net_left Phương Thức Thanh Toán

Economists say BOJ's Amamiya is top governor candidate, tightening this week unlikely

16 Tháng Giêng 2023
Economists say BOJ's Amamiya is top governor candidate, tightening this week unlikely © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya speaks during a Reuters Newsmaker event in Tokyo, Japan July 5, 2019. REUTERS/Issei Kato
let atwWrapper,atwContainerWidth,atwSliderBox,atwTotalWidth; function initATWSlider() { atwWrapper = $('.relatedInstruments'); atwSliderBox = atwWrapper.find('.slider'); atwContainerWidth = atwWrapper.width(); atwTotalWidth = atwSliderBox.width(); if(window.domainId === '2' || window.domainId === '3'){ atwWrapper.find('.sliderRight').addClass('js-slider-prev'); atwWrapper.find('.sliderLeft').addClass('js-slider-next'); } else { atwWrapper.find('.sliderRight').addClass('js-slider-next'); atwWrapper.find('.sliderLeft').addClass('js-slider-prev'); } if(atwSliderBox.find('.instrumentBox').length > 6){ atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-next').fadeIn(600); } } function atwMoveRight() { atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-prev').fadeIn(150); $(".slider > :visible:first").hide(150) $(".slider > :visible:last").next().show(150); if(!$(".slider > :visible:last").next().find('.name')()){ atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-next').fadeOut(150); return; } } function atwMoveLeft() { atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-next').fadeIn(150); $(".slider > :visible:last").hide(150); $(".slider > :visible:first").prev().show(150); if(!$(".slider > :visible:first").prev().find('.name')()){ atwWrapper.find('.js-slider-prev').fadeOut(150); return; } } initATWSlider(); //update star icon on adding/removing instrument to/from specific watchlist atwWrapper.on('click', 'label.addRow', function() { let parent = $(this).parent(); let checkedPortfolio = false; parent.find('input[type=checkbox]').each(function () { if($(this).is(':checked')){ checkedPortfolio = true; } }); let closestStar = $(this).closest('.addToPortWrapper').find('.star'); if(checkedPortfolio){ closestStar.addClass('added'); }else{ closestStar.removeClass('added'); } }); //update star icon on creating new watchlist atwWrapper.find('.js-create-watchlist-portfolio').find('a.js-create').on('click',function () { let parent = $(this).parent(); let watchlistName = parent.find('input[type=text]').val(); if(!watchlistName){ return; } let star = $(this).closest('.addToPortWrapper').find('.star'); star.addClass('added'); }); //update star icon on adding new position atwWrapper.find('.js-create-holdings-portfolio').find('.js-submit').on('click',function () { let addPositionForm = $(this).closest('.addToPortfolioPop').find('.holdingsContent'); let amount = addPositionForm.find('.js-amount').val(); if(amount < 1){ return; } let star = $(this).closest('.addToPortWrapper').find('.star'); star.addClass('added'); }); atwWrapper.find('.instrumentBox').find('.shortInfo').on('click',function () { if(!window.ga){ return; } let pairId = $(this).parent().find('.js-add-to-portfolio').attr('data-pair-id'); let pairType = window.atwPairTypes[pairId]; window.ga('allSitesTracker.send', 'event', 'content', 'symbol link clicked', '', { "dimension147":"symbol_link_clicked", "dimension163":"click", "dimension148":"symbol", "dimension162":"content add to watchlist", "dimension161":"article page", "dimension142":"article", "dimension75":pairType, "dimension138":pairId, "dimension118":"2980701" }); window.open($(this).attr('data-href')); }); window.atwPairTypes = {"8119":"Equities"};

By Kantaro Komiya

TOKYO (Reuters) - Bank of Japan (BOJ) Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya, a close aide of incumbent chief Haruhiko Kuroda, is most likely to succeed him this spring, according to two-thirds of economists in a Reuters poll.

Investors have closely followed the race for the position of next BOJ governor, looking for clues of possible policy shifts after the retirement of Kuroda, who has overseen massive monetary stimulus with unorthodox methods since 2013.

The poll also showed 97% of economists thought the BOJ would maintain its ultra-easy policy at the two-day meeting concluding on Wednesday, following a surprise tweak to its yield curve control scheme in December that allowed interest rates to rise.

Of the 24 economists who replied to the Jan 5-12 poll, 16, or 67%, chose Amamiya as the most likely candidate to become the next BOJ governor.

Nicknamed "Mr BOJ" for masterminding many of the bank's unconventional monetary easing steps, Amamiya has served as Kuroda's right-hand man and has advocated keeping ultra-loose policy to get Japan out of deflation.

"Amamiya would be the desirable candidate to carry out a revision of Kuroda-era easing without disruptions, because he is well versed in current policies," said Takumi Tsunoda, senior economist at Shinkin Central Bank Research Institute.

The runner-up was former deputy governor Hiroshi Nakaso, whose career at the BOJ centred on market and international affairs. Four economists in the poll, or 17%, chose Nakaso, who is seen less dovish than Amamiya, as the most likely candidate.

In a September poll that asked the same question, Amamiya and Nakaso received 61% and 33% of economists' votes, respectively.

Another former deputy governor, Hirohide Yamaguchi, who in the September poll was nominated by no respondent, received two votes this time. The Sankei newspaper last month reported that Yamaguchi, a vocal critic of Kuroda's dovish policy, was attracting attention from the office of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

Two economists opted for Masatsugu Asakawa, a former financial diplomat and current president of the Asian Development Bank. No respondents chose Columbia University professor Takatoshi Ito, who is said to be close to Kuroda.

"If the Kishida administration were to pivot from Abenomics, then they wouldn't pick someone who assisted the Kuroda regime," said Mari Iwashita, chief market economist at Daiwa Securities, referring to the accommodative policies of former premier Shinzo Abe.

NEARLY HALF SEE UNWINDING IN 2023

In a question asking about the BOJ's possible next move, 29 of 30 economists said it would be unwinding of the ultra-easy policy. Of those, 13 forecast the scale-back would begin this year, while 15 said it would not happen until 2024.

One economist, Kazutaka Maeda at Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance, expected the unwinding to begin with this week's rate-review. The BOJ might scrap its 10-year yield target altogether, he said.

Five analysts expected the unwinding of easing to start in April, at the first BOJ meeting under the new governor. Two opted for June, four for July and one for September.

The most likely means for the BOJ's rollback would be a revision to the wording of its forward guidance, 18 economists said in response to a question that allowed multiple answers.

Ten said a most likely step would be abandoning a policy of keeping short-term rates negative, and another 10 chose widening of the range allowed for the 10-year yield. The BOJ doubled the range last month to between minus 0.50% and plus 0.50%.

"Given the unabated distortion to the yield curve by the 10-year yield anchor, a further expansion to the yield cap could be considered," said Harumi Taguchi, principal economist at S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) Market Intelligence.

"And that will prompt another question over the meaning of keeping negative interest rates."

Seven economists chose raising the centre point of the 10-year yield target from 0% and another seven selected shortening the maturity of the long-term yield target to some term below 10 years. Five said the BOJ would end the yield curve control scheme, and one suggested an announcement of a policy review.

Elsewhere in the poll, 83% of economists said Japanese nominal wages were unlikely to outpace rising consumer prices in 2023. Policymakers are urging employers to agree to significant pay increases in upcoming spring labour talks to counter price hikes and to set the economy on a sustainable growth path.

Nearly half of respondents thought the core inflation rate in the economy, the world's third largest, would stay above the BOJ's 2% target until July-September. Another 33% said the inflation overshoot would continue until October-December or even into 2024.

Economists slightly upgraded growth projections for gross domestic product in the first two quarters this year, based on expectations of robust consumption. Other growth and consumer inflation figures in fiscal 2022, 2023 and 2024 were mostly unchanged from the December poll.

(For other stories from the Reuters global long-term economic outlook polls package:)

Để lại bình luận
Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
30-01-2023 14:06:57 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0866

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0866

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2394

-0.0003 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

129.51

-0.34 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.7096

-0.0007 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3334

+0.0025 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

140.72

-0.39 (-0.28%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

1.0007

+0.0003 (+0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,930.15

+0.75 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Silver Futures

23.848

+0.226 (+0.96%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.1952

-0.0385 (-0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.14

-0.54 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

85.90

-0.50 (-0.58%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Natural Gas Futures

2.665

-0.191 (-6.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

169.25

+2.10 (+1.26%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,178.01

+4.03 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,070.56

+10.13 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

15,150.03

+17.18 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,765.15

+4.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

22,217.00

-471.90 (-2.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,911.46

+8.39 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

9,060.20

+24.60 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.790

+0.170 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

56.28

+0.24 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

221.65

+0.05 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

148.30

+3.02 (+2.08%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.755

+0.028 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

144.50

+0.44 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.340

+0.208 (+1.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0866 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2394 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 129.51 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7096 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3334 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 140.72 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 1.0007 Neutral  
    Gold 1,930.15 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.848 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1952 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.90 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.665 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 169.25 Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,178.01 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,070.56 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,150.03 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,765.15 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 22,217.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,911.46 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,060.20 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.790 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.28 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.65 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 148.30 Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.755 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 144.50 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.340 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,720
(-80/ -100) # 1,224
SJC HCM6,650/ 6,750
(-70/ -70) # 1,256
SJC Hanoi6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,258
SJC Danang6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,258
SJC Nhatrang6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,258
SJC Cantho6,650/ 6,752
(-70/ -70) # 1,258
Cập nhật 30-01-2023 14:06:59
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,930.73 +2.08 0.11%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.01023.470
RON 95-III22.15022.590
E5 RON 92-II21.35021.770
DO 0.05S21.63022.060
DO 0,001S-V23.39023.850
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.80022.230
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.32 +1.14 1.41%
Brent $85.92 +1.18 1.35%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.814,9626.204,51
GBP28.296,9629.503,61
JPY176,00186,33
KRW16,5220,13
Cập nhật lúc 13:59:47 30/01/2023
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
Phương Thức Thanh Toán