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5 tips for riding out a downbeat market this holiday season

These forecasts are driven by deteriorating structural fundamentals. For example, credit card debt has surged past even 2020 levels, with interest rates charged by banks that are...
5 tips for riding out a downbeat market this holiday season 5 tips for riding out a downbeat market this holiday season
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These forecasts are driven by deteriorating structural fundamentals. For example, credit card debt has surged past even 2020 levels, with interest rates charged by banks that are just slightly higher than those observed leading up to the post-2000 dot-com crash. And yet, labor force participation rates — or the proportion of the population that is able to work and is working — have still not recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Furthermore, inflation — as measured by the consumer price index — has surged over the past few years.

Economic forecasts suggest that we are in for greater economic turbulence. The United States has been in a recession and that recession is expected to continue, with the Conference Board forecasting a further decline in gross domestic product (GDP) by 0.5% in Q4 of this year. It also anticipates that the recession will continue into at least Q2 of 2023. That was before the collapse of crypto trading platform FTX, which had profound downstream effects on investment portfolios and non-crypto companies. Other more optimistic forecasts, such as those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and S&P Global, are just barely positive for 2023 at 0.7% and 0.2%, respectively.

Consumer Debt & Interest Rates in the United States, 1995-2020. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve
Labor Force Participation in the United States, 1950-2020. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Consumer Price Index, 2011-2022. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve
Christos A. Makridis is a research affiliate at Stanford University and Columbia Business School and the chief technology officer and co-founder of Living Opera (NASDAQ:OPRA), a multimedia art-tech Web3 startup. He holds doctoral degrees in economics and management science and engineering from Stanford University.

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08-12-2022 17:16:57 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0496

-0.0009 (-0.09%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0496

-0.0009 (-0.09%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2170

-0.0029 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

USD/JPY

136.90

+0.31 (+0.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

AUD/USD

0.6719

-0.0003 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3663

+0.0012 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

143.71

+0.20 (+0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9887

+0.0006 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,794.75

-3.25 (-0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Silver Futures

22.890

-0.032 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Copper Futures

3.8655

+0.0050 (+0.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

72.68

+0.67 (+0.93%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

77.75

+0.58 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

5.790

+0.067 (+1.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

161.43

+1.43 (+0.89%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,922.45

+1.55 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

S&P 500

3,933.92

-7.34 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

DAX

14,255.05

-6.14 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,487.69

-1.50 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

19,450.23

+635.41 (+3.38%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

US Small Cap 2000

1,806.90

-5.67 (-0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,258.90

-31.60 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.245

-0.180 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

52.58

-0.22 (-0.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

204.2

+0.55 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

115.8

-1.76 (-1.50%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.683

+0.044 (+0.58%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

133.00

+0.10 (+0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.985

+0.019 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

    EUR/USD 1.0496 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2170 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 136.90 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6719 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3663 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 143.71 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9887 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,794.75 Neutral  
    Silver 22.890 Sell  
    Copper 3.8655 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 72.68 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 77.75 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 5.790 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 161.43 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,922.45 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,933.92 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,255.05 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,487.69 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 19,450.23 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,806.90 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,258.90 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 47.245 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.58 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 204.2 Neutral  
    Adidas 115.8 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.683 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 133.00 Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.985 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,720
(60/ 60) # 1,591
SJC HCM6,635/ 6,715
(25/ 25) # 1,586
SJC Hanoi6,635/ 6,717
(25/ 25) # 1,588
SJC Danang6,635/ 6,717
(25/ 25) # 1,588
SJC Nhatrang6,635/ 6,717
(25/ 25) # 1,588
SJC Cantho6,635/ 6,717
(25/ 25) # 1,588
Cập nhật 08-12-2022 17:17:00
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,781.98 -5.18 -0.29%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.83024.300
RON 95-III22.70023.150
E5 RON 92-II21.67022.100
DO 0.05S23.21023.670
DO 0,001S-V25.19025.690
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.56024.030
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $72.97 -0.21 -0.28%
Brent $78.02 -0.44 -0.57%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.570,0023.880,00
EUR24.321,7825.683,18
GBP28.175,3329.376,19
JPY168,78178,67
KRW15,5618,96
Cập nhật lúc 17:12:04 08/12/2022
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