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Recession alone won't subdue euro zone inflation - ECB's de Guindos

21 Tháng Chín 2022
Recession alone won't subdue euro zone inflation - ECB's de Guindos © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Vice-President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Luis de Guindos gives a statement during the second day of the Informal Meeting of EU Ministers for Economics and Financial Affairs in Berlin, Germany September 12, 2020. Odd Andersen/Pool via

COLOGNE, Germany (Reuters) -The euro zone may suffer a recession over the winter as risks to the growth outlook are intensifying, but even that is not enough to reduce inflation without further rate hikes, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Wednesday.

Growth has been suffering due to high energy costs and a loss of Russian gas, raising the risk of energy rationing over the winter while households and businesses take a financial hit from high costs.

"Markets believe that the slowdown of the economy would reduce inflation by itself," de Guindos told a conference. "Actually, this is... not right. Monetary policy has to make a contribution."

The ECB promised rate hikes at each of its coming meetings and markets see the deposit rate exceeding 2.5% by next spring, jumping from its current 0.75% level.

De Guindos added that recent economic data point to a substantial slowdown of the economy, and risks to the ECB's projection of stagnating growth in the winter months were skewed to the downside.

Inflation is "very, very" high right now, De Guindos said, and the potential prolongation of Russia's war in Ukraine risked keeping this rate uncomfortably high for longer.

Price growth hit 9.1% last month and was seen inching up over the coming months before a slow decline that will still keep it above the ECB's 2% target through 2024.

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30-09-2022 09:18:53 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9800

-0.0014 (-0.14%)

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EUR/USD

0.9800

-0.0014 (-0.14%)

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1.1094

-0.0021 (-0.18%)

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144.74

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0.6491

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141.84

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 EUR/USD0.9800↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.1094↑ Sell
 USD/JPY144.74↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6491↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3703↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY141.84↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9566Neutral
 Gold1,668.50↑ Sell
 Silver18.773↑ Sell
 Copper3.4120↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI81.24↑ Sell
 Brent Oil87.16↑ Sell
 Natural Gas6.886Sell
 US Coffee C225.55↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,279.04↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,640.47Neutral
 DAX11,975.55↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,881.59↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,058.50↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,671.71Buy
 IBEX 357,300.10Buy
 BASF38.850↑ Sell
 Bayer47.72↑ Sell
 Allianz159.62↑ Buy
 Adidas124.02↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.817↑ Buy
 Siemens AG98.26Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG7.594Sell
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Cập nhật lúc 07:59:55 30/09/2022
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