


By Jamie McGeever
(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.
If Asian markets take their cue on Friday from Wall Street's slump on Thursday, they will likely succumb to a bout of profit-taking on what has been a fairly positive start to the year.
But the relative outperformance may not last. The deepening gloom surrounding the Fed and its 'higher for longer' stance on interest rates will surely spread to Asia - likely soon, depending on how the latest U.S. employment data pans out.
December's non-farm payrolls report on Friday comes at the end of a week in which surprisingly strong U.S. labor market data have pushed up Fed rate expectations, even though economic activity continues to scream slowdown if not recession.
US nonfarm payrolls - actual vs forecasts: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zgvobbqzdpd/PAYROLLS1.jpg
2023 Fed rate cut expectations: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/akpeqqdxwpr/2023sofr2.png
The Fed's implied terminal rate, according to 'SOFR' rates futures, is back above 5% for the first time in a month, and the amount of rate cuts priced in by the end of the year has fallen to a two-month low of 33 basis points.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are on track for their fifth consecutive weekly decline - the longest losing streak since April to May last year - marking a significant underperformance versus the rest of the world and Asia in particular.
The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index hit a four-month high on Thursday. It, Chinese equities and Hong Kong tech stocks are all firmly in the green for the week - HK tech is up nearly 9% - so traders may think it prudent to square up a little ahead of the payrolls report.
Watch foreign exchange markets, too - the dollar is up 1.5% so far this week, on course for its best week since September. Of course, a higher dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields and tighter U.S. financial conditions is never a good mix for emerging markets.
On the local data front, the main event is Taiwan inflation for December.
Three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:
- U.S. non-farm payrolls (December)
- Fed's Cook, Bostic, Barkin and George all speak
- Euro zone flash inflation (December)
EUR/USD
1.0708
-0.0054 (-0.50%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
EUR/USD
1.0708
-0.0054 (-0.50%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
GBP/USD
1.2450
-0.0077 (-0.61%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (1)
USD/JPY
139.97
+1.17 (+0.85%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (3)
AUD/USD
0.6602
+0.0031 (+0.47%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (6)
USD/CAD
1.3428
-0.0021 (-0.16%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (2)
Sell (10)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
EUR/JPY
149.89
+0.52 (+0.35%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
EUR/CHF
0.9733
-0.0013 (-0.13%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
Gold Futures
1,964.30
-31.20 (-1.56%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
Silver Futures
23.695
-0.292 (-1.22%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
Copper Futures
3.7310
+0.0200 (+0.54%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
Crude Oil WTI Futures
71.87
+1.77 (+2.52%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (5)
Brent Oil Futures
76.40
+2.12 (+2.85%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (2)
Natural Gas Futures
2.177
+0.019 (+0.88%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
US Coffee C Futures
180.60
-2.45 (-1.34%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (9)
Euro Stoxx 50
4,323.52
+65.91 (+1.55%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
S&P 500
4,282.37
+61.35 (+1.45%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (1)
Sell (11)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
DAX
16,051.23
+197.57 (+1.25%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (6)
FTSE 100
7,607.28
+117.01 (+1.56%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (8)
Hang Seng
18,949.94
+733.03 (+4.02%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (1)
US Small Cap 2000
1,830.91
+62.97 (+3.56%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
IBEX 35
9,317.30
+149.80 (+1.63%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (1)
BASF SE NA O.N.
46.790
+1.940 (+4.33%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
Bayer AG NA
52.61
+0.71 (+1.37%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
210.15
+5.95 (+2.91%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
Adidas AG
159.52
+8.78 (+5.82%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (2)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
9.303
+0.146 (+1.59%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (3)
Siemens AG Class N
159.28
+2.60 (+1.66%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (0)
Deutsche Bank AG
9.862
+0.284 (+2.97%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
EUR/USD | 1.0708 | ↑ Buy | |||
GBP/USD | 1.2450 | ↑ Buy | |||
USD/JPY | 139.97 | Neutral | |||
AUD/USD | 0.6602 | ↑ Sell | |||
USD/CAD | 1.3428 | ↑ Sell | |||
EUR/JPY | 149.89 | ↑ Buy | |||
EUR/CHF | 0.9733 | ↑ Buy |
Gold | 1,964.30 | ↑ Sell | |||
Silver | 23.695 | ↑ Sell | |||
Copper | 3.7310 | ↑ Buy | |||
Crude Oil WTI | 71.87 | Sell | |||
Brent Oil | 76.40 | ↑ Buy | |||
Natural Gas | 2.177 | ↑ Sell | |||
US Coffee C | 180.60 | ↑ Sell |
Euro Stoxx 50 | 4,323.52 | ↑ Buy | |||
S&P 500 | 4,282.37 | ↑ Sell | |||
DAX | 16,051.23 | ↑ Sell | |||
FTSE 100 | 7,607.28 | Sell | |||
Hang Seng | 18,949.94 | ↑ Buy | |||
Small Cap 2000 | 1,830.91 | ↑ Buy | |||
IBEX 35 | 9,317.30 | Buy |
BASF | 46.790 | ↑ Sell | |||
Bayer | 52.61 | ↑ Buy | |||
Allianz | 210.15 | Sell | |||
Adidas | 159.52 | Buy | |||
Lufthansa | 9.303 | Buy | |||
Siemens AG | 159.28 | ↑ Buy | |||
Deutsche Bank AG | 9.862 | Sell |
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
---|---|
SJC Eximbank | 6,650/ 6,690 (6,650/ 6,690) # 1,061 |
SJC HCM | 6,635/ 6,705 (0/ 0) # 1,076 |
SJC Hanoi | 6,635/ 6,707 (0/ 0) # 1,078 |
SJC Danang | 6,635/ 6,707 (0/ 0) # 1,078 |
SJC Nhatrang | 6,635/ 6,707 (0/ 0) # 1,078 |
SJC Cantho | 6,635/ 6,707 (0/ 0) # 1,078 |
Cập nhật 04-06-2023 01:06:11 | |
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! |
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
---|---|---|
$1,948.20 | -28.75 | -1.45% |
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
---|---|---|
Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
RON 95-V | 22.790 | 23.240 |
RON 95-III | 22.010 | 22.450 |
E5 RON 92-II | 20.870 | 21.280 |
DO 0.05S | 17.940 | 18.290 |
DO 0,001S-V | 18.800 | 19.170 |
Dầu hỏa 2-K | 17.770 | 18.120 |
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
---|---|---|---|
WTI | $71.91 | -8.61 | -0.11% |
Brent | $76.19 | -8.44 | -0.10% |
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
---|---|---|
Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
USD | 23.280,00 | 23.650,00 |
EUR | 24.613,38 | 25.991,59 |
GBP | 28.653,47 | 29.875,26 |
JPY | 164,43 | 174,07 |
KRW | 15,48 | 18,86 |
Cập nhật lúc 18:50:19 03/06/2023 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái |