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'If they're flying, they're buying': Boeing 737 MAX returns to service in China

By Senad Karaahmetovic According to the flight tracking website FlightRadar24, a China Southern Airlines flight on a Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX took off on Friday. This marks the...
'If they're flying, they're buying': Boeing 737 MAX returns to service in China © Reuters. 'If they're flying, they're buying': Boeing (BA) 737 MAX returns to service in China
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

According to the flight tracking website FlightRadar24, a China Southern Airlines flight on a Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX took off on Friday. This marks the first passenger commercial service on the 737 MAX by a Chinese airline in nearly 4 years.

The 737 MAX, Boeing’s best-selling aircraft, gained U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) certification in March 2017. However, two plane crashes in Indonesia and Ethiopia that took place in 2018 and 2019 paved the way for China's aviation regulator becoming the first in the world to ground the MAX.

The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) also grounded the 737 MAX in March 2019 before removing the grounding order in November 2020.

Returning to China was always one of Boeing’s top priorities. For Wolfe Research analysts, it was about “when” and not “if.”

“That “when” certainly took longer than we would have thought a year ago and was delayed in part by zero-covid policies that stalled the need for the capacity. China airline schedules have been holding toward a robust bounce back in 1Q23 making the need for capacity more clear. That capacity need is going to have to be, at least in part, fulfilled by Boeing aircraft,” they said in a client note.

The analysts add that investors may beat the company’s management in recognizing the China upside potential.

“Boeing’s $10B targeted FCF in 2025/26 was signaled to be excluding China. Optimism on incremental China demand returning likely won’t prompt management to change their outlook near-term, but it won’t stop the market from gaining upside optimism to the $10B. This is particularly the case as long only positioning remains offsides on the name and buyers are searching for an incremental reason to buy with the stock up 70% since the Fall,” they added.

Boeing stock is down over 1% in pre-market Friday.

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21-02-2024 11:22:40 (UTC+7)

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1.0814

+0.0011 (+0.11%)

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1.2634

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149.90

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AUD/USD

0.6567

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    EUR/USD 1.0814 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2634 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 149.90 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6567 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3512 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 162.14 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9526 Neutral  
    Gold 2,041.80 Neutral  
    Silver 23.188 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8688 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.28 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 82.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.704 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 188.03 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,759.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,975.51 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,068.43 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,719.21 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,736.20 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,003.65 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,038.20 Sell  
    BASF 46.045 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.77 Neutral  
    Allianz 249.40 Sell  
    Adidas 181.12 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.339 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 168.72 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.954 ↑ Sell  
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