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S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA

By Senad Karaahmetovic Prepare for the “peak Goldilocks” period, Bank of America analysts told clients. Commenting on the most recent economic data from the U.S. (jobs and...
S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA © Reuters. S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA's Hartnett
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

Prepare for the “peak Goldilocks” period, Bank of America analysts told clients. Commenting on the most recent economic data from the U.S. (jobs and inflation), they said that it doesn’t “get more Goldilocks” than having CPI at -0.1% month-over-month and 205k unemployment claims.

The analysts highlight that consensus now looks for 50bps hikes in the first half of this year, followed by 200bps cuts over the next 18 months. They added that S&P 500 looks like it will range between 3600 and 4200 but is “all positioned for 3.6k before 4.2k.”

“S&P500 barometer “so goes January, so goes the year” correct 71% of time since 1929,” the analysts wrote to clients in a note.

As far as flow in a week to Wednesday are concerned, bonds, cash, and stocks attracted inflows of $17.5 billion, $8.3B, and $7.2B.

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04-03-2024 21:28:54 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0850

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

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EUR/USD

1.0850

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

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GBP/USD

1.2680

+0.0030 (+0.24%)

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150.50

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AUD/USD

0.6516

-0.0007 (-0.11%)

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USD/CAD

1.3563

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EUR/JPY

163.29

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EUR/CHF

0.9603

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    EUR/USD 1.0850 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2680 Buy  
    USD/JPY 150.50 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6516 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3563 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 163.29 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9603 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,104.55 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.637 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8712 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.34 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 84.03 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.948 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 187.67 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,906.35 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,698.65 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,631.37 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 16,595.97 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,076.39 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,046.74 Neutral  
    BASF 46.875 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.20 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 251.75 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 185.57 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.053 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.46 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.540 ↑ Sell  
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