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Stocks climb, dollar falls after U.S. inflation data

By Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks climbed on Thursday while longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after a reading of consumer...
Stocks climb, dollar falls after U.S. inflation data © Reuters. Passersby are silhouetted as they walk past in front of an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 18, 2022 REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks climbed on Thursday while longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after a reading of consumer prices added to expectations the Federal Reserve may have leeway to scale back the size of its interest rate hikes.

U.S consumer prices fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December amid declining prices for gasoline and other goods, suggesting inflation was on a sustained downward trend.

Still, a separate reading on the labor market showed weekly initial jobless claims came in at 205,000, below expectations of 215,000. Many market participants are looking for signs of weakness in the labor market as a key sign of slowing inflation.

On Wall Street, equities were choppy after the data, with the S&P 500 falling as much as 0.8% before rebounding.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 267.21 points, or 0.79%, to 34,240.22, the S&P 500 gained 22.82 points, or 0.57%, to 3,992.43 and the Nasdaq Composite added 76.93 points, or 0.7%, to 11,008.60.

"The report confirms that inflation is in a downward trend and that it has reversed. In other words, it has peaked, and seems to be in a downward trend. That's a positive going forward," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.

"If this continues, we can expect a less aggressive Fed which is good news."

The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.63%, closing at its highest level since April 29, and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.93% and was on track for a fifth straight session of gains, its longest streak since August.

Expectations for a 50 basis point rate hike at the next Federal Reserve meeting fell to 5.8% according to CME's FedWatch Tool, down from 23.3% the day prior. The market is pricing in a 94.2% chance of a 25 basis point hike, up from 76.7% on Wednesday.

The benchmark U.S. 10-year notes were down 11.2 basis points to 3.444%, from 3.556% late on Wednesday.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the inflation data was a step in the right direction and the U.S. economy was primed for disinflation this year, but the road back to the central bank's 2% target would be bumpy. Richmond Federal Reserve president Tom Barkin echoed the sentiment about the data and said it allowed the Fed to "steer more deliberately".

The dollar index hit its lowest level since early June before paring losses, and was last down 0.824%, with the euro up 0.83% to $1.0844.

The Japanese yen strengthened 2.44% versus the greenback at 129.32 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at $1.2213, up 0.58% on the day.

Crude prices rose in the wake of the data, getting an additional boost from optimism over China's emergence from its COVID-19 restrictions creating additional demand.

U.S. crude recently rose 1.47% to $78.55 per barrel and Brent was at $84.12, up 1.75% on the day.

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04-03-2024 14:28:44 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0848

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0848

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2665

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

150.40

+0.28 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

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Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6520

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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USD/CAD

1.3566

+0.0009 (+0.07%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

163.15

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EUR/CHF

0.9581

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23.288

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3.8605

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79.97

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184.13

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4,894.05

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16,535.00

-54.44 (-0.33%)

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2,076.39

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10,064.70

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47.985

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28.33

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187.00

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7.191

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Summary

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181.28

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12.566

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    EUR/USD 1.0848 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2665 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 150.40 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6520 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3566 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.15 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9581 Neutral  
    Gold 2,093.95 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.288 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8605 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.97 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.66 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.882 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 184.13 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,894.05 Buy  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,735.00 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,682.50 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,535.00 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 2,076.39 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,064.70 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 47.985 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.33 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 251.80 Buy  
    Adidas 187.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.191 Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.28 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.566 Neutral  
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