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Dollar wavers after Fed minutes offer few surprises

Thursday, January 5, 2023
Dollar wavers after Fed minutes offer few surprises © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Harry Robertson and Rae Wee

LONDON/SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar was roughly flat in choppy trading on Thursday after the release of the latest Federal Reserve minutes.

Details of the discussion from the central bank's December policy meeting, released on Wednesday, showed policymakers remain focused on curbing inflation and do not envisage interest rate cuts in 2023.

Analysts said the minutes were broadly in line with expectations, explaining the relatively muted reaction in markets.

The euro was last up 0.13% against the dollar at $1.062. It rose 0.54% on Wednesday after French inflation came in lower than expected, boosting optimism about the euro zone economy.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against major peers, was last flat at 104.2 on Thursday, after rising earlier in the session.

It was well below September's 20-year high of 114.78, but above the six-month low of 103.38 touched in late December.

The dollar surged in 2022 as the Fed hiked interest rates aggressively, luring investors towards higher-yielding U.S. assets.

Fed officials in December projected that its main interest rate, currently in the 4.25%-4.50% range, would rise to just over 5% in 2023 and likely remain there for some time.

The minutes reiterated the hawkish message on Wednesday, saying that "no participants anticipated that it would be appropriate to begin reducing the federal funds rate target in 2023".

Yet the market doubts that the Fed will not lower rates as economic growth slows, partly explaining the lack of reaction in the dollar, analysts said.

"Long story short, the markets are not buying the Fed's dot plot," said Christopher Wong, a currency strategist at OCBC.

Japan's yen was little changed at 132.63 per dollar, after rising 1.23% on Wednesday as traders wagered that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may soon fully abandon its controversial yield curve control.

The BOJ is putting more emphasis on an inflation gauge that excludes fuel costs and will likely raise its projections for the index's growth in quarterly forecasts due this month, sources told Reuters.

Jane Foley, head of currency strategy at RaboBank, said lower inflation in Europe and reopening in China were likely weighing on the dollar by making other regions look more attractive.

"We've got the euro zone perhaps doing better than the market anticipated, so perhaps less reason for safe-haven dollar buying," she said.

Foley said economic data would be key in determining whether the Fed sticks to its rate hike projections. The latest U.S. monthly employment figures, for December, is due on Friday.

Sterling was down 0.36% to $1.202, after rallying 0.76% on Wednesday.

The Chinese onshore yuan rose more than 0.3% to 6.875 per dollar as the currency continued to be underpinned by China's reopening measures, despite a surge in COVID-19 cases.

The Aussie dollar was last down 0.3% to $0.682, while the Kiwi was 0.17% lower at %0.628.

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31-03-2024 10:19:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2624

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6522

+0.0007 (+0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3543

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

163.37

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9738

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

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Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0793 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2624 Sell  
    USD/JPY 151.38 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6522 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3543 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.37 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9738 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,254.80 Buy  
    Silver 25.100 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.0115 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 83.11 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 86.99 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 1.752 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 188.53 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 5,082.85 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,254.35 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 18,504.51 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,952.62 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,541.42 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 2,120.15 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 11,074.60 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 52.930 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 28.43 Buy  
    Allianz 277.80 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 207.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.281 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 176.96 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 14.582 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(7,910/ 8,080) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,830/ 8,080
(0/ 0) # 1,364
SJC Hanoi7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Danang7,830/ 8,082
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SJC Nhatrang7,830/ 8,082
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SJC Cantho7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
Cập nhật 31-03-2024 10:19:52
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75 -1.61 -0.07%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
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WTI $82.82 +5.39 0.07%
Brent $86.82 +5.18 0.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:31 31/03/2024
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