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Fed seen near certain to switch to smaller rate hikes as inflation slows

13 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed seen near certain to switch to smaller rate hikes as inflation slows © Reuters. U.S. dollar banknotes are displayed in this illustration taken, February 14, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

(Reuters) -The Federal Reserve is now seen nearly certain to deliver just a quarter-point interest-rate hike at its next meeting and likely to ultimately stop raising rates short of 5%, after a government report Thursday showed inflation eased last month.

Fed funds futures rose after the U.S. Labor Department reported consumer prices fell in December, and ticked up further after Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said quarter-point interest rate hikes would now be appropriate.

Prices now reflect about a 95% probability that the Fed will raise rates just a quarter of a percentage point at its next meeting on Jan. 31-Feb. 1, versus about 5% for a half-point hike.

Last year most of the Fed's rate hikes were in 75-basis-point increments as central bankers sought to tighten policy quickly to bring down 40-year-high inflation. Thursday's data showed consumer prices rose 6.5% in the 12 months through December, still far higher than the Fed's 2% target but the slowest pace in more than a year.

Traders also increased bets Thursday that the Fed will deliver only one more quarter-point rate hike before stopping at a 4.75%-5% range, and then will cut rates in the second half of the year. The current target range is 4.25%-4.5%.

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04-10-2023 16:49:59 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0502

+0.0037 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0502

+0.0037 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2134

+0.0059 (+0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

149.12

+0.10 (+0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

AUD/USD

0.6328

+0.0027 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.3694

-0.0014 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

156.62

+0.65 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9647

+0.0007 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,838.25

-3.25 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

21.288

-0.089 (-0.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.6185

-0.0025 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

88.17

-1.06 (-1.19%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Brent Oil Futures

90.00

-0.92 (-1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Natural Gas Futures

2.986

+0.037 (+1.25%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

US Coffee C Futures

148.80

+0.05 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,109.25

+13.66 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,229.45

-58.94 (-1.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,098.25

+13.04 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,480.12

+9.96 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

17,186.00

-90.00 (-0.52%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,724.80

-32.02 (-1.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,165.36

-0.14 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.210

+0.450 (+1.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Bayer AG NA

44.12

+0.24 (+0.55%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

220.75

-0.20 (-0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

160.00

-0.72 (-0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.118

-0.130 (-1.79%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

133.90

+0.80 (+0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.845

-0.086 (-0.87%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0502↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2134↑ Buy
 USD/JPY149.12Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6328↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3694↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY156.62↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9647↑ Buy
 Gold1,838.25↑ Buy
 Silver21.288↑ Buy
 Copper3.6185↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI88.17Sell
 Brent Oil90.00↑ Sell
 Natural Gas2.986Sell
 US Coffee C148.80↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,109.25↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,229.45↑ Buy
 DAX15,098.25↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,480.12↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,186.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,724.80Neutral
 IBEX 359,165.36↑ Buy
 BASF42.210Neutral
 Bayer44.12↑ Buy
 Allianz220.75↑ Buy
 Adidas160.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.118↑ Buy
 Siemens AG133.90↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG9.845↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,820/ 6,870
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SJC HCM6,815/ 6,885
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SJC Danang6,815/ 6,887
(-5/ -5) # 1,488
SJC Nhatrang6,815/ 6,887
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(-5/ -5) # 1,488
Cập nhật 04-10-2023 16:50:17
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR24.873,2126.238,71
GBP28.676,2629.897,08
JPY158,99168,29
KRW15,4918,87
Cập nhật lúc 16:45:57 04/10/2023
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