net_left Phương Thức Thanh Toán

Rate hikes, Ukraine war, China woes dim Asia growth outlook - ADB

21 Tháng Chín 2022
Rate hikes, Ukraine war, China woes dim Asia growth outlook - ADB © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman sits in a restaurant on a river bank, following the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Shanghai, China, September 6, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo

By Enrico Dela Cruz

MANILA (Reuters) - The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday cut its growth forecasts for developing Asia for 2022 and 2023 amid mounting risks from increased central bank monetary tightening, the fallout from the war in Ukraine and COVID-19 lockdowns in China.

The ADB now expects the area's combined economy, which includes China and India, to grow 4.3% this year, after previously trimming the forecast to 4.6% in July from 5.2% in April.

For 2023, the ADB expects the region's economy to expand 4.9%, slower than the April and July forecasts of 5.3% and 5.2%, respectively, it said in the September edition of its flagship Asian Development Outlook report.

"Since the April Asian Development Outlook, various headwinds have strengthened," said ADB Chief Economist Albert Park.

"More aggressive tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks is denting global demand and rattling financial markets."

A significant global economic downturn would severely undermine demand for the region's exports, he warned.

China's economy will likely expand 3.3% this year, a further step down after previously trimming the forecast to 4.0% from 5.0% in April. The ADB expects the world's second-largest economy to grow 4.5% next year, slower than a previous estimate of 4.8%.

The outlook for the sub-regions this year remained mixed, with Southeast Asia and Central Asia expected to grow faster than previously projected at 5.1% and 3.9%, respectively.

The ADB, however, kept its growth forecast for South Asia at 6.5%, despite a lower growth estimate for India and an economic crisis in Sri Lanka.

The Manila-based lender has at the same time raised its inflation forecasts in the region, as supply disruptions continue to boost food and fuel prices.

Average inflation in developing Asia this year is now expected to hit 4.5%, up from April and July forecasts of 3.7% and 4.2%, respectively.

For 2023, inflation is seen hitting 4.0%, compared with projections of 3.1% in April and 3.5% in July.

GDP GROWTH 2021 2022 2022 2022 2023 2023 2023

APR JULY SEPT APR JULY SEPT

Central Asia 5.7 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2

East Asia 7.7 4.7 3.8 3.2 4.5 4.5 4.2

China 8.1 5.0 4.0 3.3 4.8 4.8 4.5

South Asia 8.1 7.0 6.5 6.5 7.4 7.1 6.5

India 8.7 7.5 7.2 7.0 8.0 7.8 7.2

South East Asia 3.3 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.0

Indonesia 3.7 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.0

Malaysia 3.1 6.0 5.8 6.0 5.4 5.1 4.7

Myanmar -5.9 -0.3 n/a 2.0 2.6 n/a 2.6

Philippines 5.7 6.0 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.3

Singapore 7.6 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.0

Thailand 1.5 3.0 2.9 2.9 4.5 4.2 4.2

Vietnam 2.6 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.7

The Pacific -1.5 3.9 4.7 4.7 5.4 5.4 5.5

Developing Asia 7.0 5.2 4.6 4.3 5.3 5.2 4.9

INFLATION

APR JULY SEPT APR JULY SEPT

Central Asia 8.9 8.8 11.3 11.5 7.1 8.1 8.5

East Asia 1.1 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.0 2.1 2.5

China 0.9 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.0 2.5

South Asia 5.8 6.5 7.8 8.1 5.5 6.6 7.4

India 5.5 5.8 6.7 6.7 5.0 5.8 5.8

South East Asia 2.0 3.7 4.7 5.2 3.1 3.4 4.1

Indonesia 1.6 3.6 4.0 4.6 3.0 3.3 5.1

Malaysia 2.5 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5

Myanmar 3.6 8.0 n/a 16.0 8.5 n/a 8.5

Philippines 3.9 4.2 4.9 5.3 3.5 4.3 4.3

Singapore 2.3 3.0 4.7 5.5 2.3 2.3 2.3

Thailand 1.2 3.3 6.3 6.3 2.2 2.7 2.7

Vietnam 1.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0

The Pacific 3.1 5.9 5.9 6.2 4.7 4.7 4.8

Developing Asia 2.5 3.7 4.2 4.5 3.1 3.5 4.0

Để lại bình luận
Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
30-09-2022 11:09:29 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9799

-0.0015 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/USD

0.9799

-0.0015 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

GBP/USD

1.1090

-0.0026 (-0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

144.71

+0.26 (+0.18%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.6481

-0.0018 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/CAD

1.3721

+0.0044 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

141.80

+0.03 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/CHF

0.9569

-0.0006 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Gold Futures

1,669.90

+1.30 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Silver Futures

18.802

+0.090 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Copper Futures

3.4120

-0.0143 (-0.42%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

80.81

-0.42 (-0.52%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

86.75

-0.43 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

6.853

-0.034 (-0.49%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

225.55

-3.15 (-1.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,279.04

-56.26 (-1.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

3,640.47

-78.57 (-2.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

DAX

11,975.55

-207.73 (-1.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

6,881.59

-123.80 (-1.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

17,130.00

-35.87 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

US Small Cap 2000

1,671.71

-43.54 (-2.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

7,300.10

-142.10 (-1.91%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

38.850

-0.565 (-1.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

47.72

-0.47 (-0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

159.62

-1.10 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

124.02

-6.22 (-4.78%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.817

+0.045 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

98.26

-1.20 (-1.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.594

-0.260 (-3.31%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD0.9799↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.1090Neutral
 USD/JPY144.71Sell
 AUD/USD0.6481↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3721↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY141.80↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9569↑ Sell
 Gold1,669.90↑ Sell
 Silver18.802↑ Sell
 Copper3.4120↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI80.81↑ Sell
 Brent Oil86.75↑ Sell
 Natural Gas6.853Buy
 US Coffee C225.55↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,279.04↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,640.47Neutral
 DAX11,975.55↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,881.59↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,130.00↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,671.71Buy
 IBEX 357,300.10Buy
 BASF38.850↑ Sell
 Bayer47.72↑ Sell
 Allianz159.62↑ Buy
 Adidas124.02↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.817↑ Buy
 Siemens AG98.26Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG7.594Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,485/ 6,585
(35/ 35) # 1,784
SJC HCM6,490/ 6,590
(35/ 35) # 1,788
SJC Hanoi6,490/ 6,592
(35/ 35) # 1,790
SJC Danang6,490/ 6,592
(35/ 35) # 1,790
SJC Nhatrang6,490/ 6,592
(35/ 35) # 1,790
SJC Cantho6,490/ 6,592
(35/ 35) # 1,790
Cập nhật 30-09-2022 11:09:31
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,662.05-2.34-0.14%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
DO 0,001S-V24.51025.000
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$80.47+0.760.93%
Brent$86.59+0.730.83%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.680,0023.990,00
EUR22.798,6324.074,58
GBP25.907,8527.011,85
JPY160,36169,76
KRW14,4317,59
Cập nhật lúc 10:03:08 30/09/2022
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
Phương Thức Thanh Toán