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China's commodities consumption to slow, no longer 'big bulls', says analyst Mistry

11 Tháng Năm 2022
China's commodities consumption to slow, no longer 'big bulls', says analyst Mistry © Reuters. Palm oil fruits are seen placed on a wheelbarrow at a palm oil farm in Klang, outside Kuala Lumpur, February 19, 2014. REUTERS/Samsul Said/Files

By Mei Mei Chu

KUALA LUMPUR (Reuters) - Buyers in China, the world's second-largest palm oil importer, are "no longer big bulls" in the commodities markets as they face an economic slowdown while the country chases a zero-COVID policy, edible oil analyst Dorab Mistry said on Wednesday.

"China may not be the steam engine for world growth," Mistry, director of Indian consumer goods company Godrej International, said at the Globoil conference in Dubai.

Strict lockdown measures to stem a COVID-19 outbreak in China's commercial capital Shanghai have reverberated through the global economy and supply chains, with some factories being forced to close and delays increasing at ports.

Commodities consumption in the world's most populous nation is likely to be softer this year, Mistry said.

Mistry maintained his forecast for Malaysia's 2022 palm oil output, seeing it higher at 19 million tonnes, while Indonesia's production is seen rising by at least 2 million tonnes.

He also maintained his price forecast for crude palm oil futures, pegging a decline to 5,000 ringgit ($1,140.90) a tonne by June and eventually to 4,000 ringgit ($912.72) by September.

Malaysia's benchmark prices have scaled to all-time highs of 7,268 ringgit ($1,658.41) this year as Russia's invasion of Ukraine disrupted sunflower oil shipments and Indonesia's move to ban palm oil exports further tightened global supplies.

"Prices can fall sharply once the Indonesian ban is relaxed and after the Ukraine conflict is resolved, as interest rates rise, production picks up, stocks around the Black Sea are unfrozen," Mistry said.

($1 = 4.3825 ringgit)

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24-05-2022 01:19:10 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0684

+0.0124 (+1.17%)

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↑ Buy

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EUR/USD

1.0684

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GBP/USD

1.2572

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USD/JPY

127.89

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AUD/USD

0.7103

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Gold Futures

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110.11

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Natural Gas Futures

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US Coffee C Futures

215.58

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,708.39

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S&P 500

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14,175.40

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20,470.06

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US Small Cap 2000

1,797.00

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8,625.80

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49.735

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Bayer AG NA

64.47

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199.38

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Adidas AG

175.48

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.903

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116.70

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10.018

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 EUR/USD1.0684↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2572↑ Buy
 USD/JPY127.89↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7103↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2783↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY136.64↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0328↑ Buy
 Gold1,852.60Neutral
 Silver21.797↑ Buy
 Copper4.3388↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil110.59↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.726Sell
 US Coffee C215.58↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,708.39↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,976.53↑ Buy
 DAX14,175.40↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,513.44↑ Buy
 Hang Seng20,470.06Neutral
 Small Cap 20001,797.00↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,625.80↑ Buy
 BASF49.735↑ Buy
 Bayer64.47↑ Buy
 Allianz199.38↑ Buy
 Adidas175.48↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.903Neutral
 Siemens AG116.70↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.018↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,890/ 6,990
(0/ 0) # 1,765
SJC HCM6,905/ 6,995
(0/ 0) # 1,769
SJC Hanoi6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
SJC Danang6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
SJC Nhatrang6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
SJC Cantho6,905/ 6,997
(0/ 0) # 1,771
Cập nhật 24-05-2022 01:19:12
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DO 0.05S25.55026.060
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR23.899,8625.238,69
GBP28.277,1029.483,51
JPY176,47186,83
KRW15,8019,25
Cập nhật lúc 18:52:02 23/05/2022
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