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Marketmind: Ugly duckling

17 Tháng Giêng 2023
Marketmind: Ugly duckling © Reuters. The German share price index, DAX board, is seen at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 20, 2017. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach
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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

While Chinese economic data didn't come in worse than markets had feared, investors still couldn't come to terms with the scale of the economic pain being felt in the world's second-largest economy.

China's growth in 2022 slumped to one of its worst levels in nearly half a century as the fourth quarter was battered by strict COVID-19 curbs and a property market slump, data showed on Tuesday, raising pressure on policymakers to unveil more stimulus this year.

Asian stock markets dipped and the broad-based MSCI's Asia Pacific share index outside Japan retreated away from seven-month highs, and Chinese equities stocks also retreated.

European and UK stock futures, however, pointed to a steady start. The FTSE 100 is just a whisker away from its record high of 7,903.5 points.

Tuesday's batch of economic data coming up include UK jobs numbers, German inflation and Germany's ZEW economic sentiment survey.

The dollar inched up from multi-month lows, while the yen held strong near seven-month highs of 127.22 per dollar as markets bet on a potential policy shift at the Bank of Japan.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki vowed to win market confidence in debt management as 10-year government bond yields broke above the upper cap of 0.5% set by the central bank.

The prospect of an imminent global recession is casting a long shadow over Davos as participants gathered this week for the opening of the World Economic Forum's annual meeting, counting the likely cost for their economies and businesses.

Two-thirds of private and public sector chief economists surveyed by the WEF expect a global recession this year, with some 18% considering it "extremely likely" - more than twice as many as in the previous survey conducted in September 2022.

And though U.S. and European airlines will benefit from pent-up demand for travel to China after its recent border reopening, route approvals, fresh COVID-19 testing rules and not enough large aircraft remain barriers to rising sales, analysts and industry officials say.

For those keen to read about one of the most dramatic periods in recent British history, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has struck a deal with publisher Harper Collins to write a memoir.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

Economic data: UK Dec unemployment claimant count, Nov average earnings, Germany HICP Final Dec and Germany Jan ZEW survey

European results: Hays, Experian (OTC:EXPGF)

Speakers - ECB policymaker Mario Centeno at Davos, ECB Board member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo participates in a webinar, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams

Central banks - Bank of Japan holds Monetary Policy Meeting (to Jan. 18)U.S. results - Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS)

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21-02-2024 05:04:04 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0808

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0808

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2622

+0.0004 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

149.93

-0.06 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6550

+0.0001 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.3525

+0.0005 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/JPY

162.09

-0.04 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9528

-0.0004 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

2,035.90

+11.80 (+0.58%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

23.047

-0.428 (-1.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.8578

+0.0193 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.20

-1.26 (-1.61%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

82.54

-1.02 (-1.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

1.708

+0.099 (+6.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

188.03

+1.33 (+0.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,759.75

-3.32 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

S&P 500

4,975.51

-30.06 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

17,068.43

-23.83 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,719.21

-9.29 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

16,247.51

+91.90 (+0.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,003.65

-29.09 (-1.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

10,038.20

+93.40 (+0.94%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.045

+0.270 (+0.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

28.77

-0.14 (-0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

249.40

+0.75 (+0.30%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Adidas AG

181.12

+1.40 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.339

+0.002 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

168.72

-0.86 (-0.51%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.954

-0.042 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0808 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2622 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 149.93 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6550 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3525 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 162.09 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9528 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 2,035.90 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.047 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8578 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.20 Buy  
    Brent Oil 82.54 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.708 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 188.03 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,759.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,975.51 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,068.43 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,719.21 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,247.51 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,003.65 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,038.20 Sell  
    BASF 46.045 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.77 Neutral  
    Allianz 249.40 Sell  
    Adidas 181.12 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.339 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 168.72 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.954 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,550/ 7,750
(0/ 0) # 1,719
SJC HCM7,590/ 7,820
(0/ 0) # 1,791
SJC Hanoi7,590/ 7,822
(0/ 0) # 1,793
SJC Danang7,590/ 7,822
(0/ 0) # 1,793
SJC Nhatrang7,590/ 7,822
(0/ 0) # 1,793
SJC Cantho7,590/ 7,822
(0/ 0) # 1,793
Cập nhật 21-02-2024 05:04:06
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
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RON 95-V24.95025.440
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E5 RON 92-II22.91023.360
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR25.749,4127.162,78
GBP30.096,3731.377,38
JPY158,38167,64
KRW15,8619,23
Cập nhật lúc 18:53:37 20/02/2024
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