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Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s latest price cuts

By Michael Elkins  Evercore ISI reiterates an In Line rating and $140.00 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s latest price cuts. The company dramatically cut...
Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s latest price cuts © Reuters Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s (TSLA) latest price cuts
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By Michael Elkins 

Evercore ISI reiterates an In Line rating and $140.00 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s latest price cuts. The company dramatically cut prices overnight by a weighted avg. ~$10k or 16% on Model 3s and Ys to make most of their U.S. offerings eligible for a $7.5k US/IRA consumer credit. Combining this U.S. cut and next 2-month IRA of $7.5k (moving to $3.75k mid-March), the starting price of Model Y, to consumer, has fallen ~$20.5k in the last 24 hours ($66k to $45.5k).

Analysts believe that there will be a significant impact to TSLA’s near-term Gross Margin following these cuts, it all depends on how long these new price levels last. Assuming a partial year impact of 30%-50% of the year before half of the cut reverses, they see something like $3-$3.50 EPS in 2023, or an additional $1.10-$1.50 EPS cut to Evercore’s recently lowered $4.60 EPS. $3-$3.50 would be 30%-40% below the consensus.

While most investor attention has been focused on China, TSLA’s U.S. backlog has also been falling due to a combination of increasing production and 4Q buyer strike from anticipated 2023 IRA credits. However, the analysts wrote in a note that “Over the last 2 weeks, while digging into the details of the IRA/IRS ruling, it started to occur to us that if we were having a tough time understanding who got what (e.g., no eligibility for Model Y or GM’s Lyriq due to non-SUV classification), imagine how confusing it was to a dealer or a consumer!! A few calls to some dealers…cleared that up….NO ONE HAD ANY IDEA WHAT WAS GOING ON. Online TSLA trackers also started to flag rising Model Y US inventory and negligible orders to start the year.”

Shares of TSLA are down 6% in pre-market trading on Friday.

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02-02-2023 19:09:56 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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EUR/USD

1.0995

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AUD/USD

0.7126

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    EUR/USD 1.0995 Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2315 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 128.80 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7126 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3282 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 141.63 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 1.0000 Neutral  
    Gold 1,969.55 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 24.552 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1635 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.12 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.38 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 2.483 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 177.78 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,205.45 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,119.21 Neutral  
    DAX 15,377.05 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,803.27 Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,958.36 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,960.81 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,245.08 Sell  
    BASF 53.130 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 56.83 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.75 Sell  
    Adidas 154.78 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.820 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 143.45 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.025 ↑ Buy  
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