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'If they're flying, they're buying': Boeing 737 MAX returns to service in China

By Senad Karaahmetovic According to the flight tracking website FlightRadar24, a China Southern Airlines flight on a Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX took off on Friday. This marks the...
'If they're flying, they're buying': Boeing 737 MAX returns to service in China © Reuters. 'If they're flying, they're buying': Boeing (BA) 737 MAX returns to service in China
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

According to the flight tracking website FlightRadar24, a China Southern Airlines flight on a Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX took off on Friday. This marks the first passenger commercial service on the 737 MAX by a Chinese airline in nearly 4 years.

The 737 MAX, Boeing’s best-selling aircraft, gained U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) certification in March 2017. However, two plane crashes in Indonesia and Ethiopia that took place in 2018 and 2019 paved the way for China's aviation regulator becoming the first in the world to ground the MAX.

The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) also grounded the 737 MAX in March 2019 before removing the grounding order in November 2020.

Returning to China was always one of Boeing’s top priorities. For Wolfe Research analysts, it was about “when” and not “if.”

“That “when” certainly took longer than we would have thought a year ago and was delayed in part by zero-covid policies that stalled the need for the capacity. China airline schedules have been holding toward a robust bounce back in 1Q23 making the need for capacity more clear. That capacity need is going to have to be, at least in part, fulfilled by Boeing aircraft,” they said in a client note.

The analysts add that investors may beat the company’s management in recognizing the China upside potential.

“Boeing’s $10B targeted FCF in 2025/26 was signaled to be excluding China. Optimism on incremental China demand returning likely won’t prompt management to change their outlook near-term, but it won’t stop the market from gaining upside optimism to the $10B. This is particularly the case as long only positioning remains offsides on the name and buyers are searching for an incremental reason to buy with the stock up 70% since the Fall,” they added.

Boeing stock is down over 1% in pre-market Friday.

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22-09-2023 18:08:45 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0638 Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2254 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 148.27 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6446 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3452 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 157.72 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9644 Neutral  
    Gold 1,945.45 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.970 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.7218 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 90.66 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 94.16 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 2.641 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 155.45 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,201.25 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,330.00 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,541.55 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,721.17 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,085.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,780.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,524.16 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 43.150 Sell  
    Bayer 47.84 Neutral  
    Allianz 232.90 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 162.88 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 8.028 Buy  
    Siemens AG 133.90 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.198 ↑ Buy  
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