

(Bloomberg) -- Markets veteran Edward Yardeni is among the more positive strategists in the debate over when a US recession will hit and how long it may last.
“This is probably the most anticipated recession of all times, which in my mind makes it either less likely, or if it does occur, it’s going to be a fairly short and shallow recession,” the chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research Inc. told Bloomberg Television’s Surveillance on Tuesday. “I don’t think recession is yet inevitable. I’ve got a 45% subjective probability of a recession happening over the next 18 months.”
Yardeni has been raising those odds as the Federal Reserve increases rates to stem 8.6% headline inflation. But he doesn’t expect a repeat of the approach the central bank took in the early 1980s, the last time prices were rising that fast.
“I don’t see a Paul Volcker out there,” he said, referring to chairman of the Fed at that time.
“Back in the late ‘70s, early ‘80s, Paul Volcker said, ‘I got to bring inflation down,’” Yardeni said. “The only way that’s going to happen is if I let interest rates go up to whatever level it takes to bring inflation down.” Now, central banks “have spent the last couple of years trying to get their labor markets protected from the pandemic. They don’t want to reverse that around,” he added.
Still, there are signs that inflation will slow over the next year, even with sky-high gasoline costs. While retailers are stuck with goods because of a slowing economy and a drop in consumer sentiment, “the good news is they are going to have to clear those inventories by cutting prices, one of the most significant components of inflation over the past year has been consumer durable goods inflation.”
The Fed and its peers “are tightening,” Yardeni said. “The financial markets have tightened even more. Credit conditions are slowing the global economy down. We’re going to see a peak in commodities prices shortly.”
©2022 Bloomberg L.P.
EUR/USD
1.0586
+0.0003 (+0.03%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (11)
EUR/USD
1.0586
+0.0003 (+0.03%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (11)
GBP/USD
1.2276
+0.0012 (+0.10%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (3)
Sell (9)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (4)
USD/JPY
135.79
+0.35 (+0.26%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (2)
AUD/USD
0.6954
+0.0031 (+0.45%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
USD/CAD
1.2824
-0.0054 (-0.42%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (0)
EUR/JPY
143.76
+0.43 (+0.30%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
EUR/CHF
1.0106
-0.0009 (-0.09%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (9)
Gold Futures
1,827.90
+3.10 (+0.17%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (4)
Silver Futures
21.330
+0.143 (+0.67%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
Copper Futures
3.8297
+0.0637 (+1.69%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
Crude Oil WTI Futures
111.11
+1.54 (+1.41%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (3)
Sell (9)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
Brent Oil Futures
112.67
+1.69 (+1.52%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
Natural Gas Futures
6.548
+0.002 (+0.03%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (3)
US Coffee C Futures
223.95
+1.75 (+0.79%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (10)
Sell (1)
Euro Stoxx 50
3,579.65
+40.77 (+1.15%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (5)
S&P 500
3,900.11
-11.63 (-0.30%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (2)
DAX
13,312.75
+126.68 (+0.96%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
FTSE 100
7,340.40
+82.08 (+1.13%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (4)
Hang Seng
22,418.97
+189.45 (+0.85%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
US Small Cap 2000
1,772.68
+6.95 (+0.39%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (3)
IBEX 35
8,357.13
+114.53 (+1.39%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (6)
BASF SE NA O.N.
43.600
+0.790 (+1.85%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Bayer AG NA
59.87
+0.47 (+0.79%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (3)
Sell (9)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
184.04
+3.00 (+1.66%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (8)
Adidas AG
172.35
+0.47 (+0.27%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (5)
Sell (7)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
6.140
+0.158 (+2.64%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
Siemens AG Class N
105.52
+1.38 (+1.33%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
Deutsche Bank AG
9.044
+0.154 (+1.73%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
EUR/USD | 1.0586 | ↑ Sell | |||
GBP/USD | 1.2276 | Sell | |||
USD/JPY | 135.79 | ↑ Buy | |||
AUD/USD | 0.6954 | ↑ Sell | |||
USD/CAD | 1.2824 | ↑ Buy | |||
EUR/JPY | 143.76 | ↑ Sell | |||
EUR/CHF | 1.0106 | ↑ Sell |
Gold | 1,827.90 | Sell | |||
Silver | 21.330 | Sell | |||
Copper | 3.8297 | Neutral | |||
Crude Oil WTI | 111.11 | ↑ Sell | |||
Brent Oil | 112.67 | Neutral | |||
Natural Gas | 6.548 | ↑ Buy | |||
US Coffee C | 223.95 | ↑ Buy |
Euro Stoxx 50 | 3,579.65 | Neutral | |||
S&P 500 | 3,900.11 | ↑ Buy | |||
DAX | 13,312.75 | Sell | |||
FTSE 100 | 7,340.40 | Buy | |||
Hang Seng | 22,418.97 | ↑ Buy | |||
Small Cap 2000 | 1,772.68 | ↑ Buy | |||
IBEX 35 | 8,357.13 | Sell |
BASF | 43.600 | ↑ Buy | |||
Bayer | 59.87 | ↑ Sell | |||
Allianz | 184.04 | ↑ Sell | |||
Adidas | 172.35 | ↑ Sell | |||
Lufthansa | 6.140 | ↑ Sell | |||
Siemens AG | 105.52 | ↑ Sell | |||
Deutsche Bank AG | 9.044 | Sell |
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
---|---|
SJC Eximbank | 6,780![]() ![]() (5 ![]() ![]() |
SJC HCM | 6,805![]() ![]() (15 ![]() ![]() |
SJC Hanoi | 6,805![]() ![]() (15 ![]() ![]() |
SJC Danang | 6,805![]() ![]() (15 ![]() ![]() |
SJC Nhatrang | 6,805![]() ![]() (15 ![]() ![]() |
SJC Cantho | 6,805![]() ![]() (15 ![]() ![]() |
Cập nhật 28-06-2022 16:22:20 | |
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! |
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
---|---|---|
$1,827.12 | +3.61 | 0.20% |
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
---|---|---|
Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
RON 95-V | 33.470 | 34.130 |
RON 95-III | 32.870 | 33.520 |
E5 RON 92-II | 31.300 | 31.920 |
DO 0.05S | 30.010 | 30.610 |
DO 0,001S-V | 30.810 | 31.420 |
Dầu hỏa 2-K | 28.780 | 29.350 |
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
---|---|---|---|
WTI | $109.72 | -0.81 | -0.74% |
Brent | $112.39 | -1.2 | -1.08% |
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
---|---|---|
Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
USD | 23.080,00 | 23.390,00 |
EUR | 23.955,27 | 25.297,05 |
GBP | 27.794,91 | 28.980,57 |
JPY | 166,79 | 176,58 |
KRW | 15,64 | 19,06 |
Cập nhật lúc 16:19:16 28/06/2022 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái |