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Marketmind: Still too hot

A look at the day ahead from Danilo Masoni. The return of U.S. inflation to more bearable levels is not going to happen overnight so those who were hoping for a clear signal that...
Marketmind: Still too hot © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A person pushes a shopping cart in a supermarket in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., March 28, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

A look at the day ahead from Danilo Masoni.

The return of U.S. inflation to more bearable levels is not going to happen overnight so those who were hoping for a clear signal that price pressures had peaked got disappointed.

April's hot consumer price data did leave bets of aggressive Fed tightening broadly intact and with them the spectre that a hard landing for the world's top economy may become unavoidable.

The fall of the headline figure to below the 40-year peak did provide some comfort, helping world stocks, already flirting with bear market territory, regain some footing after an initial kneejerk plunge. But that bounce was short-lived.

The Nasdaq fell over 3%, logging its worst five-day drop since March 2020. Asian shares absorbed the pain with a 2.5% drop to almost 2-year lows and European equity index futures are pointing to an ugly day ahead.

The risk of a recession also reversed the spike in Treasury yields which now look set to fall further this morning while the only winner appears to be the dollar which has rocketed to a new 20-year peak. A Wall Street fear gauge is above 30 for a fifth consecutive day.

Meantime, finance ministers and central bank governors from Japan, China and South Korea warned of risks to Asia's economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and from early interest rate rises "in some advanced nations".

Oil too is down. Cryptocurrency markets are in meltdown mode with so-called stablecoin TerraUSD collapsing and Bitcoin falling below $27,000 to give up its 2021 gains.

Positive soundings from the earnings season in Europe may do little to save the day. Analysts now see profit growth north of 40%, up from around 20% forecast two months ago, per Refinitiv I/B/E/S data.

U.S. CPI https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zgpomlozmpd/Morning%20bid.PNG

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28-05-2022 02:33:38 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0730

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0730

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2629

+0.0035 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

127.06

-0.09 (-0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.7159

+0.0060 (+0.85%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.2723

-0.0050 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

136.33

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

1.0275

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

1,851.82

+4.22 (+0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Silver Futures

22.108

+0.143 (+0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

4.3245

+0.0655 (+1.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

115.09

+1.00 (+0.88%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

115.54

+1.37 (+1.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

8.744

-0.151 (-1.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

228.65

+2.05 (+0.90%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,808.86

+68.55 (+1.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,149.67

+91.83 (+2.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

14,462.19

+230.90 (+1.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,585.46

+20.54 (+0.27%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

20,697.36

+581.16 (+2.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,885.60

+42.75 (+2.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,933.60

+44.80 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

51.110

+0.320 (+0.63%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

66.58

+0.68 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

200.20

+1.40 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

179.96

+3.20 (+1.81%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.881

+0.031 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

121.86

+3.34 (+2.82%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.392

-0.022 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0730↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2629↑ Buy
 USD/JPY127.06Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7159↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2723↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY136.33↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0275Neutral
 Gold1,851.82Neutral
 Silver22.108↑ Sell
 Copper4.3245↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI115.09↑ Buy
 Brent Oil115.54↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.744↑ Buy
 US Coffee C228.65↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,808.86↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,149.67↑ Buy
 DAX14,462.19↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,585.46Sell
 Hang Seng20,697.36↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,885.60↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,933.60↑ Buy
 BASF51.110Neutral
 Bayer66.58↑ Buy
 Allianz200.20↑ Buy
 Adidas179.96↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.881↑ Buy
 Siemens AG121.86Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.392↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,830/ 6,940
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SJC HCM6,855/ 6,955
(0/ 0) # 1,731
SJC Hanoi6,855/ 6,957
(0/ 0) # 1,733
SJC Danang6,855/ 6,957
(0/ 0) # 1,733
SJC Nhatrang6,855/ 6,957
(0/ 0) # 1,733
SJC Cantho6,855/ 6,957
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Cập nhật 28-05-2022 02:33:40
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Cập nhật lúc 18:54:46 27/05/2022
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