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U.S. inflation day

Tuesday, September 13, 2022
U.S. inflation day © Reuters. Figurines are seen in front of displayed stock graph and word "Inflation" in this illustration taken June 13, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever

Investors get the latest U.S. inflation figures on Tuesday, which will set the seal - or not - on a third consecutive 75 basis point rate hike from the Fed, and set the tone for global markets for the next several weeks.

Headline annual consumer inflation is expected to have slowed in August to 8.1% from 8.5%, and on a monthly basis, prices are expected to have fallen outright by 0.1%. Core inflation is expected to be a little stickier.

But that was the consensus forecast before the New York Fed's latest survey of consumers' inflation expectations was released on Monday. It showed a pretty steep decline in inflation expectations, particularly the one-year ahead outlook.

It is another piece of evidence that suggests the inflation peak is firmly in the rear-view mirror. Shipping rates, oil, lumber, and a whole host of other commodities prices have fallen substantially in recent months.

Asian stocks are likely to open in the green on Tuesday after Wall Street once again climbed higher. That was despite a rise in longer-dated bond yields following a weak 10-year Treasury auction, and a spike in the 'VIX' volatility index.

Some of the equity market optimism is down to news that Ukrainian forces had advanced against Russia in a war that has hurt the global economy. Some of it is down to the easing of financial conditions brought on by the falling dollar.

The dollar has weakened for four days in a row, and on Monday posted its biggest one-day decline in a month.

Elsewhere in currencies, meanwhile, Japan's central bank is nowhere near close to trying to support the yen with higher interest rates, three sources familiar with the thinking of the Bank of Japan told Reuters.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:

Japan business survey index ((Q3)

Australia consumer sentiment, business confidence (August)

U.S. inflation (August)

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

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EUR/JPY

168.32

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EUR/CHF

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27.35

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266.60

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Adidas AG

226.40

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

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15.010

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Sell (2)

    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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