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Dollar tentative as investors assess rate-hike path

09 Tháng Giêng 2023
Dollar tentative as investors assess rate-hike path © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was steady on Monday as investors digested a clutch of economic data released last week that stoked hopes of the Federal Reserve slowing the pace of its interest rate hikes.

Data on Friday showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 223,000 jobs in December, while a 0.3% rise in average earnings was smaller than expected and less than the previous month's 0.4%.

There were further signs of an economy slowing down, with the U.S. services industry activity contracting for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December amid weakening demand.

That led the dollar index, which measures the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, 1.15% lower on Friday. On Monday, the index, which gained 8% in 2022, was 0.01% higher at 103.720.

Investors have pinned their hopes on the U.S. central bank toning down its aggressive monetary tightening policy. Fed fund futures now imply around a 25% chance of a half-point hike in February, down from around 50% a month ago.

Analysts, however, point to the still tight labour market that is likely to concern Fed officials.

"December's payrolls report shows the U.S. jobs market remains too tight to allow the Fed to step down to a 25 bps rate hike next month," said Mansoor Mohi-uddin, chief economist at Bank of Singapore.

"We expect the Fed will stay more hawkish than the market anticipates, keeping us cautious on the near-term outlook for risk assets."

With the next Fed meeting scheduled at the start of next month, investors will focus on the consumer price index data due on Thursday.

Citi said it expects another "softer" core CPI print with some upside risk but said core inflation could pick up again in early 2023.

"We continue to expect the Fed to hike by 50 basis points in February as there are still strong underlying inflationary pressures and further loosening in financial conditions would likely not be a desirable outcome."

Elsewhere, the Brazilian real had yet to trade after supporters of far-right former President Jair Bolsonaro were arrested after invading the country's Congress, presidential palace and Supreme Court.

The Japanese yen strengthened 0.12% versus the U.S. currency to 131.94 per dollar, while sterling was last trading at $1.2099, up 0.06% on the day, having gained 1.5% on Friday.

The euro was up 0.11% at $1.0656, after closing 1.17% higher on Friday.

The Australian dollar rose 0.17% versus the U.S. currency to $0.689, while the kiwi gained 0.02% to $0.635.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0128 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar $1.0660 $1.0645 +0.14% -0.51% +1.0668 +1.0640

Dollar/Yen 131.8650 132.0700 -0.13% +0.51% +132.2500 +131.7400

Euro/Yen 140.57 140.58 -0.01% +0.19% +140.8000 +140.4600

Dollar/Swiss 0.9275 0.9279 -0.03% +0.32% +0.9279 +0.9264

Sterling/Dollar 1.2104 1.2093 +0.12% +0.11% +1.2128 +1.2092

Dollar/Canadian 1.3432 1.3448 -0.10% -0.85% +1.3444 +1.3420

Aussie/Dollar 0.6891 0.6876 +0.28% +1.14% +0.6907 +0.6875

NZ 0.6348 0.6350 +0.01% +0.01% +0.6372 +0.6337

Dollar/Dollar

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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EUR/USD

1.0842

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.0842

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.2671

+0.0021 (+0.17%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

150.27

+0.16 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6521

-0.0003 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.3564

+0.0008 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

EUR/JPY

162.93

+0.32 (+0.20%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9566

-0.0016 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

2,093.05

-2.65 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Silver Futures

23.328

-0.036 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.8712

+0.0097 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

80.37

+0.40 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

84.05

+0.50 (+0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

1.886

+0.051 (+2.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

184.13

-0.22 (-0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,902.55

+7.69 (+0.16%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

S&P 500

5,137.08

+40.81 (+0.80%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

DAX

17,722.55

-12.45 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,664.75

-17.75 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

16,595.97

+6.53 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,076.39

+21.55 (+1.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

10,063.50

-1.20 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.528

-0.457 (-0.95%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

28.25

-0.08 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

251.82

+0.02 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

187.18

+0.18 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.123

-0.068 (-0.95%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

181.59

+0.31 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.450

-0.116 (-0.92%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0842 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2671 Buy  
    USD/JPY 150.27 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6521 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3564 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 162.93 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9566 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,093.05 Neutral  
    Silver 23.328 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8712 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.37 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 84.05 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.886 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 184.13 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,902.55 Buy  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,722.55 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,664.75 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,595.97 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,076.39 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,063.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 47.528 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.25 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 251.82 Neutral  
    Adidas 187.18 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.123 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.59 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.450 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,850/ 8,000
(50/ 50) # 1,754
SJC HCM7,860/ 8,060
(80/ 30) # 1,814
SJC Hanoi7,860/ 8,062
(80/ 30) # 1,816
SJC Danang7,860/ 8,062
(80/ 30) # 1,816
SJC Nhatrang7,860/ 8,062
(80/ 30) # 1,816
SJC Cantho7,860/ 8,062
(80/ 30) # 1,816
Cập nhật 04-03-2024 15:44:56
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,084.38 +0.9 0.04%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.43024.910
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E5 RON 92-II22.75023.200
DO 0.05S20.77021.180
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Dầu hỏa 2-K20.78021.190
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Brent $83.62 +1.91 0.02%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.500,0024.870,00
EUR26.109,9627.542,83
GBP30.490,1031.787,53
JPY159,34168,65
KRW16,0519,45
Cập nhật lúc 15:25:35 04/03/2024
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