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European stock futures mixed; German ZEW sentiment data in focus

By Peter Nurse  AiVIF.com - European stock markets are expected to trade in a mixed fashion at the open Monday, at the start of a week that includes important inflation data, a...
European stock futures mixed; German ZEW sentiment data in focus © Reuters.
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By Peter Nurse 

AiVIF.com - European stock markets are expected to trade in a mixed fashion at the open Monday, at the start of a week that includes important inflation data, a policy-setting meeting by the Bank of Japan as well as the return of the World Economic Forum to Davos.

At 02:00 ET (07:00 GMT), the DAX futures contract in Germany traded 0.2% lower, the FTSE 100 futures contract in the U.K. fell 0.1%, while CAC 40 futures in France climbed 0.2%.

Trading volumes are likely to be lighter in Europe Monday, with the U.S. stock market closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday. 

That said, the early focus is likely to be on the release of Germany’s ZEW survey of economic sentiment for January.

This is expected to show an improvement to -15.5 from -23.3 in December, and European equities have benefited from this boosted sentiment, with both the DAX and the CAC 40 over 8% higher so far this year.

This has largely been as a result of signs that inflation is on the retreat, allowing central banks to ease back from their aggressive monetary tightening.

Data late last week showed that U.S. consumer prices fell for the first time in over two-and-a-half years in December, and investors will focus on a final reading of Eurozone inflation for December later this week, as well as one from Britain, for confirmation that the worst of the global price squeeze is over.

The Bank of Japan has been the major outlier, largely maintaining its very accommodative monetary stance even as its main peers tightened interest rates drastically.

However, this may be changing after the BOJ stunned markets last month by widening the band around its 10-year bond yield target, a move that investors saw as a prelude to a future rate hike.

This places Wednesday’s policy-setting meeting firmly in focus amid speculation that it could make further adjustments to its yield curve control policy, the first stage of phasing out its massive stimulus.

The World Economic Forum returns to the Swiss ski resort of Davos this week, with European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz among the dignitaries expected to attend the glitzy affair after a pandemic-influenced three year absence.

Oil prices fell Monday, handing back some of last week’s strong gains at the start of a week that includes a plethora of economic data as well as demand forecasts from OPEC and the IEA.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries releases its latest analysis on Tuesday, followed by the International Energy Agency the following day. Traders will be looking to see what the agencies say about China’s oil demand after the world’s top crude importer removed COVID-19 curbs in late 2022 after years of strict lockdowns. 

By 02:00 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 1.1% lower at $79.22 a barrel, while the Brent contract fell 0.9% to $84.55. Both contracts gained over 8% last week on optimism over China’s opening and following signs of cooling U.S. inflation, hitting the dollar.

Additionally, gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,917.70/oz, while EUR/USD traded 0.1% higher at 1.0838.

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04-03-2024 22:04:19 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0860

+0.0023 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0860

+0.0023 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2691

+0.0040 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

150.38

+0.26 (+0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

AUD/USD

0.6520

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3568

+0.0011 (+0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

163.28

+0.67 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/CHF

0.9609

+0.0027 (+0.28%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,107.55

+11.85 (+0.57%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

23.718

+0.354 (+1.52%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.8662

+0.0047 (+0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.72

-0.25 (-0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

83.56

+0.01 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Natural Gas Futures

1.956

+0.121 (+6.59%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

188.93

+5.63 (+3.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,905.75

+10.89 (+0.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

S&P 500

5,131.66

-5.43 (-0.11%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

DAX

17,696.65

-38.35 (-0.22%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,635.96

-46.54 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

16,595.97

+6.53 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,085.95

+9.56 (+0.46%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

IBEX 35

10,044.50

-20.20 (-0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.755

-1.230 (-2.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.00

-0.33 (-1.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

251.48

-0.33 (-0.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

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Buy (2)

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Adidas AG

185.23

-1.77 (-0.95%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.043

-0.148 (-2.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

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Indicators:

Buy (0)

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Siemens AG Class N

181.55

+0.27 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Deutsche Bank AG

12.548

-0.019 (-0.15%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 1.0860 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2691 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 150.38 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6520 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3568 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 163.28 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9609 Neutral  
    Gold 2,107.55 Neutral  
    Silver 23.718 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8662 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.72 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 83.56 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.956 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 188.93 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,905.75 Neutral  
    S&P 500 5,131.66 Buy  
    DAX 17,696.65 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,635.96 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,595.97 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,085.95 Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,044.50 Neutral  
    BASF 46.755 Neutral  
    Bayer 28.00 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 251.48 Sell  
    Adidas 185.23 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 7.043 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.55 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.548 Neutral  
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SJC Eximbank7,850/ 8,000
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Cập nhật 04-03-2024 22:04:22
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,100.11 +16.63 0.80%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.43024.910
RON 95-III23.92024.390
E5 RON 92-II22.75023.200
DO 0.05S20.77021.180
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Dầu hỏa 2-K20.78021.190
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.34 +1.89 0.02%
Brent $83.37 +1.66 0.02%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.470,0024.840,00
EUR26.073,4227.504,34
GBP30.457,8531.753,97
JPY159,18168,48
KRW16,0119,41
Cập nhật lúc 18:53:11 04/03/2024
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