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Debt bomb, biotech bump and a bond rally: 2023 money predictions

13 Tháng Giêng 2023
Debt bomb, biotech bump and a bond rally: 2023 money predictions © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. One dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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By Chris Taylor

NEW YORK (Reuters) - If there was only one word to sum up 2022, "unpredictable" might be the most accurate.

Yet we all enjoy trying to predict the future, especially when it comes to our finances – to protect ourselves from the downside, or to take advantage of the upside.

What does 2023 hold for investors? We talked to some leading lights in the financial world about the road ahead.

Prediction: Debt bomb

Sarah Newcomb, director of financial psychology at Morningstar

“I’m concerned about the lack of saving in America as a whole. Inflation may be slowing, but data from the Federal Reserve shows consumer borrowing has been steadily rising. It seems we’re funding our more expensive lifestyles with debt.

“That can only last so long, and with rising interest rates, it concerns me. We had a moment of higher savings rates when the pandemic first hit, and people realized they needed to be prepared for anything. Once the shock wore off, spending and borrowing picked back up, and I fear we didn’t learn our lesson. I am concerned about increased bankruptcy rates, loan defaults and overall financial stress in 2023.”

Prediction: Boring wins

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, president of Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Foundation and managing director of Charles Schwab & Co.

“I predict that in 2023, timeless money principles will win out and more people will decide that ‘boring is best’ when it comes to managing their finances. Tried-and-true principles that have helped people build wealth for generations will be the hottest trend in finance: investing for the long term; building a portfolio grounded in asset allocation and diversification; establishing an emergency fund; limiting debt; and maxing out your 401(k).

“Of course, trendy investment ideas will pop up as they always do, but it’s important to remember there is no get-rich-quick solution. Getting back to the basics will foster strong financial foundations as we face economic headwinds in the new year.”

Prediction: Bonds are back

Kristy Akullian, iShares senior investment strategist at BlackRock (NYSE:BLK)

“Bonds will be back in 2023 in a way we haven’t seen in decades. In an otherwise challenging investment landscape for the year ahead, we see tremendous value in high-quality fixed-income and believe others will as well.

“No longer just the remit of retirees, attractive yields will attract a new cohort of buyers to the asset class: Newer investors looking for less volatility, Millennials with near and medium-term investment objectives and multi-asset managers who see opportunity to outperform. Already, ETF flows are starting to show a shift in investor preferences – watch for much more of this in the year ahead.”

Prediction: "Unstoppable trends" will ride out recession

Jim O’Donnell, CEO of Citi Global Wealth

“We’re focused on what we call ‘unstoppable trends’ like healthcare – especially in areas like biologics, life science tools and age tech – that are likely to give investors access to companies with long-term growth prospects. Aging and growing populations are likely to boost spending on healthcare innovations.

“This growth, paired with the fact that the healthcare industry is least tied to current economic conditions, makes this a potentially attractive sector for suitable investor portfolios.”

Prediction: Headwinds for small business

Asahi Pompey, Global Head of Corporate Engagement, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS); President of the Goldman Sachs Foundation

“For small business owners, the financial success of their businesses will become even more deeply intertwined with their personal financial situations as the economic climate remains uncertain. The optimism of these entrepreneurs for continued growth in the new year points to resilience amid some tough financial decisions they’ll likely make in 2023.

“For instance, we expect to see a rise in debt consolidation as business owners look to combat the rate environment. And while entrepreneurs will continue to invest in their businesses, growing their personal savings will be increasingly important to buffer against continued inflationary pressures.” 

Prediction: Consumers hunkering down

Chris Britt, Co-founder and CEO at Chime

“My prediction would be that American consumers in 2023 are going to hunker down and focus on building more solid foundations for their financial future. The data is clear that people’s confidence is at extremely low levels right now, not seen since the early days of pandemic.

“Since millions of consumers use us as their primary account, we can actually see where money is going. We are seeing far less movement into more volatile investments, like crypto transactions, and more movement into safer investments like high-yield savings. That signals to us that people are preparing for what could be a very challenging 2023.”

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30-01-2023 14:52:11 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0855

-0.0012 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.0855

-0.0012 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.2378

-0.0019 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

USD/JPY

129.64

-0.21 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.7082

-0.0022 (-0.30%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3341

+0.0032 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

140.72

-0.39 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

1.0018

+0.0014 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,924.45

-4.95 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

23.733

+0.111 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

4.1833

-0.0392 (-0.93%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

78.98

-0.70 (-0.88%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

85.75

-0.65 (-0.75%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

2.659

-0.190 (-6.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

169.25

+2.10 (+1.26%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,178.01

+4.03 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,070.56

+10.13 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

15,150.03

+17.18 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,765.15

+4.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

22,073.00

-615.90 (-2.71%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

US Small Cap 2000

1,911.46

+8.39 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

9,060.20

+24.60 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.790

+0.170 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

56.28

+0.24 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

221.65

+0.05 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

148.30

+3.02 (+2.08%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.755

+0.028 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

144.50

+0.44 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.340

+0.208 (+1.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0855 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2378 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 129.64 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7082 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3341 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.72 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 1.0018 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,924.45 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.733 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.1833 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 78.98 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.75 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 2.659 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 169.25 Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,178.01 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,070.56 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,150.03 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,765.15 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 22,073.00 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,911.46 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,060.20 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.790 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.28 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.65 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 148.30 Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.755 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 144.50 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.340 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,620/ 6,700
(-100/ -120) # 1,224
SJC HCM6,650/ 6,750
(-70/ -70) # 1,274
SJC Hanoi6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,276
SJC Danang6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,276
SJC Nhatrang6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,276
SJC Cantho6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,276
Cập nhật 30-01-2023 14:52:13
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,924.95 -3.71 -0.19%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.01023.470
RON 95-III22.15022.590
E5 RON 92-II21.35021.770
DO 0.05S21.63022.060
DO 0,001S-V23.39023.850
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.80022.230
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.26 +1.19 1.48%
Brent $85.85 +1.24 1.43%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.814,9626.204,51
GBP28.296,9629.503,61
JPY176,00186,33
KRW16,5220,13
Cập nhật lúc 14:48:44 30/01/2023
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