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Global equity bear market not over yet - Goldman Sachs

21 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Global equity bear market not over yet - Goldman Sachs © Reuters. A screen displays the trading information for Goldman Sachs on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 17, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
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(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) on Monday warned that the global equity bear market is not over as the markets are yet to see a trough in the momentum of global growth deterioration, a peak in interest rates and valuations lowered to reflect a likely recession.

The Wall Street investment bank expects returns to be a "relatively low" 6% through the end of 2023 as investors focus on the pace of monetary policy tightening and the consequent hit to growth and earnings.

"We continue to think that the near-term path for equity markets is likely to be volatile and down before reaching a final trough in 2023," Goldman Sachs said in a note.

It expects the S&P 500 index to be around the 4,000-points level towards the end of 2023, implying an increase of less than 1% from current levels, as it sees no earning growth.

Goldman expects earnings for the constituents in the Pan-European STOXX 600 index to slide 8% next year, while forecasting a 3% earnings growth for companies in Japan's TOPIX and MSCI's Asia-Pacific ex-Japan indexes.

The investment bank expects investors to start to price in expectations for a bull market next year.

"We expect markets to transition into a 'Hope' phase of the next bull market at some point in 2023, but from a lower level."

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29-11-2022 08:12:08 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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EUR/USD

1.0339

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1.1960

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139.18

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    EUR/USD 1.0339 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.1960 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 139.18 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6644 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3490 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 143.90 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9819 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,741.00 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 20.905 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.6015 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.87 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.54 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.137 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 163.02 Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,935.51 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,963.94 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,383.36 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,474.02 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,297.94 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.31 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,323.20 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 48.910 Neutral  
    Bayer 55.75 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 203.80 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 121.26 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.528 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 131.54 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.206 ↑ Sell  
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