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Recession alone won't subdue euro zone inflation - ECB's de Guindos

Thứ Tư, 21 tháng 9, 2022
Recession alone won't subdue euro zone inflation - ECB's de Guindos © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Vice-President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Luis de Guindos gives a statement during the second day of the Informal Meeting of EU Ministers for Economics and Financial Affairs in Berlin, Germany September 12, 2020. Odd Andersen/Pool via

COLOGNE, Germany (Reuters) -The euro zone may suffer a recession over the winter as risks to the growth outlook are intensifying, but even that is not enough to reduce inflation without further rate hikes, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Wednesday.

Growth has been suffering due to high energy costs and a loss of Russian gas, raising the risk of energy rationing over the winter while households and businesses take a financial hit from high costs.

"Markets believe that the slowdown of the economy would reduce inflation by itself," de Guindos told a conference. "Actually, this is... not right. Monetary policy has to make a contribution."

The ECB promised rate hikes at each of its coming meetings and markets see the deposit rate exceeding 2.5% by next spring, jumping from its current 0.75% level.

De Guindos added that recent economic data point to a substantial slowdown of the economy, and risks to the ECB's projection of stagnating growth in the winter months were skewed to the downside.

Inflation is "very, very" high right now, De Guindos said, and the potential prolongation of Russia's war in Ukraine risked keeping this rate uncomfortably high for longer.

Price growth hit 9.1% last month and was seen inching up over the coming months before a slow decline that will still keep it above the ECB's 2% target through 2024.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
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 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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