binance left Huobi Global Coinmarketcap net_left Phương Thức Thanh Toán

Inflation views tilt the Fed's way, a bit

14 Tháng Năm 2022
Inflation views tilt the Fed's way, a bit © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Federal Reserve building is seen before the Federal Reserve board is expected to signal plans to raise interest rates in March as it focuses on fighting inflation in Washington, U.S., January 26, 2022. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts

(Reuters) - A week that included a bevy of still-ugly inflation numbers may also have marked a turn in market views of the Federal Reserve, as inflation expectations fell, bond yields moderated, and even consumers stopped ratcheting up their outlook for price increases.

A survey of professional forecasters, meanwhile, seemed to endorse the Fed's hope it can tame inflation without killing millions of jobs in the process.

Estimates for annual inflation a year from now in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's quarterly survey published on Friday dropped to 3% or less, depending on the specific price measure. Meanwhile the consensus view on the unemployment rate in the next two years ticked up to just 3.8% from the current 3.6%, an outcome that would enthuse Fed officials if it plays out.

Policymakers, including Chair Jerome Powell, have been warning U.S. households that the large increases in interest rates they are planning to control the inflation that has soured the national mood are likely to be painful in and of themselves. The Fed raised its benchmark rate by half a percentage point last week and Powell has said increases of the same magnitude are warranted at meetings in the next two months.

"The process of getting inflation down to 2% (the Fed's target) will also include some pain, but ultimately the most painful thing would be if we were to fail to deal with it and inflation were to get entrenched in the economy at high levels, and we know what that's like," Powell told public radio's Marketplace on Thursday.

The week's headline annual inflation readings at the consumer and business production levels eased for the first time in months, offering some hope that consumer price increases that reached 8.5% year-over-year in March may have crested.

While they didn't slow by nearly as much as expected, investors - rather than further stoking fears of ever-increasing inflation - responded to the upside-surprises by bidding up bond prices and pulling yields from multi-year highs.

On the week, the 10-year Treasury note yield dropped by about 20 basis points, the biggest weekly decline since early March, and the 10-year inflation expectation reflected in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities hit its lowest since February.

Indeed, a new inflation expectations benchmark measurement from ICE (NYSE:ICE) showed the one-year outlook has now dropped to near 4.5% from 6% in mid-April.

Graphic - ICE inflation expectations index ICE inflation expectations index: https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-FED/INFLATION/akvezxjwrpr/chart.png

About half of the drop in Treasury yields appears to have been driven by the decline in inflation expectations, Piper Sandler's Head of Global Policy Roberto Perli wrote in a note disentangling that aspect from other factors that contribute to changes in bond yields.

That "is good news for the Fed," Perli wrote. "(I)f it continues (which is a big if, of course), it might even induce the Fed to be somewhat less forceful in its hiking campaign. However, market inflation expectations are still too high for the Fed to claim victory for now."

Consumers, meanwhile, appear to believe the price grind will not keep accelerating.

Data out Friday from the University of Michigan's twice-monthly survey of consumer attitudes showed no upward move in households' outlooks for inflation one year out for the third months in a row, holding steady at 5.4%. The view over five years was unchanged at 3% for a fourth straight month.

"They are still in the game," former Fed governor Randall Kroszner said of the Fed's quest for a so-called "soft landing."

"Inflation expectations have not become unanchored despite inflation going from a decade where they cannot get to the goal to going to four times it. They have maintained credibility," said Kroszner, now a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. "That is a pretty amazing feat."

Để lại bình luận
Hot Auto Trade Bot ig right nyse right Neteller Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
rakuten_main right top net_home_top Ai VIF Binance _ main right top fbs_main right top tifia_main right top
28-05-2022 11:21:07 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0735

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0735

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2629

+0.0035 (+0.28%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

127.13

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.7161

+0.0063 (+0.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2723

-0.0049 (-0.38%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/JPY

136.48

+0.14 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

1.0278

-0.0010 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,851.64

+4.04 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Silver Futures

22.130

+0.165 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.3225

+0.0635 (+1.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

115.07

+0.98 (+0.86%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

115.32

+1.15 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

8.708

-0.187 (-2.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

228.65

+2.05 (+0.90%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,808.86

+68.55 (+1.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,158.24

+100.40 (+2.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

DAX

14,462.19

+230.90 (+1.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,585.46

+20.54 (+0.27%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

20,697.36

+581.16 (+2.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,887.90

+49.66 (+2.70%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

8,933.60

+44.80 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

51.110

+0.320 (+0.63%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

66.58

+0.68 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

200.20

+1.40 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

179.96

+3.20 (+1.81%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.881

+0.031 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

121.86

+3.34 (+2.82%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.392

-0.022 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0735↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2629Sell
 USD/JPY127.13↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7161↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2723Neutral
 EUR/JPY136.48↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0278↑ Buy
 Gold1,851.64↑ Buy
 Silver22.130↑ Buy
 Copper4.3225↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI115.07↑ Sell
 Brent Oil115.32↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.708↑ Buy
 US Coffee C228.65↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,808.86↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,158.24↑ Buy
 DAX14,462.19↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,585.46Sell
 Hang Seng20,697.36↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,887.90Neutral
 IBEX 358,933.60↑ Buy
 BASF51.110Neutral
 Bayer66.58↑ Buy
 Allianz200.20↑ Buy
 Adidas179.96↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.881↑ Buy
 Siemens AG121.86Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.392↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,830/ 6,940
(0/ 0) # 1,716
SJC HCM6,850/ 6,950
(-5/ -5) # 1,738
SJC Hanoi6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
SJC Danang6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
SJC Nhatrang6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
SJC Cantho6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
Cập nhật 28-05-2022 11:21:09
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,853.48+0.570.03%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V31.25031.870
RON 95-III30.65031.260
E5 RON 92-II29.63030.220
DO 0.05S25.55026.060
DO 0,001S-V26.35026.870
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.40024.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$113.93+1.171.01%
Brent$115.32+4.013.36%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.030,0023.340,00
EUR24.263,1125.622,23
GBP28.523,9629.740,84
JPY177,60188,03
KRW15,9119,38
Cập nhật lúc 11:15:36 28/05/2022
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
binance main right Fxpro Main Right aetos main right Phương Thức Thanh Toán