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Stocks edge higher as darker forecasts loom

Tuesday, January 3, 2023
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By Nell Mackenzie

(Reuters) -World stocks inched higher, European bond yields dropped and the dollar held firm in light trading on Monday following warnings from the International Monetary Fund's managing director that a third of the world will fall into recession in 2023.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.04%, just short of an index of global shares, which climbed 0.21%.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index climbed 0.9%, retracing some of the nearly 12% it lost in 2022, bludgeoned by central banks' aggressive monetary policy tightening.

Traders were reluctant to trust early-year starts in stock and bond moves with many markets closed for a holiday and ahead of a host of economic numbers due this week.

Inflation data from Europe, minutes from the December U.S. Federal Reserve meeting and U.S. labour market numbers were some of the highlights that Danske Bank chief analyst Piet Haines Christiansen said would be worth watching.

"I would be cautious over interpreting any moves this morning," said Christiansen.

Markets in Australia, Britain, Hong Kong, Ireland, Japan, Singapore and the United States, were shut.

Christiansen expected the new year to kick off with a renewed focus on central banks and inflation. Traders would be vigilant for any signs of an approaching recession, he said.

Buoyant stock prices in Europe might be due, he said, to survey results published on Monday, which pointed towards a rebound in optimism among euro zone factory managers.

S&P Global’s final manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) bounced to 47.8 in December from November’s 47.1, matching a preliminary reading but below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction.

"Europe is taking the latest round of PMIs well enough, as the final readings help to confirm the view (hope?) that the worst may be over for the EU bloc’s manufacturers, especially as energy prices recede to the levels of last February," Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, wrote in emailed comments.

DOLLAR STRUGGLING TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH

Elsewhere, the dollar edged almost 0.1% higher against a basket of major currencies, while the pound and euro fell 0.4% and 0.3% respectively.

"There is an attempt by the dollar index to pull higher today but we do see that it is losing a good part of the strength it gained last year," said Ulrich Leuchtmann, head of forex research at Commerzbank (ETR:CBKG).

"After the last Fed meeting, the market was not convinced that the Fed won't cut rates later in 2023. It's going to be an interesting year."

U.S. Treasuries will resume trading on Tuesday after a public holiday on Monday.

German government bond yields on Monday tumbled from their highest levels in more than a decade amid more hawkish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB).

ECB President Christine Lagarde said euro zone wages were growing quicker than earlier thought, and the central bank must prevent this from adding to already-high inflation.

Germany's 10-year bond yield fell 13 bps to 2.43%, after hitting its highest since 2011 at 2.57% on Friday.

Oil markets were closed but prices in 2023 are set for small gains, as a darkening economic backdrop and COVID-19 flare-ups in China threaten demand growth and offset the impact of supply shortfalls caused by sanctions on Russia, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

The new year is going to be "tougher than the year we leave behind," IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Sunday on the CBS Sunday morning news program "Face the Nation."

"Why? Because the three big economies - the U.S., EU and China - are all slowing down simultaneously," she said.

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04-06-2023 00:20:55 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0708

-0.0054 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0708

-0.0054 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2450

-0.0077 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

139.97

+1.17 (+0.85%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6602

+0.0031 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3428

-0.0021 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

149.89

+0.52 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

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Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9733

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,964.30

-31.20 (-1.56%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

23.695

-0.292 (-1.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.7310

+0.0200 (+0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

71.87

+1.77 (+2.52%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Brent Oil Futures

76.40

+2.12 (+2.85%)

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Natural Gas Futures

2.177

+0.019 (+0.88%)

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↑ Sell

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Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

180.60

-2.45 (-1.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,323.52

+65.91 (+1.55%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,282.37

+61.35 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

DAX

16,051.23

+197.57 (+1.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,607.28

+117.01 (+1.56%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

18,949.94

+733.03 (+4.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,830.91

+62.97 (+3.56%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

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IBEX 35

9,317.30

+149.80 (+1.63%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.790

+1.940 (+4.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

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Bayer AG NA

52.61

+0.71 (+1.37%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

210.15

+5.95 (+2.91%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (8)

Adidas AG

159.52

+8.78 (+5.82%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

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Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.303

+0.146 (+1.59%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

159.28

+2.60 (+1.66%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.862

+0.284 (+2.97%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0708 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2450 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 139.97 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6602 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3428 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 149.89 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9733 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,964.30 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.695 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7310 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 71.87 Sell  
    Brent Oil 76.40 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.177 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 180.60 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,323.52 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,282.37 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 16,051.23 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,607.28 Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,949.94 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.91 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,317.30 Buy  
    BASF 46.790 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.61 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 210.15 Sell  
    Adidas 159.52 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.303 Buy  
    Siemens AG 159.28 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.862 Sell  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,690
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Cập nhật lúc 18:50:19 03/06/2023
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