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U.S. rate futures price in 75% chance of 75 bps Fed hike in June

06 Tháng Năm 2022
U.S. rate futures price in 75% chance of 75 bps Fed hike in June © Reuters. U.S. one dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken February 8, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Futures on the federal funds rate priced in on Thursday a roughly 75% chance of a three quarters of a percentage point tightening by the Federal Reserve at next month's policy meeting, a day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell ruled out such a rate hike.

"A 75 basis point increase is not something that the committee is actively considering," Powell said on Wednesday in response to a question at a press conference following the Fed's latest meeting, where it also signaled more rate increases.

Rate futures have also factored in more than 200 bps of cumulative hikes for 2022 and a year-end fed funds rate at 2.85%

"There is a lot of reflection and repositioning going on after the FOMC decision...and whether the expected rate hikes were dovish or hawkish," said Kim Rupert, managing director, fixed income at Action Economics in San Francisco

"And though Powell dismissed notions of a 75 bps hike, the FOMC is still on the march and looks to boost the funds rate up to 2.625% to year-end. The Fed is still focused on tackling inflation, while growth is still decent this year and this just gives the Fed the opportunity to continue to keep raising rates."

The CME's FedWatch tool also showed a large probability of a 75 bps rate increase, at 83%.

DataTrek Research on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) said: "Apparently Fed Funds Futures didn't listen to Chair Powell yesterday."

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24-05-2022 02:44:34 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0688

+0.0128 (+1.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0688

+0.0128 (+1.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2579

+0.0092 (+0.74%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

127.85

-0.01 (-0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.7102

+0.0069 (+0.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.2780

-0.0056 (-0.43%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

136.64

+1.63 (+1.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/CHF

1.0325

+0.0029 (+0.29%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,852.15

+10.05 (+0.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

21.761

+0.087 (+0.40%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Copper Futures

4.3355

+0.0605 (+1.42%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

110.39

+0.11 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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Brent Oil Futures

110.72

+0.73 (+0.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

8.870

+0.692 (+8.46%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

215.58

-0.27 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,708.39

+51.36 (+1.40%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

3,959.30

+57.94 (+1.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

DAX

14,175.40

+193.49 (+1.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,513.44

+123.46 (+1.67%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

20,470.06

-247.18 (-1.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

US Small Cap 2000

1,786.50

+18.15 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

IBEX 35

8,625.80

+141.30 (+1.67%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.735

+0.885 (+1.81%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

64.47

+0.73 (+1.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

199.38

+3.80 (+1.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

175.48

+2.68 (+1.55%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.903

+0.051 (+0.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Siemens AG Class N

116.70

+1.62 (+1.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.018

+0.656 (+7.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0688↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2579↑ Buy
 USD/JPY127.85↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7102↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2780Buy
 EUR/JPY136.64↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0325Neutral
 Gold1,852.15↑ Sell
 Silver21.761↑ Sell
 Copper4.3355↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI110.39↑ Buy
 Brent Oil110.72↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.870↑ Buy
 US Coffee C215.58↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,708.39↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,959.30↑ Sell
 DAX14,175.40↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,513.44↑ Buy
 Hang Seng20,470.06Neutral
 Small Cap 20001,786.50↑ Sell
 IBEX 358,625.80↑ Buy
 BASF49.735↑ Buy
 Bayer64.47↑ Buy
 Allianz199.38↑ Buy
 Adidas175.48↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.903Neutral
 Siemens AG116.70↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.018↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,890/ 6,990
(0/ 0) # 1,765
SJC HCM6,905/ 6,995
(0/ 0) # 1,769
SJC Hanoi6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
SJC Danang6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
SJC Nhatrang6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
SJC Cantho6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
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KRW15,8019,25
Cập nhật lúc 18:52:02 23/05/2022
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