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Marketmind: Knocking on CPI's door

10 Tháng Giêng 2023
Marketmind: Knocking on CPI's door © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A security guard stands at the Shanghai Stock Exchange building at the Pudong financial district in Shanghai, China, as the country is hit by an outbreak of a new coronavirus, February 3, 2020. REUTERS/Aly Song
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By Stephen Culp

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Stephen Culp.

Asian markets could be in for a bumpy ride on Tuesday after a rocky U.S. session for stocks, as a lack of market moving catalysts and remarks from a Fed official helped take the air out of earlier gains.

Risk appetite has bounced between U.S. economic resiliency and signs of cooling inflation and fears that the central bank will keep restrictive policy rates in place for longer than many might have hoped, potentially tipping the world's largest economy into recession.

As for the world's second-largest economy, Beijing's reversal of its zero-COVID policy resulted in tourists flowing into mainland China for the first time in years, sparking optimism of demand recovery, which in turn gave a boost to crude prices, and sent benchmark U.S. Treasury yields lower.

While China's reopening has resulted in spiking COVID infections, recent talks with Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) over securing a license to produce a generic version of its COVID drug has eased fears of another shutdown. Economists at many big banks are revising up their GDP growth forecasts for the second half of this year.

China's yuan on Monday touched a near-five-month high against the greenback.

Consumer prices data coming from Japan on Tuesday and from the United States and China later in the week will offer further evidence regarding the extent to which global inflation has peaked - or not.

Further signs of cooling inflation could raise the possibility of a pause in monetary policy.

On Monday, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic provided assurances that it will be "appropriate and important" for the Fed to exercise caution as it calibrates its war on inflation.

Here's a look at various U.S. inflation indicators, and how far most of them have to fall before approaching the Fed's average annual 2% interest target:

Data from the Federal Reserve on Monday showed outstanding consumer credit grew in November by more than analysts expected, underscoring the strength of the American consumer and adding to the possibility of the fabled "soft landing."

Some developments that could move markets on Tuesday are as follows:

- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is due to participate in a "Central Bank Independence" panel in Stockholm, Sweden, which will include a Q&A session

- Japan releases its CPI report for December, which is expected to show core annual inflation of 3.8%, hotter than the previous month's 3.6% reading

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02-02-2023 17:39:29 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0985

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0985

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2322

-0.0054 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

USD/JPY

128.93

-0.01 (-0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.7124

-0.0011 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

USD/CAD

1.3291

+0.0004 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

141.62

-0.06 (-0.04%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9994

+0.0014 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,969.60

+26.80 (+1.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

24.383

+0.774 (+3.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Copper Futures

4.1530

+0.0420 (+1.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.72

+0.31 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

83.03

+0.19 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.489

+0.021 (+0.85%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

178.38

+2.48 (+1.41%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,218.45

+47.01 (+1.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

4,119.21

+42.61 (+1.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

DAX

15,410.55

+229.81 (+1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,808.10

+46.99 (+0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

21,958.36

-113.82 (-0.52%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,960.81

+28.87 (+1.49%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

9,237.25

+139.15 (+1.53%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

53.360

+0.620 (+1.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

56.91

+0.41 (+0.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

221.98

+0.98 (+0.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Adidas AG

154.15

+6.57 (+4.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.800

+0.121 (+1.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

144.07

+1.07 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.065

-0.185 (-1.51%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

    EUR/USD 1.0985 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2322 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 128.93 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7124 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3291 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.62 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9994 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,969.60 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 24.383 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1530 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.72 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.03 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.489 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 178.38 Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,218.45 Sell  
    S&P 500 4,119.21 Neutral  
    DAX 15,410.55 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,808.10 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,958.36 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,960.81 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,237.25 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 53.360 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.91 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.98 Neutral  
    Adidas 154.15 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.800 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 144.07 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.065 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,710/ 6,770
(70/ 50) # 1,209
SJC HCM6,700/ 6,780
(40/ 40) # 1,219
SJC Hanoi6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,221
SJC Danang6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,221
SJC Nhatrang6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,221
SJC Cantho6,700/ 6,782
(40/ 40) # 1,221
Cập nhật 02-02-2023 17:39:31
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,955.32 +2.65 0.14%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
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Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
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WTI $76.75 +0.24 0.31%
Brent $82.81 +0.17 0.20%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR25.185,0926.595,37
GBP28.322,0929.529,81
JPY177,65188,07
KRW16,6420,27
Cập nhật lúc 17:31:10 02/02/2023
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