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Oil prices muted amid recession fears, OPEC report awaited

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Oil prices moved little on Tuesday as markets awaited a slew of economic readings this week to gauge the potential for a recession, with focus...
Oil prices muted amid recession fears, OPEC report awaited © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Oil prices moved little on Tuesday as markets awaited a slew of economic readings this week to gauge the potential for a recession, with focus also turning to demand forecasts from several major industry bodies, starting with the OPEC.

Crude prices showed a muted reaction to data showing that China’s economy grew at a better-than-expected pace in the fourth quarter, given that overall growth for 2022 slowed substantially from the prior year. 

But improving trends in Chinese retail sales, inflation and industrial production helped brew some optimism over an economic recovery in the world's largest crude importer. 

London-traded Brent oil futures rose 0.3% to $84.44 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.2% to $79.31 a barrel by 22:02 ET (03:02 GMT). Both contracts fell about 1% on Monday. 

Focus is now on a monthly report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), due later on Tuesday. Traders will be looking for any change in the cartel’s demand forecast for the year, amid expectations of a Chinese recovery and a potential global recession. 

Separately, the International Energy Agency is also set to release a monthly report on Wednesday, with markets seeking similar cues from the organization. 

Crude demand is expected to recover sharply this year on an economic revival in China, after the country began relaxing most anti-COVID measures in December. But given that the country is now struggling with its worst yet COVID-19 outbreak, the timing of such a recovery remains uncertain.

Fears of a global recession were also back in play. Two-thirds of private and public sector economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum in Davos said they expect a global recession this year, while a survey of CEO attitudes released by auditing house PricewaterhouseCooper provided a gloomy outlook for the economy. 

Focus this week is also on inflation data from the Eurozone and the UK, as well as readings on retail sales and industrial production in the U.S. Markets are wary of a potential slowdown in growth as the effects of sharp monetary tightening in 2022 begin to be felt by the global economy. 

A slowdown in economic growth would bode poorly for crude demand, and could potentially offset a recovery in China. 

 

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21-02-2024 11:27:47 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0814

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0814

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2631

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

149.93

-0.07 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6566

+0.0018 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

USD/CAD

1.3513

-0.0008 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

162.14

+0.01 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

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EUR/CHF

0.9526

-0.0006 (-0.07%)

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Gold Futures

2,041.75

+1.95 (+0.10%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (7)

Silver Futures

23.188

+0.052 (+0.22%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

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Sell (6)

Copper Futures

3.8697

+0.0119 (+0.31%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (3)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.28

+0.24 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

82.62

+0.28 (+0.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

1.706

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US Coffee C Futures

188.03

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Buy (9)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,759.75

-3.32 (-0.07%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

S&P 500

4,975.51

-30.06 (-0.60%)

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DAX

17,068.43

-23.83 (-0.14%)

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FTSE 100

7,719.21

-9.29 (-0.12%)

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Hang Seng

16,743.50

+495.99 (+3.05%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Buy (4)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

2,003.65

-29.09 (-1.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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IBEX 35

10,038.20

+93.40 (+0.94%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.045

+0.270 (+0.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

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Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

28.77

-0.14 (-0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (4)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

249.40

+0.75 (+0.30%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

181.12

+1.40 (+0.78%)

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Sell (3)

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Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.339

+0.002 (+0.03%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

168.72

-0.86 (-0.51%)

Summary

Neutral

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Deutsche Bank AG

11.954

-0.042 (-0.35%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0814 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2631 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 149.93 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6566 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3513 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 162.14 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9526 Neutral  
    Gold 2,041.75 Sell  
    Silver 23.188 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8697 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.28 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.62 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 1.706 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 188.03 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,759.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,975.51 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,068.43 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,719.21 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,743.50 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,003.65 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,038.20 Sell  
    BASF 46.045 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.77 Neutral  
    Allianz 249.40 Sell  
    Adidas 181.12 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.339 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 168.72 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.954 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,630/ 7,800
(80/ 50) # 1,762
SJC HCM7,630/ 7,850
(40/ 30) # 1,812
SJC Hanoi7,630/ 7,852
(40/ 30) # 1,814
SJC Danang7,630/ 7,852
(40/ 30) # 1,814
SJC Nhatrang7,630/ 7,852
(40/ 30) # 1,814
SJC Cantho7,630/ 7,852
(40/ 30) # 1,814
Cập nhật 21-02-2024 11:29:14
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,031.24 +14.8 0.73%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.95025.440
RON 95-III24.16024.640
E5 RON 92-II22.91023.360
DO 0.05S20.99021.400
DO 0,001S-V21.97022.400
Dầu hỏa 2-K20.92021.330
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $77.19 +3.38 0.05%
Brent $81.91 +3.2 0.04%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.310,0024.680,00
EUR25.830,1527.248,00
GBP30.162,2431.446,11
JPY158,58167,85
KRW15,8919,26
Cập nhật lúc 11:20:39 21/02/2024
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