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Asia stocks scale 4-month high on reopening of Chinese economy

05 Tháng Giêng 2023
Asia stocks scale 4-month high on reopening of Chinese economy © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man on a bicycle stands in front of an electronic board showing Shanghai stock index, Nikkei share price index and Dow Jones Industrial Average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan September 22, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian shares rose on Thursday on hopes for China's emergence from the pandemic, while the dollar found support after analysts spotted a warning against betting too heavily on rate cuts this year in minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1% to touch a four-month high at one stage, before paring gains. Japan's Nikkei bounced off a three-month low. U.S. and European futures were flat.

China has abruptly dropped ultra-strict curbs on travel and activity, unleashing the virus on the nation's 1.4 billion people. Many funeral homes and hospitals say they are overwhelmed, but investors hope that once the infection waves pass, life and spending can return to normal and are looking beyond the most immediate difficulties.

"China reopening has a big impact...worldwide," said Joanne Goh, an investment strategist at DBS Bank in Singapore, since it not only spurs tourism and consumption but can ease some of the supply-chain crunches seen during 2022.

"There will be hiccups on the way," Goh said, during an outlook presentation to reporters. "We give it six months adjusting to the process. But we don't think it's reversible."

China's central bank also said overnight it will step up financing support to spur domestic consumption and key investment projects and support a stable real estate market.

E-commerce and consumer stocks were among the biggest gainers in Hong Kong, which touched a six-month high and was last up 1%. Reopening hopes have driven China's yuan to four-month highs and supported regional stocks and currencies.

The yuan rose about 0.2% to 6.8750 on Thursday.

China has partially eased an unofficial ban on Australian coal imports and the Australian dollar made a three-week high overnight just below $0.69. It last bought $0.6818.

Shares fell for Indonesian coal exporters, which had filled some of the gap left by blocked Australian supply. (SO)

Oil sounded the loudest note of caution, falling sharply overnight on worries that the near-term outlook is precarious in China and that a global slowdown will hurt demand. [O/R]

Brent crude futures steadied at $78.79 a barrel on Thursday after dropping 1.5% on Wednesday.

RATES WARNING

Asia's optimism comes while minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting, published on Wednesday, contained a caution against late-year rate cuts traders have priced in.

Fed committee members noted that "unwarranted easing in financial conditions" would complicate efforts to restore price stability, the minutes showed.

"Translating Fed speak, this is a warning to markets, that being too optimistic may ironically backfire," said Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's head of economics in Singapore.

"That is, insofar that premature rate cut bets drive looser financial conditions, the Fed may have to tighten even more to compensate."

Fed funds futures pricing shows traders think the benchmark U.S. interest rate will peak just below 5% in May or June, before being cut back a little bit in the second half of 2023.

Treasuries hung on to recent gains, with 10-year yields down 11 basis points this week to 3.72%. Yields fall when prices rise.

In currency markets, the dollar has been wobbly as investors navigate between the Fed's hawkish tone and the support for riskier currencies driven by China's reopening.

The yen was steady at 132.56 per dollar, supported by wagers that Japan's ultra-easy monetary policy will be finally tightened this year.

In Europe, unseasonally warm weather has disappointed skiers but been a boon for a euro basking in falling gas prices. Benchmark Dutch gas prices fell to 14-month lows overnight and the euro held at $1.0605. [FRX/]

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03-02-2023 13:35:39 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0895

-0.0015 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0895

-0.0015 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2219

-0.0004 (-0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

128.63

-0.03 (-0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.7067

-0.0009 (-0.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

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USD/CAD

1.3327

+0.0012 (+0.09%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

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EUR/JPY

140.14

-0.22 (-0.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

0.9958

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

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↑ Sell

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Gold Futures

1,929.40

-1.40 (-0.07%)

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Moving Avg:

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Silver Futures

23.560

-0.055 (-0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

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Copper Futures

4.1225

+0.0360 (+0.88%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

75.78

-0.10 (-0.13%)

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Brent Oil Futures

82.12

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Natural Gas Futures

2.431

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US Coffee C Futures

178.38

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,241.12

+69.68 (+1.67%)

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Neutral

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S&P 500

4,179.76

+60.55 (+1.47%)

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DAX

15,509.19

+328.45 (+2.16%)

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FTSE 100

7,820.16

+59.05 (+0.76%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Hang Seng

21,616.00

-342.36 (-1.56%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

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Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,001.22

+40.41 (+2.06%)

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Moving Avg:

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9,229.70

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53.840

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221.70

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Adidas AG

157.92

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.893

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Siemens AG Class N

143.72

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11.456

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Summary

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    EUR/USD 1.0895 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2219 Buy  
    USD/JPY 128.63 Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7067 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3327 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 140.14 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9958 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,929.40 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.560 Neutral  
    Copper 4.1225 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 75.78 Buy  
    Brent Oil 82.12 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.431 Buy  
    US Coffee C 178.38 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,241.12 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,179.76 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,509.19 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,820.16 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,616.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,001.22 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,229.70 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 53.840 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.80 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.70 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 157.92 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.893 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 143.72 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.456 Neutral  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,670/ 6,730
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SJC HCM6,680/ 6,760
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SJC Nhatrang6,680/ 6,762
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Cập nhật 03-02-2023 13:35:42
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,915.06 -0.05 -0.00%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
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Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
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WTI $76.02 +0.16 0.21%
Brent $82.12 +0.08 0.09%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.892,6426.286,54
GBP27.897,1229.086,72
JPY177,36187,76
KRW16,5420,16
Cập nhật lúc 13:32:52 03/02/2023
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