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Dollar subdued ahead of Fed minutes, yen at 6-mth high

03 Tháng Giêng 2023
Dollar subdued ahead of Fed minutes, yen at 6-mth high © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar eased on Tuesday as investors awaited the minutes from the last U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting, and the yen was its strongest in six months amid speculation that the Bank of Japan might move away from its ultra-easy policy.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, has made a subdued start to 2023 and was last down 0.096% at 103.540. The dollar index rose 8% last year in its biggest annual jump since 2015 on the back of the Fed raising interest rates to tackle inflation.

The yen strengthened 0.65% to 129.88 per dollar, its strongest since June, though it lost 12% against the dollar in 2022.

Speculation that the BOJ was set to start shifting off its ultra-loose policy flared when the central bank widened the yield cap range on 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) last month, and it was further fuelled by a Nikkei report on Saturday that the BOJ was considering raising its inflation forecasts in January to show price growth close to its 2% target in fiscal 2023 and 2024.

"The market obviously wants to believe that tinkering with the yield curve cap is not once and done," Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, adding that the market was looking for further signals that there would be more tweaks to the yield curve control settings.

Investor attention this week is fixed on the minutes of the Fed's December policymaking meeting, which are due to be released on Wednesday, with traders looking for clues to what rate path is likely to be taken in 2023.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points last month after delivering four consecutive 75-basis point hikes in the year, but has said it may need to keep interest rates higher for longer to tame inflation.

Citi strategists said the minutes could reveal more divergence between doves and hawks regarding how high the terminal rate should go.

"We will also be looking for any guide on what could determine the size of the hike at the February meeting, but would not expect any concrete guidance," Citi said, adding they continue to expect a 50 basis points hike in February.

The dollar is likely to consolidate as "market activity gradually picks up this week," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore.

U.S. payrolls data, due to be released on Friday, is expected to show that the labour market remains tight.

ING economists said in a note that the Fed had talked up the importance of the payrolls data for the inflation outlook, but they noted that wage growth had not caused the inflation and it would not be the reason that it ultimately falls.

Meanwhile, China's factory activity shrank for the third straight month in December and at the sharpest pace in nearly three years as COVID infections swept through production lines after Beijing's abrupt reversal of anti-virus measures.

The offshore Chinese yuan fell 0.45% versus the greenback at $6.8954 per dollar.

The Australian dollar fell 0.06% versus the greenback at $0.680, while the kiwi rose 0.10% at $0.632.

The euro was up 0.09% to $1.0672, while sterling was last trading at $1.2076, up 0.26% on the day.

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05-06-2023 06:52:22 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0695

-0.0015 (-0.14%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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EUR/USD

1.0695

-0.0015 (-0.14%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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GBP/USD

1.2429

-0.0029 (-0.23%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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USD/JPY

140.22

+0.23 (+0.17%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

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Buy (5)

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AUD/USD

0.6596

-0.0022 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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USD/CAD

1.3430

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

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EUR/JPY

149.98

+0.05 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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EUR/CHF

0.9732

0.0000 (0.00%)

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Neutral

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Gold Futures

1,964.75

-4.85 (-0.25%)

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Silver Futures

23.652

-0.095 (-0.40%)

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Copper Futures

3.7130

-0.0180 (-0.48%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

73.39

+1.65 (+2.30%)

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77.81

+1.68 (+2.21%)

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Natural Gas Futures

2.210

+0.033 (+1.52%)

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US Coffee C Futures

180.60

-2.45 (-1.34%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,323.52

+65.91 (+1.55%)

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↑ Buy

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S&P 500

4,282.37

+61.35 (+1.45%)

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DAX

16,051.23

+197.57 (+1.25%)

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FTSE 100

7,607.28

+117.01 (+1.56%)

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Sell

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Hang Seng

18,949.94

+733.03 (+4.02%)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,830.91

+62.97 (+3.56%)

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9,317.30

+149.80 (+1.63%)

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46.790

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52.61

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210.15

+5.95 (+2.91%)

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Adidas AG

159.52

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9.303

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159.28

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9.862

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    EUR/USD 1.0695 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2429 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 140.22 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6596 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3430 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 149.98 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9732 Neutral  
    Gold 1,964.75 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.652 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7130 Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 73.39 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 77.81 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.210 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 180.60 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,323.52 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,282.37 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 16,051.23 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,607.28 Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,949.94 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.91 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,317.30 Buy  
    BASF 46.790 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.61 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 210.15 Sell  
    Adidas 159.52 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.303 Buy  
    Siemens AG 159.28 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.862 Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,690
(6,650/ 6,690) # 1,061
SJC HCM6,635/ 6,705
(0/ 0) # 1,076
SJC Hanoi6,635/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,078
SJC Danang6,635/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,078
SJC Nhatrang6,635/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,078
SJC Cantho6,635/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,078
Cập nhật 05-06-2023 06:52:24
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,948.80 +0.56 0.03%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V22.79023.240
RON 95-III22.01022.450
E5 RON 92-II20.87021.280
DO 0.05S17.94018.290
DO 0,001S-V18.80019.170
Dầu hỏa 2-K17.77018.120
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $73.39 -7.13 -0.09%
Brent $77.75 -6.89 -0.08%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.280,0023.650,00
EUR24.613,3825.991,59
GBP28.653,4729.875,26
JPY164,43174,07
KRW15,4818,86
Cập nhật lúc 06:50:02 05/06/2023
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