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S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA

By Senad Karaahmetovic Prepare for the “peak Goldilocks” period, Bank of America analysts told clients. Commenting on the most recent economic data from the U.S. (jobs and...
S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA © Reuters. S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA's Hartnett
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

Prepare for the “peak Goldilocks” period, Bank of America analysts told clients. Commenting on the most recent economic data from the U.S. (jobs and inflation), they said that it doesn’t “get more Goldilocks” than having CPI at -0.1% month-over-month and 205k unemployment claims.

The analysts highlight that consensus now looks for 50bps hikes in the first half of this year, followed by 200bps cuts over the next 18 months. They added that S&P 500 looks like it will range between 3600 and 4200 but is “all positioned for 3.6k before 4.2k.”

“S&P500 barometer “so goes January, so goes the year” correct 71% of time since 1929,” the analysts wrote to clients in a note.

As far as flow in a week to Wednesday are concerned, bonds, cash, and stocks attracted inflows of $17.5 billion, $8.3B, and $7.2B.

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07-06-2023 05:41:29 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0695

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0695

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2424

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

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USD/JPY

139.61

-0.03 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

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AUD/USD

0.6671

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3401

-0.0002 (-0.01%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

149.31

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

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EUR/CHF

0.9706

0.0000 (0.00%)

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23.677

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3.7665

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76.12

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19,099.28

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46.760

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52.28

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159.68

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9.141

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9.784

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    EUR/USD 1.0695 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2424 Buy  
    USD/JPY 139.61 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6671 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3401 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 149.31 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9706 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,979.45 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.677 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.7665 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 71.66 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 76.12 Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.268 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 184.08 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,295.22 Sell  
    S&P 500 4,283.85 Buy  
    DAX 15,992.44 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,628.10 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 19,099.28 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,856.34 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,310.80 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 46.760 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.28 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 210.50 Sell  
    Adidas 159.68 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 9.141 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 158.36 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.784 Neutral  
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