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Dollar jumps on strong employment data

06 Tháng Giêng 2023
Dollar jumps on strong employment data © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar jumped on Thursday after data pointed to a strong jobs market a day before Friday's highly anticipated employment report for December, supporting the prospect that the Federal Reserve could keep hiking rates at an aggressive pace.

Private employment increased by 235,000 jobs last month, the ADP National Employment report showed on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private jobs increasing 150,000.

Separately, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits dropped to a three-month low last week, while layoffs fell 43% in December.

“The payrolls and the wage data is very key for the Fed’s stance,” said Lou Brien, a market strategist at DRW Trading in Chicago, though he noted that Fed moves were not contingent on one piece of data, with each release representing more “tiles in the mosaic”.

Friday’s government jobs and wage data for December is this week’s major economic focus as investors gauge how high the U.S. central bank is likely to raise rates, and for how long.

It is expected to show that employers added 200,000 jobs in the month, while average hourly earnings are predicted to have risen 0.4% in December for an annual increase of 5%.

Consumer price data for December, due on Jan. 12, is expected to show that prices gained by 0.1% in December.

Fed funds futures traders increased their bets on Thursday that the Fed could hike rates by 50 basis points at its meeting concluding on February 1. It is now seen as a 48% chance, up from 31% on Wednesday morning, with a 25 basis points increase sill seen as marginally more likely.

Brien said that it would likely take “something extraordinary” in terms of much higher than expected inflation or wage gains for the Fed to raise rates by 50 basis points next month, with Fed officials now preferring to move in more gradual 25 basis point increments as they evaluate the impact of higher rates.

The Fed slowed the pace of its rate hikes to 50 basis points in December, following four consecutive 75-basis point increases.

Minutes from the Fed’s December meeting released on Wednesday emphasized “the need to retain flexibility and optionality when moving policy to a more restrictive stance," but also expressed concern about any "misperception" in financial markets that their commitment to fighting inflation was flagging.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Thursday that inflation was the biggest headwind facing the U.S. economy right now and U.S. Federal Reserve officials "remain determined" to lower it back to the central bank's 2% target.

The dollar was last up 0.65% against the euro at $1.0536, and up 0.91% against the Japanese yen at 133.81.

The yen has rebounded dramatically from a more than 30-year low of 151.94 reached in October. After a tweak last month, traders are betting the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will soon fully abandon its yield curve control (YCC) policy.

The BOJ is putting more emphasis on an inflation gauge that excludes fuel costs and will likely raise its projections for the index's growth in quarterly forecasts due this month, sources told Reuters.

"We're on our way out of YCC, so it's just a question of timing," said James Malcolm, head of FX strategy at UBS.

Sterling was down 1.25% at $1.1905.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:01AM (1501 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 105.0500 104.2100 +0.82% 1.507% +105.0600 +103.9800

Euro/Dollar $1.0536 $1.0605 -0.65% -1.67% +$1.0631 +$1.0535

Dollar/Yen 133.8100 132.6250 +0.91% +2.08% +133.8250 +131.6900

Euro/Yen 140.99 140.62 +0.26% +0.49% +141.3500 +139.9900

Dollar/Swiss 0.9361 0.9298 +0.70% +1.25% +0.9362 +0.9263

Sterling/Dollar $1.1905 $1.2059 -1.25% -1.53% +$1.2077 +$1.1904

Dollar/Canadian 1.3546 1.3480 +0.51% -0.01% +1.3549 +1.3471

Aussie/Dollar $0.6761 $0.6839 -1.12% -0.80% +$0.6845 +$0.6762

Euro/Swiss 0.9862 0.9857 +0.05% -0.34% +0.9871 +0.9834

Euro/Sterling 0.8849 0.8794 +0.63% +0.06% +0.8862 +0.8792

NZ $0.6232 $0.6291 -0.93% -1.84% +$0.6309 +$0.6230

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 10.2285 10.0950 +1.38% +4.28% +10.2395 +10.0415

Euro/Norway 10.7741 10.6780 +0.90% +2.67% +10.8028 +10.6716

Dollar/Sweden 10.6649 10.5019 +0.91% +2.47% +10.6716 +10.4853

Euro/Sweden 11.2375 11.1360 +0.91% +0.79% +11.2560 +11.1357

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07-02-2023 09:48:31 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0739

+0.0009 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.0739

+0.0009 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.2050

+0.0034 (+0.28%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

132.31

-0.34 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

AUD/USD

0.6917

+0.0036 (+0.52%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3416

-0.0030 (-0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/JPY

142.09

-0.24 (-0.17%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9952

-0.0008 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,886.25

+6.75 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

22.363

+0.126 (+0.57%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Copper Futures

4.0510

+0.0140 (+0.35%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

74.92

+0.81 (+1.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Brent Oil Futures

81.79

+0.41 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

2.494

0.000 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

176.35

+3.55 (+2.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,205.45

-52.53 (-1.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

4,111.08

-25.40 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,345.91

-130.52 (-0.84%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,836.71

-65.09 (-0.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

21,487.00

+264.84 (+1.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,954.80

-30.73 (-1.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,159.20

-66.40 (-0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.950

-1.090 (-2.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

58.19

+1.51 (+2.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

219.30

-1.45 (-0.66%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

155.36

-5.70 (-3.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.803

-0.099 (-1.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

142.96

-2.06 (-1.42%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.356

-0.174 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0739 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2050 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 132.31 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6917 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3416 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 142.09 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9952 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,886.25 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 22.363 Buy  
    Copper 4.0510 Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 74.92 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 81.79 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.494 Buy  
    US Coffee C 176.35 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,205.45 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,111.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,345.91 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,836.71 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 21,487.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,954.80 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,159.20 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 52.950 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 58.19 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 219.30 Neutral  
    Adidas 155.36 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.803 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 142.96 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.356 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,635/ 6,695
(-5/ -5) # 1,354
SJC HCM6,650/ 6,730
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SJC Hanoi6,650/ 6,732
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SJC Danang6,650/ 6,732
(10/ 10) # 1,391
SJC Nhatrang6,650/ 6,732
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SJC Cantho6,650/ 6,732
(10/ 10) # 1,391
Cập nhật 07-02-2023 09:48:34
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,873.87 +8.5 0.46%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $75.16 -0.4 -0.53%
Brent $81.66 -0.45 -0.56%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.290,0023.660,00
EUR24.594,4725.971,56
GBP27.592,9028.769,40
JPY172,77182,91
KRW16,2219,76
Cập nhật lúc 09:44:00 07/02/2023
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