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Sizzling Gasoline Market in US Cools With Futures, Pump Price Dip

Thứ Năm, 16 tháng 6, 2022
Sizzling Gasoline Market in US Cools With Futures, Pump Price Dip © Bloomberg. A fuel pump at a Chevron gas station in Menlo Park, California, US, on Tuesday, May 24, 2022. The price of a regular gallon of gas is more than $4 in all 50 states for the first time, while in California, drivers are paying an average $6.07 per gallon to fill up their car.

(Bloomberg) -- Cooling pump prices and futures contracts are signs that the US gasoline market may be taking a breather amid slower demand growth and higher refinery runs.

The average national pump price in the US fell slightly overnight for the first time in nearly three weeks, according to data from auto club AAA. The glimmer of softness echoes a weaker futures market, where a third straight day of declines in New York trading saw the Nymex RBOB contract settle below $4 a gallon on Tuesday for the first time in more than two weeks. But at $5.014 a gallon, US drivers are still paying more than 60% at the pump to fill up their car compared with the same time a year ago.

The summer driving season, which began with the Memorial Day weekend at the end of May, saw fuel consumption rise to the highest year-to-date level. But gains lagged prior seasonal levels, stoking concerns that elevated prices are holding some travelers back. Meanwhile, refinery runs are the highest ever for this time of year on the US Gulf Coast and East Coast, according to the Energy Information Administration.

Macro factors are at work as well, said John Kilduff, founding partner of Again Capital.  “The steady drip of layoff notices could turn into a tsunami, and if the labor market falters, then gasoline demand will fall as a result,” Kilduff said in an email to Bloomberg. Growing fears of a recession will also hinder gasoline demand early in the cycle, he added.

Given futures prices typically dictate prices paid at the pump, “some relief” may be coming, said Linda Gieseckle, an analyst with ESAI.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
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 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
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 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
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 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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