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Oil prices muted amid recession fears, OPEC report awaited

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Oil prices moved little on Tuesday as markets awaited a slew of economic readings this week to gauge the potential for a recession, with focus...
Oil prices muted amid recession fears, OPEC report awaited © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Oil prices moved little on Tuesday as markets awaited a slew of economic readings this week to gauge the potential for a recession, with focus also turning to demand forecasts from several major industry bodies, starting with the OPEC.

Crude prices showed a muted reaction to data showing that China’s economy grew at a better-than-expected pace in the fourth quarter, given that overall growth for 2022 slowed substantially from the prior year. 

But improving trends in Chinese retail sales, inflation and industrial production helped brew some optimism over an economic recovery in the world's largest crude importer. 

London-traded Brent oil futures rose 0.3% to $84.44 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.2% to $79.31 a barrel by 22:02 ET (03:02 GMT). Both contracts fell about 1% on Monday. 

Focus is now on a monthly report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), due later on Tuesday. Traders will be looking for any change in the cartel’s demand forecast for the year, amid expectations of a Chinese recovery and a potential global recession. 

Separately, the International Energy Agency is also set to release a monthly report on Wednesday, with markets seeking similar cues from the organization. 

Crude demand is expected to recover sharply this year on an economic revival in China, after the country began relaxing most anti-COVID measures in December. But given that the country is now struggling with its worst yet COVID-19 outbreak, the timing of such a recovery remains uncertain.

Fears of a global recession were also back in play. Two-thirds of private and public sector economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum in Davos said they expect a global recession this year, while a survey of CEO attitudes released by auditing house PricewaterhouseCooper provided a gloomy outlook for the economy. 

Focus this week is also on inflation data from the Eurozone and the UK, as well as readings on retail sales and industrial production in the U.S. Markets are wary of a potential slowdown in growth as the effects of sharp monetary tightening in 2022 begin to be felt by the global economy. 

A slowdown in economic growth would bode poorly for crude demand, and could potentially offset a recovery in China. 

 

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04-10-2023 16:24:21 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0492

+0.0027 (+0.26%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0492

+0.0027 (+0.26%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2124

+0.0049 (+0.41%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

149.09

+0.07 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6320

+0.0019 (+0.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

USD/CAD

1.3701

-0.0007 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

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Buy (10)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

156.42

+0.45 (+0.29%)

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Neutral

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EUR/CHF

0.9640

0.0000 (0.00%)

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Neutral

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Gold Futures

1,837.45

-4.05 (-0.22%)

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Sell (9)

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Silver Futures

21.258

-0.119 (-0.56%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.6098

-0.0112 (-0.31%)

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Moving Avg:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

88.29

-0.94 (-1.05%)

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Brent Oil Futures

90.08

-0.84 (-0.92%)

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Natural Gas Futures

2.985

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148.58

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4,097.55

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Sell

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4,229.45

-58.94 (-1.37%)

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DAX

15,062.25

-22.96 (-0.15%)

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FTSE 100

7,464.75

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1,724.80

-32.02 (-1.82%)

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Neutral

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9,148.05

-17.45 (-0.19%)

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42.225

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44.05

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133.61

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    EUR/USD 1.0492 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2124 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 149.09 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6320 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3701 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 156.42 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9640 Neutral  
    Gold 1,837.45 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 21.258 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.6098 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 88.29 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 90.08 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.985 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 148.58 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,097.55 Sell  
    S&P 500 4,229.45 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,062.25 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,464.75 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,186.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,724.80 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,148.05 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 42.225 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 44.05 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 220.52 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 159.58 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.090 Sell  
    Siemens AG 133.61 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.808 ↑ Buy  
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SJC Eximbank6,820/ 6,870
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Cập nhật 04-10-2023 16:24:23
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$1,823.13 -0.55 -0.03%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.37025.870
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E5 RON 92-II23.50023.970
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR24.873,2126.238,71
GBP28.676,2629.897,08
JPY158,99168,29
KRW15,4918,87
Cập nhật lúc 16:17:44 04/10/2023
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