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Marketmind: History and fifty club beckon BOE

04 Tháng Tám 2022
Marketmind: History and fifty club beckon BOE © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pigeon stands in front of the Bank of England in London, Britain, April 9, 2018. Picture taken April 9, 2018. REUTERS/Hannah McKay

(Adds chart)

A look at the day ahead in markets from Alun John

Will the Bank of England make history today by raising rates by 50 basis points? Probably.

Will markets react much to this? Probably not. Over 70% of the 65 respondents to a Reuters poll expect the half-point increase, which is all but priced in by markets.

Still, a half a percentage point rise would feel like a big moment. It would be the biggest single hike since Gordon Brown made the Bank of England independent in 1997, and bring the benchmark rate to 1.75%, its highest level since the start of the global financial crisis.

It could also be a way of the BOE showing its commitment to fighting inflation running at a four-decade high, and currying favour with Liz Truss, a leading prime ministerial contender who wants the BOE's policy remit to ensure it is tough on inflation.

The BOE is not the only one scrambling to catch up with red hot inflation by raising rates, of course, and the Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates on Tuesday, marking an eye-watering 175 basis points of hikes since May.

Overnight there was another raft of Fed policymakers all but telling markets they were wrong to read any dovish messages from Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks last week alongside a stonking 75 basis point U.S. rate hike.

Markets were only half listening though. The dollar and U.S. benchmark yields held their recent gains, but share markets decided to shut their ears to the Fedspeak.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares gained 0.5% in morning trade on Thursday after the S&P 500 had closed up 1.5%.

Strong earnings in the U.S. drove some of the gains, and investors in Europe will be looking to see whether companies such as Credit Agricole (OTC:CRARY) , Lufthansa and Bayer (OTC:BAYRY) can keep up the momentum, with Chinese tech giant Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) due before the U.S. open.

The end of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan also helped ease some tensions, but only a bit, as today she continues her tour of geopolitical flashpoints with a trip to the border between North and South Korea.

BoE: https://tmsnrt.rs/3I6ZTNH

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Thursday include:

Bank of England meeting - decision due 11 GMT - as well as remarks from Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester and a Czech central bank meeting

Trade data from Australia, the U.S. and Canada

European earnings: ING, Credit Agricole, Deutsche Lufthansa (ETR:LHAG), Bayer

US earnings: CIGNA, Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY), Thomson Reuters (NYSE:TRI) Corp, , Duke Energy (NYSE:DUK), Alibaba, ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Kellogg (NYSE:K) Co, Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE), Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN)

TAKE A LOOK-Bank of England torn between inflation surge and recession risks -

Oil prices rebound on supply concerns after drop to near 6-month low -

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10-08-2022 20:51:54 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0316

+0.0105 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0316

+0.0105 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2210

+0.0130 (+1.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

132.96

-2.16 (-1.60%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.7057

+0.0093 (+1.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2823

-0.0065 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/JPY

137.16

-0.81 (-0.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9718

-0.0018 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,811.85

-0.45 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

20.642

+0.160 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.6408

+0.0553 (+1.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

89.31

-1.19 (-1.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

95.01

-1.30 (-1.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

7.841

+0.008 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

218.95

+6.20 (+2.91%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,746.05

+30.68 (+0.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

4,194.02

+71.55 (+1.74%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,666.76

+131.79 (+0.97%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,507.75

+19.60 (+0.26%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

19,610.84

-392.60 (-1.96%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,950.30

+41.29 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,350.82

+38.92 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.383

+0.388 (+0.88%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

52.03

-0.13 (-0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

179.18

+0.62 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Adidas AG

172.06

+3.06 (+1.81%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.622

+0.049 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

108.47

+1.95 (+1.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.853

+0.126 (+1.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0316↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2210↑ Buy
 USD/JPY132.96↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7057↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2823↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY137.16↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9718↑ Sell
 Gold1,811.85↑ Buy
 Silver20.642↑ Buy
 Copper3.6408↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI89.31↑ Sell
 Brent Oil95.01↑ Sell
 Natural Gas7.841↑ Buy
 US Coffee C218.95↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,746.05↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,194.02↑ Buy
 DAX13,666.76↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,507.75Neutral
 Hang Seng19,610.84↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,950.30↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,350.82↑ Buy
 BASF44.383↑ Buy
 Bayer52.03↑ Sell
 Allianz179.18↑ Sell
 Adidas172.06↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.622↑ Buy
 Siemens AG108.47↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.853↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,600/ 6,700
(-20/ -20) # 1,624
SJC HCM6,600/ 6,700
(-20/ -20) # 1,624
SJC Hanoi6,600/ 6,702
(-20/ -20) # 1,626
SJC Danang6,600/ 6,702
(-20/ -20) # 1,626
SJC Nhatrang6,600/ 6,702
(-20/ -20) # 1,626
SJC Cantho6,600/ 6,702
(-20/ -20) # 1,626
Cập nhật 10-08-2022 20:51:56
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$1,796.51+2.340.13%
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V26.28026.800
RON 95-III25.60026.110
E5 RON 92-II24.62025.110
DO 0.05S23.90024.370
DO 0,001S-V25.88026.390
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.53025.020
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.220,0023.530,00
EUR23.251,8824.554,01
GBP27.508,9128.682,08
JPY168,20178,07
KRW15,4618,84
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:10 10/08/2022
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