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Marketmind: Soft landings and re-openings

09 Tháng Giêng 2023
Marketmind: Soft landings and re-openings © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: People walk past a screen displaying the Hang Seng stock index outside Hong Kong Exchanges, in Hong Kong, China July 19, 2022. REUTERS/Lam Yik//File Photo
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By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

Asian markets are set to open the week with a spring in their step on Monday, buoyed by Wall Street's surge on Friday and rising hopes of a soft U.S. landing, and optimism surrounding China's re-opening after its 'zero-Covid' policy came to an end this weekend.

A 'Goldilocks' U.S. employment report on Friday was taken by investors as a sign that the Fed might win its anti-inflation battle without doing too much damage to the economy - U.S. and global stocks, risky assets and bonds all soared, which is likely to set the tone in Asia on Monday.

MSCI global stocks - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/lbvggorymvq/MSCIGlobal.png

A relatively benign U.S. backdrop - economic activity and inflation cooling enough to allow the Fed to end its hiking cycle soon, and maybe even reverse it later this year - is enough to whet investors' risk appetite.

Throw in increasingly positive signs from China, and the bulls could be leading the charge on Monday.

Travelers (NYSE:TRV) began streaming into mainland China by air, land and sea on Sunday, as Beijing opened borders that have been all but shut since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Beijing's abrupt U-turn has triggered huge waves of infections, but investors hope the reopening will eventually bear economic fruit. China is in talks with Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) over a vaccine, and economists at many big banks are revising up their GDP growth forecasts for the second half of this year.

Chinese yuan - offshore and onshore - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/byvrlroneve/CNY.jpg

The increasing bullishness is being reflected in China's exchange rate. The yuan is its strongest since mid-August, moving further away from the 7.00-per-dollar level.

Hong Kong tech stocks have been on a tear recently - up a staggering 65% from the October low - but could open on a more cautious note on Monday following news that Ant Group's founder Jack Ma will give up control of the fintech giant.

Analysts are split on whether this paves the way for the company to revive its IPO plans, or results in further delay.

There is little in the way of economic data from Asia on Monday, but the flow accelerates later in the week. Among the major events to watch are: new loans, consumer and producer price inflation, and trade data from China; Australian and Indian inflation; and current account and Tokyo inflation figures from Japan.

South Korea's central bank is also expected to raise interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday to 3.50%. Policymakers are split on where the terminal rate should be - three out of six in November saw 3.50%, two saw potential for 3.75%.

Three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:

- Fed's Bostic speaks

- Japan's PM Kishida meets with France's President Macron

- Euro zone unemployment (November)

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21-02-2024 04:23:46 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0807

+0.0030 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0807

+0.0030 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2620

+0.0027 (+0.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

USD/JPY

150.01

-0.10 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6550

+0.0013 (+0.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3526

+0.0037 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

162.13

+0.29 (+0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/CHF

0.9532

+0.0019 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

2,036.05

+11.95 (+0.59%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

23.052

-0.423 (-1.80%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Copper Futures

3.8582

+0.0197 (+0.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.15

-1.31 (-1.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

82.48

-1.08 (-1.29%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Natural Gas Futures

1.655

+0.046 (+2.86%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

188.03

+1.33 (+0.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,759.75

-3.32 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

S&P 500

4,975.51

-30.06 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

DAX

17,068.43

-23.83 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,719.21

-9.29 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

16,247.51

+91.90 (+0.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,003.65

-29.09 (-1.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

10,038.20

+93.40 (+0.94%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.045

+0.270 (+0.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

28.77

-0.14 (-0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

249.40

+0.75 (+0.30%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Adidas AG

181.12

+1.40 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.339

+0.002 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

168.72

-0.86 (-0.51%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.954

-0.042 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0807 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2620 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 150.01 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6550 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3526 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 162.13 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9532 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,036.05 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.052 Buy  
    Copper 3.8582 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.15 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.48 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.655 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 188.03 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,759.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,975.51 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,068.43 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,719.21 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,247.51 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,003.65 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,038.20 Sell  
    BASF 46.045 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.77 Neutral  
    Allianz 249.40 Sell  
    Adidas 181.12 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.339 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 168.72 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.954 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,550/ 7,750
(0/ 0) # 1,719
SJC HCM7,590/ 7,820
(0/ 0) # 1,791
SJC Hanoi7,590/ 7,822
(0/ 0) # 1,793
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(0/ 0) # 1,793
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RON 95-V24.95025.440
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E5 RON 92-II22.91023.360
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.330,0024.700,00
EUR25.749,4127.162,78
GBP30.096,3731.377,38
JPY158,38167,64
KRW15,8619,23
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