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Tesla Estimates, Price Target Cut at Morgan Stanley

By Sam Boughedda Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target was cut to $1,200 per share from $1,300 by Morgan Stanley analyst and Tesla bull Adam Jonas on Wednesday. Jonas said the firm's...
Tesla Estimates, Price Target Cut at Morgan Stanley © Reuters Tesla (TSLA) Estimates, Price Target Cut at Morgan Stanley

By Sam Boughedda

Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target was cut to $1,200 per share from $1,300 by Morgan Stanley analyst and Tesla bull Adam Jonas on Wednesday.

Jonas said the firm's second-quarter unit estimates have been cut to 270k units compared to the previous 316k units, taking their FY22 volume forecast to 1.390mm vs. 1.425mm previously.

"We mark to market our 2Q forecasts for lower volume (latest data, China) with most of the shortfall made up for in 2H volume and higher pricing. Target falls to $1,200 (vs. $1,300) almost entirely due to WACC increasing to 9% from 8.5% previously," said Jonas.

Jonas added that with their volume estimates, they have allowed for some "modicum of upside" given the "historic ability of Tesla to significantly increase production/sales in the latter weeks of a given quarter."

"According to data from EV-Volumes, since 2019 in the 3rd month of a given Q, TSLA's sales have ranged from 47%-69% of its quarterly sales. This continued in 1Q22 where March sales accounted for 58% of sales in the quarter. With TSLA 2Q sales estimated to be around 100k units through May (EV-Volumes), we believe TSLA will flex its manufacturing prowess, aided by accelerated ramp of Austin and Berlin, and deliver ~170-175k units in June, slightly below the estimated ~180k units delivered in March '22."

The analyst maintained an Overweight rating on the stock, adding that they would buy Tesla weakness on a potentially weak 2Q print.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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USD/JPY

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AUD/USD

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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