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Marketmind: Inflated hopes?

Tuesday, September 13, 2022
Marketmind: Inflated hopes? © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People push shopping cart in a Carrefour supermarket in Cabrera de Mar, near Barcelona, Spain May 19, 2017. REUTERS/Albert Gea/File Photo
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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

Traders in Asia hit pause on four days of selling dollars and buying stocks as focus turns on U.S. inflation figures set for release at 1230 GMT. Today's data will frame the Fed's policy meeting next week and set the tone for weeks to come.

British employment and a potentially ugly German sentiment survey are due ahead of the U.S. data, but are likely to be overshadowed.

Consumers' inflation expectations are falling, Monday's New York Fed survey showed, and markets are hoping for another signal that the inflation peak is firmly in the rear-view mirror.

Economists' expectations are for a slowdown in headline CPI, thanks to oil and a host of other commodity prices backing down from peaks, but for core prices to stay sticky.

Economists and the market also reckon the Fed is likely to hike by 75 basis points on Sept. 21, so perhaps the data's largest impact may be on moves beyond that.

Concurrent with the data, industrial disputes on the U.S. railways are worth a wary eye as workers press for big pay rises. The railroads account for nearly a third of U.S. cargo transport by weight and the first strikes since the 1990s are a distinct possibility this week.

At midday on Wednesday, Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) will stop accepting intermodal cargo. Big railway operators have until a minute after midnight on Friday to reach deals with unions or risk opening the door to strikes.

Railroads already suspended carriage of hazardous loads like fertiliser so they aren't stranded if networks grind to a halt.

US CPI inflation ebbing? https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/mopaneyyzva/One.PNG

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

UK employment data, final German CPI, German and Euro zone ZEW surveys and U.S. inflation data

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29-09-2022 05:00:40 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9736

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/USD

0.9736

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

GBP/USD

1.0886

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

144.12

-0.04 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6521

-0.0001 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3606

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

140.29

-0.04 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9499

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,668.80

+0.10 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

18.915

+0.005 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Copper Futures

3.3815

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.90

+0.05 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

87.99

+0.22 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

7.022

+0.262 (+3.88%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

227.80

+3.45 (+1.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,335.30

+6.65 (+0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

3,719.04

+71.75 (+1.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

DAX

12,183.28

+43.60 (+0.36%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,005.39

+20.80 (+0.30%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,250.88

-609.43 (-3.41%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,725.13

+62.62 (+3.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

IBEX 35

7,442.20

-3.50 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.415

-0.080 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

48.19

-0.07 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.72

-3.02 (-1.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

130.24

+2.94 (+2.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.772

-0.024 (-0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

99.46

+1.54 (+1.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.854

-0.274 (-3.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

    EUR/USD 0.9736 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.0886 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 144.12 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6521 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3606 Sell  
    EUR/JPY 140.29 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9499 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,668.80 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 18.915 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.3815 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.90 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 87.99 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.022 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 227.80 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,335.30 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,719.04 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,183.28 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,005.39 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,250.88 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,725.13 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,442.20 Neutral  
    BASF 39.415 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 48.19 Neutral  
    Allianz 160.72 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 130.24 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 5.772 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 99.46 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.854 ↑ Sell  
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SJC Eximbank6,410/ 6,510
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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GBP24.732,3625.786,46
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