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Fed seen near certain to switch to smaller rate hikes as inflation slows

Friday, January 13, 2023
Fed seen near certain to switch to smaller rate hikes as inflation slows © Reuters. U.S. dollar banknotes are displayed in this illustration taken, February 14, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

(Reuters) -The Federal Reserve is now seen nearly certain to deliver just a quarter-point interest-rate hike at its next meeting and likely to ultimately stop raising rates short of 5%, after a government report Thursday showed inflation eased last month.

Fed funds futures rose after the U.S. Labor Department reported consumer prices fell in December, and ticked up further after Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said quarter-point interest rate hikes would now be appropriate.

Prices now reflect about a 95% probability that the Fed will raise rates just a quarter of a percentage point at its next meeting on Jan. 31-Feb. 1, versus about 5% for a half-point hike.

Last year most of the Fed's rate hikes were in 75-basis-point increments as central bankers sought to tighten policy quickly to bring down 40-year-high inflation. Thursday's data showed consumer prices rose 6.5% in the 12 months through December, still far higher than the Fed's 2% target but the slowest pace in more than a year.

Traders also increased bets Thursday that the Fed will deliver only one more quarter-point rate hike before stopping at a 4.75%-5% range, and then will cut rates in the second half of the year. The current target range is 4.25%-4.5%.

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23-03-2023 21:32:15 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0892

+0.0037 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0892

+0.0037 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2315

+0.0052 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

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USD/JPY

131.15

-0.28 (-0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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AUD/USD

0.6719

+0.0037 (+0.55%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3632

-0.0095 (-0.70%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

142.85

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Summary

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EUR/CHF

0.9964

+0.0007 (+0.07%)

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Gold Futures

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23.282

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4.0998

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71.02

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76.81

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174.85

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Neutral

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,199.65

+3.95 (+0.09%)

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Sell

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S&P 500

3,978.13

+41.16 (+1.05%)

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15,203.05

-13.14 (-0.09%)

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7,506.29

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20,049.64

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1,760.15

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Sell

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46.515

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56.01

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Adidas AG

142.05

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 EUR/USD1.0892↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2315↑ Buy
 USD/JPY131.15↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6719↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3632↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY142.85Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9964↑ Sell
 Gold1,986.75↑ Buy
 Silver23.282↑ Buy
 Copper4.0998↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI71.02↑ Buy
 Brent Oil76.81↑ Buy
 Natural Gas2.192Neutral
 US Coffee C174.85Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,199.65Sell
 S&P 5003,978.13Sell
 DAX15,203.05Sell
 FTSE 1007,506.29↑ Sell
 Hang Seng20,049.64↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,760.15Sell
 IBEX 358,991.83↑ Sell
 BASF46.515↑ Sell
 Bayer56.01↑ Sell
 Allianz207.23Neutral
 Adidas142.05↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.875↑ Sell
 Siemens AG144.18Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG9.455↑ Sell
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Cập nhật 23-03-2023 21:32:17
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.96024.430
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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GBP28.229,1229.432,78
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Cập nhật lúc 18:50:17 23/03/2023
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