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Stocks up as commodity slide offers a salve for inflation fears

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Stocks and bonds were both headed for their first weekly gain in a month on Friday as investors wagered on central banks bringing inflation...
Stocks up as commodity slide offers a salve for inflation fears © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Men wearing protective masks amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, use mobile phones in front of an electronic board displaying Japan's Nikkei index outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Stocks and bonds were both headed for their first weekly gain in a month on Friday as investors wagered on central banks bringing inflation to heel, though growth fears dragged on commodities.

Copper, a bellwether for economic output with its wide range of industrial and construction uses, slid 3% in Shanghai and is down more than 7% for the week - its sharpest weekly fall since the pandemic-driven financial markets meltdown in March 2020.

Oil also fell overnight, and Brent crude futures are down 2% on the week to $110.62 a barrel, while benchmark grain prices sank with Chicago wheat off nearly 9% for the week and at its lowest since March at $9.42 a bushel. [O/R][GRA/]

The price falls have made for some relief in equities since energy and food have been the drivers of inflation. After some heavy recent losses, MSCI's World equities index is up 2% on the week.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1% on Friday, flattered by short sellers bailing out of Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) - which rose 5% - amid hints that China's technology crackdown is abating.

Japan's Nikkei rose 0.8% for a 1.6% weekly gain and S&P 500 futures were flat after the index rose about 1% overnight. The U.S. dollar is hovering just below a two-decade high against a basket of major currencies.

"While market worries about an abrupt slowdown are the culprit behind recent moves lower in raw materials prices, lower commodity prices do feel like they could be just what the doctor ordered for the global economy," said NatWest markets strategist Brian Daingerfield.

"So much of our hard landing fears relate to concerns that link back to commodity prices."

Soft data through this week has been to blame.

Gauges of factory activity in Japan, Britain, the euro zone and United States all softened in June, with U.S. producers reporting the first outright drop in new orders in two years in the face of slumping confidence.

Bonds rallied hard on hopes the bets on aggressive rate hikes would have to be curtailed, with German two-year yields down 22 basis points in their biggest drop since 2008. [GVD/EUR]

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 7 bps overnight and was steady at 3.0944%. [US/]

The U.S. dollar has slipped from recent highs, but not too far as investors remain cautious. It was last fairly steady at $1.0529 per euro and bought 134.79 yen. [FRX/]

The battered yen has steadied this week and drew a little support on Friday from Japanese inflation topping the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a second straight month, putting some more pressure on its ultra-easy policy stance.

European Central Bank and Federal Reserve speakers will be watched closely later in the day, as will British retail sales data and German business confidence. Beyond that, the main worry is what it all means for company performance.

"Second quarter earnings reports will send shockwaves to the market as the earnings outlook hasn’t deteriorated materially so far, and that will further build concerns of a recession," said Charu Chanana, market strategist at brokerage Saxo in Singapore.

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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
30-06-2022 19:39:42 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0394

-0.0045 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0394

-0.0045 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2119

-0.0006 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

136.21

-0.37 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6888

+0.0007 (+0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.2906

+0.0015 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

141.57

-1.01 (-0.71%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9960

-0.0011 (-0.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,808.55

-8.95 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

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Silver Futures

20.433

-0.305 (-1.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Copper Futures

3.7027

-0.0778 (-2.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

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Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

109.06

-0.72 (-0.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Brent Oil Futures

111.88

-0.57 (-0.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Natural Gas Futures

6.454

-0.044 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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US Coffee C Futures

229.68

+1.43 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,438.85

-75.47 (-2.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

S&P 500

3,818.83

-2.72 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

DAX

12,702.25

-301.10 (-2.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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FTSE 100

7,174.25

-138.07 (-1.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

21,859.79

-137.10 (-0.62%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,719.37

-19.47 (-1.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

8,046.75

-141.25 (-1.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

40.273

-1.307 (-3.14%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Bayer AG NA

56.67

-0.95 (-1.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

180.95

-2.77 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Adidas AG

167.95

-2.07 (-1.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.502

-0.311 (-5.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Sell (9)

Siemens AG Class N

98.36

-3.04 (-3.00%)

Summary

Buy

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Deutsche Bank AG

8.309

-0.262 (-3.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.0394↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2119↑ Sell
 USD/JPY136.21↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6888Neutral
 USD/CAD1.2906↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY141.57↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9960Neutral
 Gold1,808.55↑ Buy
 Silver20.433↑ Buy
 Copper3.7027↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI109.06↑ Buy
 Brent Oil111.88↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.454↑ Buy
 US Coffee C229.68↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,438.85↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,818.83↑ Buy
 DAX12,702.25↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,174.25↑ Buy
 Hang Seng21,859.79Sell
 Small Cap 20001,719.37Neutral
 IBEX 358,046.75↑ Buy
 BASF40.273Neutral
 Bayer56.67↑ Sell
 Allianz180.95↑ Buy
 Adidas167.95↑ Buy
 Lufthansa5.502↑ Sell
 Siemens AG98.36Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.309↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,810/ 6,870
(5/ 5) # 1,764
SJC HCM6,830/ 6,890
(10/ 0) # 1,783
SJC Hanoi6,830/ 6,892
(10/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Danang6,830/ 6,892
(10/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Nhatrang6,830/ 6,892
(10/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Cantho6,830/ 6,892
(10/ 0) # 1,785
Cập nhật 30-06-2022 19:39:44
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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JPY165,73175,46
KRW15,5118,90
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:16 30/06/2022
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