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Asian shares extend global selloff amid bets on more aggressive Fed

14 Tháng Chín 2022
Asian shares extend global selloff amid bets on more aggressive Fed © Reuters. An electronic stock quotation board is displayed inside a conference hall in Tokyo, Japan November 1, 2021. REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares tumbled, the dollar held firm and the U.S. yield curve was deeply inverted on Wednesday, as a white-hot U.S. inflation report dashed hopes for a peak in inflation and fuelled bets that interest rates may have to be raised higher and for longer.

U.S. Labor Department data showed on Tuesday the headline Consumer Price Index gained 0.1% on a monthly basis versus expectations for a 0.1% decline. In particular, core inflation, stripping out volatile food and energy prices, doubled to 0.6%.

Wall Street saw its steepest fall in two years, the safe-haven dollar posted its biggest jump since early 2020, and two-year Treasury yields, which rise with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, jumped to the highest level in 15 years.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.3% in early Asia trade on Wednesday. Resources-heavy Australia plunged 2.8%, while Japan's Nikkei tumbled 2.7%.

Both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures rose 0.1%, after a heavy sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 3.94%, the S&P 500 lost 4.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 5.16%.

"Markets have reacted violently to what I would consider to be a modest miss in U.S. CPI. Stocks and bonds were smoked, taken to the principal's office for a good old-fashioned, old-school pre-woke thrashing," said Scott Rundell, chief investment officer at Mutual Limited.

"Futures have stabilised, so we might see a dead-cat bounce tonight."

Financial markets now have fully priced in an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the FOMC's policy meeting next week, with a 33% probability of a super-sized, full-percentage-point increase to the Fed funds target rate, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

"With another 75bp hike more than fully priced into the market following the CPI report, there is no reason for the Fed not to deliver another super-sized move," said Kevin Cummins (NYSE:CMI), chief U.S. Economist at NatWest Markets.

"We now expect the FOMC to follow up July's large 75bps rate increase with a similar 75bps move in November (up from our earlier 25bps call) and another 50bps in December to 4.25-4.50% (up from our earlier 25bps call)."

In the currency markets, the U.S. dollar held firm against a basket of major currencies at 109.9, after jumping 1.4% overnight on the surprisingly strong U.S. inflation report.

It hovered close to its 24-year peak against the rate-sensitive Japanese yen at 144.57 yen. The yen has been a victim of the dovish monetary stance from the Bank of Japan, in contrast with rate hikes elsewhere.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield scaled a new 15-year high of 3.8040% on Friday, as the curve gap with the benchmark ten-year yields hovering around 34 basis points, compared with 16 bps a week ago.

The yield curve inversion is usually treated as a warning of recession.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.4448% compared with its U.S. close of 3.423% on Tuesday.

Oil prices recovered some ground on Friday, after falling in the previous session. U.S. crude settled up 0.4% at $87.63 per barrel and Brent settled at $93.44, up 0.3% on the day.

Gold was slightly higher. Spot gold was traded at $1701.7526 per ounce. [GOL/]

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27-09-2022 15:24:04 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9633

+0.0027 (+0.28%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

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EUR/USD

0.9633

+0.0027 (+0.28%)

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GBP/USD

1.0804

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USD/JPY

144.32

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AUD/USD

0.6482

+0.0027 (+0.43%)

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USD/CAD

1.3686

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EUR/JPY

139.04

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EUR/CHF

0.9537

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Gold Futures

1,641.20

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Silver Futures

18.585

+0.105 (+0.57%)

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Copper Futures

3.3375

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.99

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Brent Oil Futures

84.11

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7.188

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US Coffee C Futures

226.83

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,374.35

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S&P 500

3,655.04

-38.19 (-1.03%)

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DAX

12,344.52

+116.60 (+0.95%)

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FTSE 100

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+23.45 (+0.33%)

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Hang Seng

17,845.50

-9.64 (-0.05%)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,664.34

-11.83 (-0.71%)

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IBEX 35

7,536.41

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40.170

+0.360 (+0.90%)

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Bayer AG NA

49.09

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166.33

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Adidas AG

129.98

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.792

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99.77

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Deutsche Bank AG

8.413

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    EUR/USD 0.9633 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.0804 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.32 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6482 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3686 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 139.04 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9537 Buy  
    Gold 1,641.20 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.585 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3375 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.99 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 84.11 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.188 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 226.83 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,374.35 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,655.04 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,344.52 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,044.40 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,845.50 Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,664.34 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,536.41 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 40.170 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 49.09 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 166.33 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 129.98 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.792 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 99.77 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 8.413 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,480/ 6,580
(-70/ -50) # 1,880
SJC HCM6,480/ 6,580
(-80/ -60) # 1,881
SJC Hanoi6,480/ 6,582
(-80/ -60) # 1,883
SJC Danang6,480/ 6,582
(-80/ -60) # 1,883
SJC Nhatrang6,480/ 6,582
(-80/ -60) # 1,883
SJC Cantho6,480/ 6,582
(-80/ -60) # 1,883
Cập nhật 27-09-2022 15:24:08
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,634.55 +6.59 0.40%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
DO 0,001S-V24.51025.000
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $77.58 -1.09 -1.42%
Brent $83.99 -1.42 -1.72%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.565,0023.875,00
EUR22.307,0323.555,67
GBP24.922,5525.984,77
JPY159,98169,36
KRW14,4317,58
Cập nhật lúc 14:49:16 27/09/2022
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