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European stocks higher; German inflation data offers hope

By Peter Nurse  AiVIF.com - European stock markets traded higher Monday, at the start of a week that includes important inflation data, a policy-setting meeting by the Bank of...
European stocks higher; German inflation data offers hope © Reuters
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By Peter Nurse 

AiVIF.com - European stock markets traded higher Monday, at the start of a week that includes important inflation data, a policy-setting meeting by the Bank of Japan as well as the return of the World Economic Forum to Davos.

At 03:30 ET (08:30 GMT), the DAX index in Germany traded 0.2% higher, the CAC 40 in France rose 0.1% and the FTSE 100 in the U.K. climbed 0.1%.

Trading volumes are lighter in Europe Monday, with the U.S. stock market closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday. 

There was some positive news early Monday as German wholesale prices fell 1.6% on the month in December, a welcome retreat. On the year the wholesale prices rose by 12.8%, compared with a November reading of 14.9%. Wholesale price growth peaked in April, with a 23.8% year-on-year increase.

That said, the early focus this week is likely to be on the release of Germany’s ZEW survey of economic sentiment for January on Tuesday.

This is expected to show an improvement to -15.5 from -23.3 in December, and European equities have benefited from this boosted sentiment, with both the DAX and the CAC 40 over 8% higher so far this year.

This has largely been as a result of signs that inflation is on the retreat, allowing central banks to ease back from their aggressive monetary tightening.

The Bank of Japan has been the major outlier, largely maintaining its very accommodative monetary stance even as its main peers tightened interest rates drastically.

However, this may be changing after the BOJ stunned markets last month by widening the band around its 10-year bond yield target, a move that investors saw as a prelude to a future rate hike.

This places Wednesday’s policy-setting meeting firmly in focus amid speculation that it could make further adjustments to its yield curve control policy, the first stage of phasing out its massive stimulus.

The World Economic Forum returns to the Swiss ski resort of Davos this week, with European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz among the dignitaries expected to attend the glitzy affair after a pandemic-influenced three year absence.

Corporate earnings are set to pick up as the week progresses, but as far as Monday is concerned, ITM Power (LON:ITM), the U.K.-based maker of hydrogen fuel cells, warned of lower revenue and a wider loss in the current fiscal year. Its stock fell 14%. 

Airbus (EPA:AIR) stock fell 0.8% after analysts at Berenberg downgraded their outlook for the European planemaker to ‘hold’ from ‘buy’, warning that recently high inflation and ongoing supply chain challenges will likely impact the company in 2023.

Oil prices fell Monday, handing back some of last week’s strong gains at the start of a week that includes a plethora of economic data as well as demand forecasts from OPEC and the IEA.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries releases its latest analysis on Tuesday, followed by the International Energy Agency the following day. Traders will be looking to see what the agencies say about China’s oil demand after the world’s top crude importer removed COVID-19 curbs in late 2022 after years of strict lockdowns. 

By 03:30 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 1.3% lower at $79.06 a barrel, while the Brent contract fell 1% to $84.39. Both contracts gained over 8% last week on optimism over China’s opening and following signs of cooling U.S. inflation, hitting the dollar.

Additionally, gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,914.85/oz, while EUR/USD traded 0.2% lower at 1.0809.

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30-03-2023 04:53:15 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0842

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0842

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2316

+0.0005 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

132.76

-0.07 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6685

+0.0001 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.3564

+0.0009 (+0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

143.95

-0.09 (-0.06%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9963

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,982.65

-0.35 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

23.470

+0.050 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.0820

-0.0010 (-0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

72.81

-0.39 (-0.53%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Brent Oil Futures

77.47

+0.09 (+0.12%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.184

+0.037 (+1.72%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

170.03

-3.72 (-2.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,231.27

+63.06 (+1.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,027.81

+56.54 (+1.42%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

DAX

15,328.78

+186.76 (+1.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,564.27

+80.02 (+1.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

20,192.40

+407.75 (+2.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

US Small Cap 2000

1,770.93

+18.30 (+1.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,070.70

+126.40 (+1.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.180

+0.795 (+1.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

57.27

+0.40 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

209.35

+3.20 (+1.55%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

146.42

+5.24 (+3.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.647

+0.206 (+2.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

146.30

+2.78 (+1.94%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.143

+0.221 (+2.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0842 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2316 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 132.76 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6685 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3564 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 143.95 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9963 Sell  
    Gold 1,982.65 Buy  
    Silver 23.470 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.0820 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 72.81 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 77.47 Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.184 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 170.03 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,231.27 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,027.81 Buy  
    DAX 15,328.78 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,564.27 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 20,192.40 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,770.93 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,070.70 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 47.180 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 57.27 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 209.35 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 146.42 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.647 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 146.30 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.143 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,645/ 6,685
(0/ 0) # 1,079
SJC HCM6,645/ 6,715
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SJC Hanoi6,645/ 6,717
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SJC Danang6,645/ 6,717
(0/ 0) # 1,112
SJC Nhatrang6,645/ 6,717
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SJC Cantho6,645/ 6,717
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$1,964.34 -7.64 -0.39%
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.280,0023.650,00
EUR24.773,5226.160,70
GBP28.198,2129.400,59
JPY173,28183,45
KRW15,5818,99
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:25 29/03/2023
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