsche Bank, which has a Buy rating and $123 price target on the stock, anticipates Nike's fiscal first quarter EPS will miss consensus, primarily driven by soft results in China, FX headwinds, and greater than expected GPM contraction.

"We are now modeling revenues for China of $1.581B, below the Street's $1.666B estimate," wrote the analyst. "On the positive side, we expect revenues in North America to come in roughly in line with consensus and are modeling growth up 4.8% YOY vs. the Street up 4.0%, driven by our view that the company's DTC channel will post solid results as inventory flow likely improved from the prior quarter."

Meanwhile, a Citi analyst, who has a Neutral rating on the stock, lowered the firm's price target to $113 from $116. The analyst said the firm's "China survey suggests continued pressure in disposable income (not worse, not better) and higher promos overall vs Jun" while its North American survey "suggests NKE is in good standing with the consumer but the promos have ticked up, and disposable income remains pressured."

"We are reducing our 1Q23/F23E primarily to reflect a weaker outlook in N America and ongoing macro risks related to inflation and elevated inventories. We note that sentiment is skewed negative heading into the print, suggesting much of the weakness is priced in," wrote the analyst.

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    EUR/USD 0.9690 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.0858 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 143.34 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6526 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3591 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 138.90 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9513 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,651.70 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.835 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3485 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.43 Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.03 Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.992 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 220.15 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,348.60 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,693.23 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 12,284.19 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,018.60 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,933.27 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,676.17 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 7,583.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 39.790 Neutral  
    Bayer 49.58 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 168.74 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 130.96 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.674 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 98.63 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 8.632 ↑ Sell  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,640
(6,540/ 6,640) # 1,917
SJC HCM6,580/ 6,660
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SJC Hanoi6,580/ 6,662
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SJC Nhatrang6,580/ 6,662
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