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Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s latest price cuts

By Michael Elkins  Evercore ISI reiterates an In Line rating and $140.00 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s latest price cuts. The company dramatically cut...
Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s latest price cuts © Reuters Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s (TSLA) latest price cuts
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By Michael Elkins 

Evercore ISI reiterates an In Line rating and $140.00 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s latest price cuts. The company dramatically cut prices overnight by a weighted avg. ~$10k or 16% on Model 3s and Ys to make most of their U.S. offerings eligible for a $7.5k US/IRA consumer credit. Combining this U.S. cut and next 2-month IRA of $7.5k (moving to $3.75k mid-March), the starting price of Model Y, to consumer, has fallen ~$20.5k in the last 24 hours ($66k to $45.5k).

Analysts believe that there will be a significant impact to TSLA’s near-term Gross Margin following these cuts, it all depends on how long these new price levels last. Assuming a partial year impact of 30%-50% of the year before half of the cut reverses, they see something like $3-$3.50 EPS in 2023, or an additional $1.10-$1.50 EPS cut to Evercore’s recently lowered $4.60 EPS. $3-$3.50 would be 30%-40% below the consensus.

While most investor attention has been focused on China, TSLA’s U.S. backlog has also been falling due to a combination of increasing production and 4Q buyer strike from anticipated 2023 IRA credits. However, the analysts wrote in a note that “Over the last 2 weeks, while digging into the details of the IRA/IRS ruling, it started to occur to us that if we were having a tough time understanding who got what (e.g., no eligibility for Model Y or GM’s Lyriq due to non-SUV classification), imagine how confusing it was to a dealer or a consumer!! A few calls to some dealers…cleared that up….NO ONE HAD ANY IDEA WHAT WAS GOING ON. Online TSLA trackers also started to flag rising Model Y US inventory and negligible orders to start the year.”

Shares of TSLA are down 6% in pre-market trading on Friday.

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21-02-2024 06:19:42 (UTC+7)

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EUR/USD

1.0810

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    EUR/USD 1.0810 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2622 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 149.96 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6551 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3523 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 162.10 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9534 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,035.50 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.043 Buy  
    Copper 3.8628 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.28 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 82.57 Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.700 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 188.03 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,759.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,975.51 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,068.43 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,719.21 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,247.51 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,003.65 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,038.20 Sell  
    BASF 46.045 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.77 Neutral  
    Allianz 249.40 Sell  
    Adidas 181.12 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.339 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 168.72 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.954 ↑ Sell  
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